claude_combined · WNBA

2026-07-13

Day by day

these are the claude_combined picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

54 · 56% · +0.48u across the last 1 days

07/135456%+0.48u2 games
LAS @ ATL22−0.35u
  • Erica Wheeler Under 9.5 PTS20 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler torched the under on a 50% FG night (8-16) and 59% true shooting—more than 20 percentage points above her season clip of 36.1%—while playing 32 minutes with elevated usage (27%), simply outgunning Atlanta's perimeter defense in a way her season averages (8.0 PPG, 7.7 L10) never suggested was likely.
  • Ariel Atkins Under 10.5 PTS13 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins exceeded the 10.5 line by converting 5-of-11 from the field (45% FG) and staying out of foul trouble (4 PF in 34 min), pushing her above recent trends despite a modest 18% usage rate and 0-3 three-point shooting. The recency fade proved vulnerable when her mid-range shot was falling and she stayed on the floor.
PHO @ MIN32+0.83u
  • Olivia Miles Under 5.5 AST8 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberMiles stuffed the stat sheet with 8 assists on 38% usage and 31 minutes, exceeding her compressed projection (4.1) by leaning heavily into playmaking rather than her typical scoring load despite the blowout risk that was priced into the under. Phoenix's guard defense (rank 13 in assists allowed) proved neutral-to-permissive, and Miles's high usage rate translated into high-volume facilitation rather than the constrained role the under assumed.
  • Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberCopper's 3 rebounds fell short despite 32 minutes and elite 80% TS efficiency, as the Phoenix offense's pace and ball movement (1 assist, 26% usage) limited her individual rebounding opportunities compared to her L10 average of 5.2. Her scoring prowess (26 pts on 9-14 FG) came at the expense of the glass work needed to hit the over.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.