← claude_combined · WNBA
2026-07-15
Day by day
these are the claude_combined picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
4–6 · 40% · −3.24u across the last 1 days
07/154–640%−3.24u2 games
SEA @ CHI1–3−2.44u
- Natasha Cloud Under 10.5 PTS13 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud exceeded the 10.5 line despite Seattle's elite perimeter defense (3rd in PPG allowed to guards) by executing at an elite 85% true shooting, including 2-for-3 from three and 5-for-6 from free throw, while playing a full 30 minutes at 16% usage. The combination of efficient shot-making and free-throw volume proved too much for the matchup-based under thesis.
- Natisha Hiedeman Over 15.5 PTS6 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHiedeman's 27% TS and 3-11 shooting (27% FG) represented a catastrophic collapse from her L10/L5 averages of 18.5–18.8 PPG, despite logging 30 minutes and maintaining her typical 18% usage rate. The offensive efficiency breakdown—compounded by 0-5 from three—overwhelmed volume to render the over unplayable.
- Natasha Cloud Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberCloud exceeded the under threshold by a single assist despite modest 16% usage, generating 6 dimes in 30 minutes with efficient scoring (85% TS%) that kept her engaged in the offense—the sharp +130 value proved vulnerable to even slight playmaking variance in a close final tally.
GSV @ IND3–3−0.81u
- Janelle Salaun Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upSalaun played only 22 minutes and grabbed just 2 rebounds despite efficient scoring (4-7 FG), falling well short of the 3.5 rebound line—limited court time and low rebound volume (18% usage) were the primary culprits behind the miss.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 21.5 PTS20 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberMitchell fell just short despite 35 minutes of work, as Las Vegas's elite perimeter defense (allowing 31.3 PPG to guards, league's best) held her to 7-16 shooting (43.8%)—a significant dip from her 27.6 PPG average over her previous five games. The one-point miss came down to shot-making: she needed just 22 points to cash but couldn't overcome the cold shooting night against the WNBA's top-ranked defense.
- Aliyah Boston Over 8.5 REB7 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBoston fell just short of 8.5 rebounds with 7 boards in 25 minutes—a limited run that cut into rebounding opportunity despite solid 63% TS efficiency and 26% usage. Four fouls also likely caused her to play cautiously down the stretch, capping her exposure on the glass.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.