← claude_combined · WNBA
2026-07-12
Day by day
these are the claude_combined picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
2–5 · 29% · −3.56u across the last 1 days
07/122–529%−3.56u4 games
NYL @ TOR0–4−4.00u
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 17.5 PTS28 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu torched the under by shooting 9-18 from the field (50%) with a perfect 7-8 from the line for 65% true shooting, far exceeding the efficiency needed to clear 17.5 points in 33 minutes of play. Despite modest 26% usage, elite shot-making—particularly from three (3-7, 43%)—allowed her to reach 28 points on volume that should've landed comfortably under the number.
- Maria Conde Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upConde played 34 minutes and shot efficiently (63% TS), but her 16% usage rate—well below her season norm—limited her playmaking opportunities, and she recorded just 2 assists despite the extended floor time.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 16.5 PTS28 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu torched the under with efficient, high-volume scoring: 9-18 FG (50%), 3-7 from three, and 7-8 from the line (87.5% TS) across 33 minutes, nearly doubling the 16.5 projection despite a modest 26% usage rate that indicated she wasn't forced into volume.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 5.5 AST8 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's 8 assists crushed the 5.5 line despite modest recent form, driven by elevated usage (26%) and a full 33 minutes that exceeded the pre-game projection, allowing her playmaking to flourish in a high-volume role. Toronto's neutral guard defense and Ionescu's aggressive shot creation (9-18 FG, 7-8 FT) created natural assist opportunities that our model—anchored to her 3.8-assist average over 10 games—failed to account for.
SEA @ WAS0–1−1.00u
- Shakira Austin Over 8.5 REB5 vs 8.5paid over the fair numberAustin played 33 minutes with high usage (30%) and elite scoring efficiency (64% TS%), but grabbed just 5 boards—a sharp departure from her L10 average of 10.2—suggesting opponent box-outs or a slower rebounding pace limited her glass work despite heavy offensive touches.
CHI @ DAL1–0+0.63u
IND @ LVA1–0+0.81u
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.