← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-07-09
Day by day
these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
14–9 · 61% · +1.84u across the last 1 days
07/0914–961%+1.84u3 games
IND @ PHO7–6−0.44u
- DeWanna Bonner Under 6.5 REB7 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBonner grabbed 7 rebounds in 27 minutes—one more than the 6.5 line—despite modest 15% usage, as she corralled boards at a higher rate than her season average in a game where Phoenix needed rebounding help in the loss.
- Lexie Hull Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanationHull went 2-for-3 from three in 18 minutes, hitting at an elite 66.7% clip from deep—well above her season rate—to easily clear the 1.5 line despite modest usage. The sharp under thesis needed her to stay quiet from distance, but she was efficient enough in limited minutes to spoil the bet.
- Tyasha Harris Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHarris exceeded her 4.5 assist line by distributing 5 dimes in 22 minutes, a modest uptick from her 1.9 L10 average but enough to cash the over despite limited usage at 19%—the pre-game data flagged the under as mispriced, and Harris's efficient playmaking in concentrated minutes delivered. Her near-perfect shooting night (94% TS on 19% usage) created natural assist opportunities that pushed her just past the line.
- Tyasha Harris Under 7.5 PTS15 vs 7.5paid over the fair numberHarris nearly doubled her season average on 22 minutes (8 more than her L5 baseline) and shot an elite 75% from the field including 75% from three, torching the efficiency assumptions baked into the under.
- Tyasha Harris Under 11.5 PA20 vs 11.5no clean explanationHarris erupted on elite efficiency (6-8 FG, 3-4 3PT, 94% TS%), scoring 15 points in 22 minutes, and added 5 assists to reach 20 PA—well above the 11.5 line despite modest usage (19%) and playing within foul trouble (5 PF).
- Lexie Hull Under 8.5 PTS10 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHull's efficient 4-6 shooting night (67% FG, 66% 3PT) delivered 10 points in 18 minutes—a modest spike from her L10 average of 6.7, but enough to clear the 8.5 line on a night when her scoring volume stayed modest at 16% usage.
LVA @ POR2–1−0.08u
- Bridget Carleton Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCarleton delivered exactly one more assist than her 1.5 L10 average despite playing under her typical 31.2 min, aided by a game situation that likely generated more ball movement; her 20% usage and modest shooting efficiency (3-10 FG) meant she wasn't forcing playmaking, but the extra dime came through nonetheless.
SEA @ ATL5–2+2.36u
- Natisha Hiedeman Under 2.5 3PM3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHiedeman hit exactly 3-of-9 from three to push past the 2.5 line, staying aggressive with 27% usage over 34 minutes despite a -9 rating in a losing effort. Her 3-point makes matched her season consistency rather than an outlier performance.
- Awa Fam Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5no clean explanationFam's ball-movement role kept her at 4 assists despite poor individual shooting (2-8 FG), as she logged 30 minutes and maintained steady playmaking duties even while her scoring dragged down her overall efficiency.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.