INTERNAL FORMULA RESEARCH · generated and settled by our systems
INTERNAL FORMULA RESEARCH · generated and settled by our systems
| Formula | W–L | Priced | ROI | Units | CLV | vs break-even | Last pick | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pinn_devig | 160–143 | 303 | +2.5%-8.5% to +13.6% | +7.7u | +8.87¢ | not yet separable | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| consensus_devig | 69–55 | 124 | +12.8%-5.3% to +30.9% | +15.8u | +5.15¢ | not yet separable | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| priced_lineedges_floored | 81–60 | 141 | +7.1%-8.2% to +22.5% | +10.1u | +1.36¢ | not yet separable | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| consensus_wnba | 1529–1116 | 2645 | +1.0%-2.4% to +4.3% | +25.8u | +1.35¢ | not yet separable | Aug 30 | Tonight → |
| model_matrix | 13615–9975 | 23590 | +1.9%+0.8% to +3.1% | +458.2u | +1.29¢ | beats break-even | Aug 30 | Tonight → |
| form_wnba | 1360–974 | 2334 | +6.2%+2.5% to +9.9% | +144.9u | +1.23¢ | beats break-even | Aug 30 | Tonight → |
| disciplined_board LIST | 609–425 | 1034 | +5.6%+0.1% to +11.0% | +57.4u | +1.17¢ | beats break-even | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| system_lineedges | 647–442 | 1089 | +5.4%+0.1% to +10.6% | +58.6u | +1.15¢ | beats break-even | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| priced_lineedges CORE | 609–409 | 1018 | +6.3%+0.9% to +11.8% | +64.6u | +1.05¢ | beats break-even | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| scout_ml | 867–750 | 1617 | -2.3%-6.8% to +2.2% | -37.3u | +1.05¢ | not yet separable | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| claude_combined | 230–198 | 428 | -1.7%-10.4% to +7.0% | -7.4u | +0.12¢ | not yet separable | Jul 18 | Tonight → |
| disciplined_llm | 118–159 | 277 | -15.3%-27.0% to -3.6% | -42.4u | +4.23¢ | losing | Aug 2 | Tonight → |
| both_agree · small sample | 18–9 | 27 | +21.8%-11.7% to +55.3% | +5.9u | +5.33¢ | not yet separable | Aug 24 | Tonight → |
| disciplined · small sample | 18–9 | 27 | +21.8%-11.7% to +55.3% | +5.9u | +5.33¢ | not yet separable | Aug 24 | Tonight → |
| role_gated_board · small sample | 51–33 | 84 | +8.8%-10.2% to +27.9% | +7.4u | +1.32¢ | not yet separable | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
| role_gated_lineedges · small sample | 60–39 | 99 | +8.5%-9.0% to +26.0% | +8.4u | +1.10¢ | not yet separable | Aug 29 | Tonight → |
Full-season records, flat 1 unit per pick. ROI is over priced bets only; CLV is the average closing-line value on close-captured picks — the leading indicator (an ROI far ahead of its CLV is running hot). Ranked by CLV first — beating the closing line is the more reliable signal at these sample sizes — with any formula whose ROI range sits entirely below zero moved to the bottom regardless of its CLV. Every number here is over PRICED bets only: picks posted without odds earn nothing whether they win or lose, so counting them inflates a record without ever moving the money. The range beside each ROI is a 95% interval; where it spans zero, the formula has not yet shown an edge distinguishable from break-even, however good the headline looks. With this many formulas compared, expect a couple to clear the bar by chance alone — which is why we do not claim one formula beats another.† marks a number inflated by unpriced signal rows: those picks earn nothing whether they win or lose, so they pad the win rate, and because an unpriced row carries a bet price of zero its recorded CLV is enormous — on the worst offenders most of the published CLV comes from a handful of such rows. Where you see †, read the ROI and the priced count, not the win rate or the CLV. CORE/LIST mark what the house card serves tonight. Records are shown for internal research comparison — including the losing rows.