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WNBA 2025–26: 134–82 ATS · +37.4u
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← consensus_wnba · WNBA

2026-07-15

Day by day

these are the consensus_wnba picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

20–23 · 47% · −9.35u across the last 1 days

07/1520–2347%−9.35u3 games

permalink to 2026-07-15 →

SEA @ CHI4–7−4.26u
  • Natisha Hiedeman Over 16.5 PTS6 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHiedeman's shot selection and efficiency collapsed despite 30 minutes of run: she went 3-11 from the field (27% TS) and bricked all five 3-point attempts, falling well short of the 16.5-point line on just 18% usage.
  • Sydney Taylor Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5no clean explanationTaylor went 1-for-6 from three despite solid overall efficiency (7-15 FG), as cold perimeter shooting derailed what looked like a favorable matchup; the extra 3 minutes of run didn't offset the 33% three-point rate that fell well short of her recent 2.8 per-game average.
  • Natisha Hiedeman Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberHiedeman went 0-for-5 from three despite 30 minutes and 18% usage, posting a brutal 27% TS% that reflects how badly she missed from deep—she simply couldn't find the bottom on any three-point attempts.
  • Azura Stevens Under 13.5 PTS20 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStevens torched the under on 8-16 shooting (50% FG, 59% TS%) with extended run at 33 minutes, delivering 20 points on efficient volume that far exceeded the 13.5-point threshold despite moderate 25% usage. The over price of +106 punished bettors who followed the pre-game lean on what proved to be a hot-shooting, high-minute performance.
  • Natisha Hiedeman Over 15.5 PTS6 vs 15.5paid over the fair numberHiedeman's 27% TS and 3-11 shooting (27% FG) represented a catastrophic collapse from her L10/L5 averages of 18.5–18.8 PPG, despite logging 30 minutes and maintaining her typical 18% usage rate. The offensive efficiency breakdown—compounded by 0-5 from three—overwhelmed volume to render the over unplayable.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberCloud exceeded the under threshold by a single assist despite modest 16% usage, generating 6 dimes in 30 minutes with efficient scoring (85% TS%) that kept her engaged in the offense—the sharp +130 value proved vulnerable to even slight playmaking variance in a close final tally.
GSV @ IND9–10−3.93u
  • Aliyah Boston Over 15.5 PTS15 vs 15.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBoston fell just short despite solid efficiency (63% TS, 6-11 FG), but 25 minutes—nearly 5 below her recent average—combined with 26% usage limited her to exactly 15 points, one shy of the line. The under-time and reduced offensive role in a close game (+1 +/-) prevented her from reaching the scoring volume needed to cash the over.
  • Veronica Burton Over 4.5 AST4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberBurton fell one assist short despite playing all 30 available minutes, limited by unusually low usage (13%) and inefficient scoring (1-4 FG) that reduced her ball-handling opportunities and offensive rhythm. She recorded exactly 4 assists with 3 turnovers, suggesting caution in shot-creation rather than the volume needed to clear 4.5 dimes.
  • Veronica Burton Over 11.5 PTS4 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurton's 4 points fell well short of 11.5 despite playing all 30 minutes, as she shot just 1-for-4 from the field (25% FG) and failed to generate scoring opportunities with only 13% usage rate.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark shot just 1-for-8 from three on a night she played only 26 minutes with modest 36% usage, falling short of her L10 average of 2.4 threes despite seeing adequate volume from deep.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 6.5 AST6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upClark fell just short despite solid usage (36%), limited by reduced court time (26 min vs. her L10 average of 29.3) and inefficient shot-making (4-14 FG, 1-8 3PT) that likely forced more isolation-heavy possessions rather than facilitative play.
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 21.5 PTS20 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationMitchell fell just short despite 35 minutes of work, as Las Vegas's elite perimeter defense (allowing 31.3 PPG to guards, league's best) held her to 7-16 shooting (43.8%)—a significant dip from her 27.6 PPG average over her previous five games. The one-point miss came down to shot-making: she needed just 22 points to cash but couldn't overcome the cold shooting night against the WNBA's top-ranked defense.
LAS @ MIN7–6−1.17u
  • Courtney Williams Over 4.5 REB2 vs 4.5no clean explanationWilliams played 35 minutes with solid efficiency (62% TS) but crashed the boards far below expectation, nabbing just 2 rebounds—well short of the 4.5 line—despite 23% usage suggesting adequate opportunity and only 1 foul that wouldn't have limited her availability.
  • Kayla McBride Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride went 2-8 from three despite solid overall efficiency (8-16 FG, 63% TS), with her three-point volume and make rate both falling short of the over's requirement even in a blowout win where she played 31 minutes at 29% usage.
  • Olivia Miles Over 18.5 PTS18 vs 18.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationMiles fell one point short despite solid efficiency (57% TS, 7-14 FG), limited by just 26 minutes of playing time in what turned into a closer contest than anticipated, preventing her from reaching the volume needed to clear 18.5.
  • Ariel Atkins Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins hit 2-of-7 from three despite shooting just 27% overall and finishing with a woeful 36% TS%, suggesting she got fortunate on her limited three-point attempts rather than executing a rhythm game. Her 35 minutes and 17% usage gave her enough volume to exceed the under despite poor efficiency across the board.
  • Olivia Miles Over 19.5 PTS18 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMiles fell just short despite solid efficiency (57% TS, 7-14 FG), undone by only 26 minutes of play and 27% usage—well below her recent 10-game average—which limited her volume to reach the 19.5 line.
  • Courtney Williams Under 16.5 PTS19 vs 16.5no clean explanationWilliams exceeded the 16.5 line by converting 7-of-13 shots (53.8% FG) with efficient free-throw shooting (4-5), offsetting her cold 3-point night to reach 19 points on 62% true shooting despite modest 23% usage. The bet missed because she played high-volume interior offense in a competitive game (35 minutes, -3 +/-) rather than defaulting to her recent 13.5 ppg pace.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.