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2026-07-19

Day by day

these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

21–15 · 58% · +0.84u across the last 1 days

07/1921–1558%+0.84u3 games

permalink to 2026-07-19 →

CON @ PHO2–4−2.93u
  • Monique Akoa Makani Under 2.5 REB6 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMakani stayed on the floor for a full 32 minutes and crashed the glass aggressively, pulling down 6 rebounds despite modest offensive touches—more than double the 2.5-rebound line. Her extended playing time and activity on the boards in a blowout win (+17) meant higher rebounding volume than the projection accounted for.
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Under 7.5 RA8 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberLeger-Walker's 5 assists paired with 3 rebounds to reach 8 RA, as she logged 29 minutes and maintained ball-handling duties despite shooting just 20% from the field. The under missed narrowly despite her offensive inefficiency because her playmaking role kept her involved on the glass and in the offense.
  • Natasha Mack Over 8.5 PA4 vs 8.5paid over the fair numberMack's 4 assists fell well short despite 20 minutes of court time, as she recorded just one turnover and generated minimal ball movement in a low-usage role (12%). Her 0 ast-to-5 reb line reflects a game focused entirely on finishing rather than facilitating.
  • Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5no clean explanationCopper's elevated 35 minutes and 30% usage rate—well above typical for her—gave her more opportunities to facilitate, and she converted those chances with 4 assists despite a modest 5-14 shooting night. The extended run in a competitive game pushed her over the 2.5 threshold.
LAS @ DAL5–3+1.20u
  • Azzi Fudd Under 2.5 REB4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upFudd grabbed 4 rebounds in 33 minutes of heavy playing time, exceeding the 2.5 line despite modest usage; she was active on the glass and contributed on the glass even as a perimeter-oriented scorer.
  • Dearica Hamby Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHamby's 3 assists just cleared the 2.5 line despite modest usage (28%), as her efficiency in the post—shooting 8-for-12—created enough easy passes to role players to push her over the under target.
  • Erica Wheeler Under 2.5 REB3 vs 2.5no clean explanationWheeler grabbed exactly one rebound more than the line allowed, staying on court for a full 35 minutes despite poor shooting (4-14 FG) and picking up 3 fouls, which kept her available for board opportunities even as her offensive efficiency cratered at 31% TS.
CHI @ ATL14–8+2.56u
  • Sydney Taylor Under 16.5 PR21 vs 16.5no clean explanationTaylor exceeded the under by hitting 7-of-16 from the field (43.8%) and 3-of-7 from three (42.9%) while playing a full 28 minutes with elevated 28% usage, converting her opportunities at a 53% true shooting clip to reach 21 points. The efficient shooting night—particularly from beyond the arc—was the decisive factor in clearing the 16.5-point projection.
  • Allisha Gray Under 25.5 PRA38 vs 25.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's elite 87% true shooting on 21% usage made her a volume-efficient scorer—she punished the defense with 11-13 free throws and 7-11 field goals in 35 minutes, delivering 29 points alone to far exceed the under.
  • Sydney Taylor Under 19.5 PRA23 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held upTaylor exceeded the 19.5 PRA line by 3.5 points on efficient shooting (53% TS, 7-16 FG) and solid supplementary stats (3 reb, 2 ast, 1 stl) across 28 minutes of heavy usage at 28%. The combination of high volume and clean efficiency—plus avoiding turnovers—pushed her total just over the chalk.
  • Sydney Taylor Under 17.5 PA20 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upTaylor's 20 points came on efficient 7-16 shooting (43.8% FG) and elevated usage at 28%, enough volume to clear 17.5 despite modest three-point shooting (3-7). The under missed because she stayed out of foul trouble (5 PF) and played a full 28 minutes, maintaining enough shot attempts to exceed the line.
  • Azura Stevens Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStevens went 2-for-4 from three and hit both her makes in a game where she saw elevated usage (25%), staying efficient at 75% TS% and playing the full 30 minutes without foul trouble to limit her opportunities.
  • Allisha Gray Under 3.5 REB6 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's elite shooting night (7-11 FG, 4-6 3PT, 11-13 FT) kept her on the floor for a game-high 35 minutes, allowing her to crash the glass more opportunistically than her modest 21% usage rate might suggest. She secured 6 boards despite modest volume, exceeding the under by one rebound in a high-efficiency performance.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.