← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-07-07
Day by day
these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
34–21 · 62% · +8.08u across the last 1 days · 3 voided, nothing staked
07/0734–21 ·3 void62%+8.08u2 games
CHI @ PHO11–9 ·3 void−0.07u
- Azura Stevens Under 9.5 RA12 vs 9.5no clean explanationStevens grabbed 10 rebounds in 26 minutes—a rate of 13.8 per 40—and despite poor 3-10 shooting, remained active on the glass enough to clear the 9.5 rebound line. Her elevated usage (24%) and full complement of minutes kept her rebounding volume consistent with her season trends.
- Kahleah Copper Under 1.5 3PM4 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCopper went 4-for-10 from three and played 34 minutes, exceeding her steady 31.7-minute average and converting at a 40% clip from deep—well above the modest recency gap we identified—to easily clear the 1.5 threes line. Her elevated usage (35%) and high-volume attempt rate made the under vulnerable despite the L10 fade look.
- Kamilla Cardoso Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCardoso doubled her season assist average with 4 dimes in 28 minutes, benefiting from elevated ball-handling and playmaking responsibility in a game where she logged strong usage despite modest scoring output. The under was built on her 2.4 L10 average, but she exceeded that floor by operating as a secondary facilitator on the perimeter.
- DeWanna Bonner Under 18.5 PR19 vs 18.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBonner's 19 points came from elite efficiency despite modest volume—she shot 4-for-4 from the free-throw line and 77% true shooting—which allowed her to exceed the 18.5 under on just 12 field goals in 31 minutes of play.
- DeWanna Bonner Under 6.5 REB7 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBonner grabbed 7 rebounds in 31 minutes, exceeding her L10 average of 5.4 by pushing her rebounding activity despite modest usage (13%), as the Mystics kept her on the floor in a competitive game rather than blowing out early.
- Azura Stevens Under 6.5 REB10 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStevens crushed the glass with 10 rebounds in 26 minutes—well above her 6.5 line—despite shooting just 3-10 from the field, as her activity on the boards and willingness to crash for offensive chances (she was active on the glass early) compensated for inefficient scoring. The under missed because rebounding volume, not shooting efficiency, was her calling card in this game.
DAL @ NYL23–12+8.15u
- Arike Ogunbowale Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgunbowale went 0-for-4 from three despite 32 minutes and solid court time, failing to generate her typical volume from deep; the under hit on poor shot selection or defensive coverage that kept her off the three-ball entirely.
- Jessica Shepard Under 15.5 RA23 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upShepard's 23 rebounds and assists combined well above the 15.5 line, driven by a team-high 37 minutes of play and elite 69% true shooting that kept her on the floor in a competitive game. Her 12 rebounds paired with 11 assists reflected both volume and efficiency that exceeded expectation despite modest 24% usage.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu hit the over by one assist despite inefficient shooting (5-15 FG, 44% TS), driven by heavy usage (27%) and full availability in 33 minutes—the mixed pre-game signals proved prescient, as she generated just enough volume to clear 4.5 dimes.
- Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 REB9 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upStewart's 9 rebounds came on a high-volume night (33 min, 31% usage, 10-16 FG), and she grabbed boards on nearly every second-chance opportunity available in a competitive game—the under at 8.5 was always tight, and her aggressive floor time made the one-rebound margin inevitable.
- Jessica Shepard Under 13.5 PTS22 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upShepard's elite 11-16 shooting (69% TS) from the field, combined with 37 minutes of run and high usage in a balanced offensive attack, easily carried her past 13.5 despite taking no three-pointers or free throws.
- Azzi Fudd Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5no clean explanationFudd played 34 minutes with 17% usage and recorded exactly 3 assists, one more than the 2.5 line required, despite shooting just 46% TS and missing all four three-point attempts. The under missed by the narrowest margin on a quiet offensive night where she still logged significant floor time.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.