← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-06-26
Day by day
these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
39–21 · 65% · +13.17u across the last 1 days
06/2639–2165%+13.17u3 games
WAS @ CON2–8−6.23u
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5no clean explanationNelson-Ododa's 30 minutes and 22% usage rate gave her sufficient opportunity to reach 3 assists, and she converted that run into ball movement that the models hadn't fully priced in for a player operating as a secondary facilitator in the paint.
- Georgia Amoore Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5no clean explanationAmoore's efficient 5-10 shooting (50% FG, 44% 3PT) and 33 minutes of floor time—well above typical bench guard usage—drove her well past the 7.5-point line despite modest 20% usage, powered by a hot 70% true shooting night.
- Kiki Iriafen Under 8.5 REB14 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIriafen crashed the glass hard, pulling down 14 rebounds in 32 minutes—nearly double the projected total—by dominating the offensive rebounding battle (she was active on misses given the team's poor 43% TS%). The volume and opportunity were there; she finished with 5 personal fouls in a game where her team needed second chances, and she delivered them.
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 15.5 PR21 vs 15.5no clean explanationNelson-Ododa exceeded the 15.5 PR line by finishing with 21 (12 pts + 9 reb + 3 ast + 2 stl + 3 blk), powered by a strong rebounding night (9 boards) and elite shot-blocking (3 blocks) across a full 30 minutes of work. Her 22% usage rate limited scoring upside, but the volume of activity on the glass and defensive end proved enough to clear the prop.
- Georgia Amoore Under 11.5 PA19 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAmoore's aggressive shooting night—5-of-10 FG with four 3-pointers made—elevated her attempt volume well above the 11.5 line despite modest 33 minutes, as Georgia leaned on her scoring in a blowout loss. Her 20% usage rate and 70% true shooting efficiency indicate she was both aggressive and efficient when given the ball, driving up attempts beyond the betting expectation.
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 9.5 PTS12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upNelson-Ododa exceeded expectations by playing 30 minutes—12 more than her season average—and efficiently converting 6-of-12 shots (50% FG) to reach 12 points, suggesting either elevated opportunity due to foul trouble elsewhere or a game flow that kept her on the floor longer than her typical backup role.
ATL @ GSV15–5+8.25u
- Jordin Canada Over 5.5 AST2 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCanada shot 84% TS and scored 23 points on 22% usage, creating her own offense rather than facilitating; despite playing 35 minutes in a game that invited assists, she recorded just 2 dimes while turning the ball over 4 times, suggesting scorer's mentality over distributor's role.
- Jordin Canada Over 9.5 RA5 vs 9.5paid over the fair numberCanada's efficient 23-point night (7-11 FG, 6-6 FT) came with minimal ball-handling responsibility—she logged just 2 assists in 35 minutes—suggesting the offense ran through other primary handlers, leaving her without the volume to reach double-digit assists. Her 4 turnovers and low usage rate (22%) further limited her playmaking opportunities despite the scoring load.
- Rhyne Howard Over 2.5 3PM1 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward shot just 1-for-8 from three (12.5%) on 36 minutes of play, a catastrophic collapse from her season norm that no model could have predicted; the volume was there but the accuracy completely failed.
- Cecilia Zandalasini Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5no clean explanationZandalasini hit the over despite minimal offensive output (4 pts on 50% TS) because she logged 18 minutes and recorded 3 assists on just 15% usage, suggesting efficient playmaking in a limited role rather than heavy shot-taking. The low-volume, high-assist profile—3 dimes from a bench player in confined minutes—was the outlier that pushed her just over the 2.5 line.
- Allisha Gray Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray played 36 minutes with elevated usage (20%) but made just 1-of-4 threes on a night where her overall shooting was inefficient (5-13 FG, 46% TS%), falling short of the 1.5 line despite the extended run.
POR @ CHI22–8+11.14u
- Megan Gustafson Under 1.5 3PM3 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGustafson went 3-for-6 from three—exactly double the 1.5 threshold—despite modest usage (17%), capitalizing on efficient perimeter shooting (50% 3PT) in 29 minutes of play.
- Bridget Carleton Under 3.5 REB4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberCarleton grabbed one extra rebound than the line predicted, finishing with 4 boards in 29 minutes despite modest 24% usage; she was active on the glass early and stayed out of foul trouble with just 3 PF, keeping her on the court for enough rebounding opportunities to barely push over.
- Skylar Diggins Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanationDiggins hit 2-of-4 from three despite modest 23 minutes and 19% usage, converting at 50% from deep—well above her typical rate and enough to clear the 1.5 line even in limited action.
- Skylar Diggins Under 2.5 REB3 vs 2.5no clean explanationDiggins grabbed 3 rebounds in 23 minutes despite modest usage (19%), hitting the over by one board in a game where she operated as a secondary playmaker (9 assists) rather than a volume scorer. The under at -149 required her to stay at or below 2, a tight margin that one extra rebound easily cleared.
- Skylar Diggins Under 8.5 RA12 vs 8.5no clean explanationDiggins's 9 assists easily cleared the 8.5 mark, powered by 23 minutes of court time and a game-high 19% usage rate that kept her orchestrating the offense. Her efficient 4-8 shooting (50%) and 62% true shooting kept defenses honest, enabling her to facilitate rather than force shots.
- Azura Stevens Under 14.5 PA18 vs 14.5paid over the fair numberStevens exceeded the under by distributing at a season-high rate, dishing 6 assists while playing a full 28 minutes with clean foul trouble (2 PF), turning her elevated usage into efficient playmaking rather than shot volume. Her 57% true shooting and +23 rating suggest she was operating as a primary facilitator in a game flow that rewarded ball movement.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.