scout_ml · WNBA

2026-07-20

Day by day

these are the scout_ml picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

197 · 73% · +6.80u across the last 1 days

07/2019773%+6.80u4 games
WAS @ GSV12−1.43u
  • Michaela Onyenwere Under 1.5 3PM3 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberOnyenwere went 3-7 from three in 31 minutes, nearly doubling her under line despite modest 18% usage—the efficient 3-point shooting (43%) and extended floor time were enough to push her over 1.5 makes despite limited offensive touches.
  • Veronica Burton Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanationBurton went 2-for-3 from deep on 26 minutes and 18% usage, hitting at an efficient 67% clip from three—well above her typical volume and accuracy, which was enough to clear the 1.5 line despite modest shot attempts.
LVA @ TOR20+1.65u
NYL @ DAL73+2.67u
  • Arike Ogunbowale Under 19.5 PR34 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgunbowale torched the under with a 29-point performance fueled by perfect free-throw shooting (8-8) and elite usage at 37%, running 38 minutes despite four fouls and converting 53% of her possessions efficiently.
  • Arike Ogunbowale Under 22.5 PRA40 vs 22.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgunbowale's 40 PRA crushed the under as she dominated usage (37%) with efficient scoring—8-8 from the line and 9-24 from the field—while adding 6 assists across a full 38 minutes of play. The combination of high volume, free-throw efficiency, and playmaking gave her multiple avenues to accumulate points and assists well above the 22.5 threshold.
  • Breanna Stewart Under 3.5 AST8 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStewart's playmaking activity spiked well beyond her season pattern, recording 8 assists on 27% usage in a high-volume 42-minute performance where she operated as a primary ball-mover in the offense. The combination of extended minutes and elevated usage generated more distribution opportunities than the under 3.5 accounted for.
MIN @ SEA92+3.89u
  • Flau'jae Johnson Under 1.5 3PM5 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohnson torched the three-ball at 5-for-8 (62.5%), well above her season norm, and maintained high volume with 8 three-point attempts in 28 minutes despite modest overall usage. The elite shooting efficiency—90% TS%—was driven almost entirely by her three-point stroke, turning what looked like a low-volume role into a perfect storm for three-point scoring.
  • Katie Lou Samuelson Under 5.5 PTS7 vs 5.5no clean explanationSamuelson's efficient 2-4 shooting night (50% FG, 67% 3PT) combined with her 15 minutes of run time proved just enough to eclipse the 5.5-point line, as she converted all five of her shot attempts into seven points despite modest usage.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.