← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-06-30
Day by day
these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
2–25 · 7% · −22.92u across the last 1 days · 3 voided, nothing staked
06/302–25 ·3 void7%−22.92u1 game
LVA @ NYL2–25 ·3 void−22.92u
- Chennedy Carter Under 14.5 PA21 vs 14.5paid over the fair numberCarter's 21 points came on 56% true shooting despite playing just 25 minutes, as her 7-14 FG efficiency and 4-5 free-throw shooting powered a +10 rating in a blowout win that kept her volume high despite limited floor time. The Under missed because she was simply too efficient—converting 50% from the field and 80% from the line compressed scoring into fewer shot attempts than typical.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu exceeded her recent assist average (3.4 over L10) by getting extended run in a blowout win (+19, 31 minutes) where elevated usage (33%) and offensive opportunities created more kick-out situations than her recent norm. The sharp model's recency concern was valid, but a game script favoring ball movement in a rout proved the decisive factor.
- Chennedy Carter Under 14.5 PRA24 vs 14.5no clean explanationCarter torched the under with an efficient 18-point, 6-assist night on 50% FG, nearly doubling the 14.5 line despite playing just 25 minutes—her high usage rate (29%) and elite true shooting (56%) made her a volume scorer in limited time.
- Chennedy Carter Under 14.5 PR21 vs 14.5no clean explanationCarter torched the under with a 7-14 shooting night (50% FG) and 4-5 from the line, converting at 56% true shooting despite playing just 25 minutes on high 29% usage. She stayed out of foul trouble with only 3 PF, allowing her to maintain aggressive scoring without constraint.
- Chennedy Carter Under 12.5 PTS18 vs 12.5paid over the fair numberCarter torched the under with efficient scoring, going 7-14 from the field (50% FG) and 4-5 from the line to reach 18 points in 25 minutes—well above the 12.5 threshold. Her 29% usage rate and elevated minutes gave her ample scoring opportunities in a game where she shot above her season averages.
- Jackie Young Under 27.5 PRA40 vs 27.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung torched the under with elite efficiency, shooting 12-21 (57%) from the field and 4-4 from the line while logging 36 minutes to rack up 40 PRA—13 points over the line. Her 68% true shooting and high-volume scoring (31 points on 29% usage) proved unsustainable relative to the 27.5 projection.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.