← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-07-13
Day by day
these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
17–13 · 57% · +0.38u across the last 1 days
07/1317–1357%+0.38u2 games
LAS @ ATL13–11−0.47u
- Erica Wheeler Under 9.5 PTS20 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler torched the under on a 50% FG night (8-16) and 59% true shooting—more than 20 percentage points above her season clip of 36.1%—while playing 32 minutes with elevated usage (27%), simply outgunning Atlanta's perimeter defense in a way her season averages (8.0 PPG, 7.7 L10) never suggested was likely.
- Ariel Atkins Under 13.5 PR16 vs 13.5no clean explanationAtkins exceeded the 13.5 line by going 5-11 from the field (45% FG) while logging 34 minutes with elevated usage (18%), converting 3-of-3 free throws to reach 16 points despite a quiet 0-3 three-point night. The over-reliance on two-point makes and free throws—rather than her typical three-point volume—was enough to push her over the total.
- Rae Burrell Under 20.5 PRA26 vs 20.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurrell shot efficiently across the board (55.6% FG, 40% 3PT, 100% FT) and stayed out of foul trouble with just 3 PF in 33 minutes, accumulating 26 PRA through consistent scoring and playmaking rather than volume alone.
- Rae Burrell Under 17.5 PR22 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurrell's 77% true shooting efficiency—fueled by a perfect 6-6 from the line and 56% overall shooting—combined with 33 minutes of playing time to push her to 22 points despite a modest 18% usage rate. The high-efficiency night on limited volume was the outlier that broke the under.
- Rae Burrell Under 17.5 PA22 vs 17.5no clean explanationBurrell's perfect 6-for-6 free-throw shooting and 77% true shooting efficiency drove her to 22 points despite modest 18% usage, as she capitalized on high-quality looks rather than high volume. Her elite efficiency on limited shot attempts—including 2-for-5 from three—was enough to clear the 17.5-point line in 33 minutes.
- Nneka Ogwumike Under 3.5 AST5 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike delivered 5 assists on 32 minutes and 23% usage, exceeding the 3.5 line by initiating offense at a higher rate than the pre-game forecast suggested; her efficient 68% TS% and high touch volume (19 points on 13 FGA) kept her engaged as a primary playmaker.
PHO @ MIN4–2+0.86u
- DeWanna Bonner Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBonner hit 2-of-7 from three despite modest volume, converting at 29% from deep—right at her season average—and her 33 minutes of run ensured enough looks to clear the 1.5 line in a game where she remained aggressive early despite foul trouble never materializing.
- DeWanna Bonner Under 14.5 PR26 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBonner erupted for 26 points on an efficient 62% TS%, converting 6-of-12 from the field and 3-of-4 from the line while logging 33 minutes—well above her typical role—to blow past the 14.5 total. Her 21% usage rate was modest, but the elite shooting efficiency (especially on limited 3-point volume) was the outlier that sank the under.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.