Mercedes Russell over 2.5 points
She has cleared 2.5 in 52 of 109 games — 47.7%. That rate needs +109 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
01
Distribution
109 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 33 games · 30.3% · under33
2–4 points · 27 games · 24.8% · under27
4–6 points · 15 games · 13.8% · over15
6–8 points · 16 games · 14.7% · over16
8–10 points · 13 games · 11.9% · over13
10–12 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
12–14 points · 3 games · 2.8% · over3
14–16 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
2.5
UNDER · 57OVER · 52 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 2.5 · hover a bar2024-09-22 · LVA · 8 points · +5.5 vs line
2024-09-24 · LVA · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-05-16 · GSV · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-05-18 · MIN · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-05-21 · PHO · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-05-23 · GSV · 1 points · −1.5 vs line
2025-05-25 · CHI · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-05-27 · ATL · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-05-30 · LVA · 4 points · +1.5 vs line
2025-06-01 · PHO · 4 points · +1.5 vs line
2025-06-06 · DAL · 4 points · +1.5 vs line
2025-06-09 · GSV · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-06-11 · LVA · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-06-14 · MIN · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-06-17 · SEA · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-06-21 · MIN · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-06-24 · CHI · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-06-26 · IND · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-06-29 · CHI · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-07-03 · NYL · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-07-05 · IND · 5 points · +2.5 vs line
2025-07-10 · MIN · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · NYL · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · ATL · 2 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · NYL · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · CHI · 3 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · CON · 3 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · TOR · 3 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · WAS · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · LVA · 0 points · −2.5 vs line
2.5
2024-09-22— 5-game mean2026-09-27 · newest
03
Recent form
40.0%4/10 · last 10
2025-07-05 · 5 points · OVER
5
2025-07-10 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-11 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-16 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-22 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-23 · 3 points · OVER
3
2026-08-28 · 3 points · OVER
3
2026-09-18 · 3 points · OVER
3
2026-09-20 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-27 · 0 points · UNDER
0
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 109 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 2.5
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1LVAAWAY4.0MIN0POINTS1 · 1 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 2
2026-09-20WASHOME18.1MIN0POINTS3 · 0 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 9.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 3
2026-09-18TORAWAY15.8MIN3POINTS1 · 0 · 1-1OVER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 79.8
- USG%
- 5.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-28CONHOME12.7MIN3POINTS3 · 1 · 1-1OVER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 79.8
- USG%
- 6.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-23CHIAWAY14.2MIN3POINTS1 · 3 · 0-1OVER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 8.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-22NYLAWAY2.7MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 0
2026-08-16ATLAWAY3.4MIN2POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 113.6
- USG%
- 24.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 2
2026-08-11NYLHOME0.9MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 0
2025-07-10MINHOME9.4MIN2POINTS0 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 15.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 2
2025-07-05INDAWAY8.4MIN5POINTS1 · 1 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 66.5
- USG%
- 21.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 7
2025-07-03NYLAWAY6.8MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 7.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 3
2025-06-29CHIHOME2.9MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 14.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 0
2025-06-26INDAWAY11.0MIN2POINTS3 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 5
2025-06-24CHIAWAY6.7MIN2POINTS2 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 13.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 4
2025-06-21MINAWAY6.6MIN2POINTS1 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 113.6
- USG%
- 6.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 3
2025-06-17SEAHOME3.9MIN0POINTS2 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 2
2025-06-14MINAWAY5.9MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 15.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 1
2025-06-11LVAAWAY7.1MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 13.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 3
2025-06-09GSVHOME6.3MIN2POINTS0 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 14.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 2
2025-06-06DALAWAY12.4MIN4POINTS3 · 1 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 7.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 8
2025-06-01PHOHOME15.8MIN4POINTS2 · 0 · 2-3OVER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 8.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 6
2025-05-30LVAAWAY7.0MIN4POINTS1 · 2 · 1-2OVER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 17.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 7
2025-05-27ATLHOME4.5MIN0POINTS1 · 1 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 20.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 2
2025-05-25CHIHOME8.2MIN2POINTS2 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/0
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 16.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 4
2025-05-23GSVHOME7.8MIN1POINTS2 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 26.6
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 3
showing 25 of 109 — every rate above is computed over all 109