TONIGHT · loading the board…
Tonight's Board.
Pulling tonight's slate across both leagues…
TONIGHT · loading the board…
Pulling tonight's slate across both leagues…
MON · AUG 3 · disciplined_llm · model run complete
Nothing on tonight's slate clears the bar. We'd rather post nothing than post filler — forcing a bet here is how a good season turns sideways.
YOU WERE NOT CHARGED A UNIT OF ATTENTION. SEE YOU TOMORROW.
This happens ~1 night in 6. Empty boards are logged on the ledger too — a "pass" is a result we hold ourselves to.
SAT · JUN 13 · model run complete · 9:58 AM ET
Nothing on the slate clears the bar right now. The lines are sharp and forcing a bet here is how a winning season turns into a losing one. We'd rather post nothing than post filler.
YOU WERE NOT CHARGED A UNIT OF ATTENTION. SEE YOU TOMORROW.
This happens ~1 night in 6. Empty boards are logged on the ledger too — a "pass" is a result we hold ourselves to.
What you're looking at: picks from disciplined_llm. A sharp-anchored screen over the model ensemble. Retired after its record settled the experiment it existed to run — the worst on the board, shown rather than hidden for exactly that reason. Compare formulas →
Full season: 118–159 · -15.3% ROI over 277 priced bets · -42.4u · CLV +4.23¢.
Chips: “% to hit” is a market-calibrated likelihood (derived from prices — it measures how often this cashes, not whether it's good value); letters are likelihood bands, so PASS means “coin-flip likelihood”, not “skip”; “u” is the suggested stake in units.