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consensus_wnba

1150861 over 2011 priced bets · +1.5u · ROI +0.1% -3.8% to +3.9% · CLV +1.30¢ +1.1% to +1.5%

Not yet separable from break-even — the ROI interval spans zero, so this record is consistent with a real edge AND with none.

THE PICKS · priced bets only, newest first

Every day, every game, every miss.

Day by day

these are the consensus_wnba picks — the same set listed in the sheet below. The record in the header bar is a different formula, so the two totals will not match.

587410 · 59% · +27.30u across these days · 3 voided, nothing staked

08/06281762%+6.78u3 games
TOR @ POR33−1.19u
  • Bridget Carleton Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Maria Conde Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Maria Conde Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
LVA @ IND86+0.21u
  • Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 PTS11 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • A'ja Wilson Under 10.5 REB13 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Under 9.5 REB12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBoston exceeded the rebounding line by crashing the glass relentlessly in 38 minutes of heavy usage, grabbing 12 boards on strong efficiency (70% TS) to carry the offensive load despite a team-worst -9 +/-. The high volume and floor time proved decisive for the over-9.5 rebound prop.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson went 0-for-2 from three despite heavy involvement (38 min, 34% usage), staying aggressive inside where she shot 10-25 overall and made all six free throws. The over missed because she simply didn't attempt enough threes (only 2 tries) to hit the floor in a game where the Las Vegas offense favored her dominant interior presence.
LAS @ MIN178+7.77u
  • Ariel Atkins Over 10.5 PTS7 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Dearica Hamby Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike scored efficiently (16 pts on 62% TS in 30 min) but recorded zero assists despite 27% usage, turning the ball over 5 times and failing to facilitate for teammates. The volume was there but playmaking never materialized, leaving the over well short of the 2.5 threshold.
  • Courtney Williams Over 3.5 AST0 vs 3.5no clean explanationWilliams played 34 minutes but recorded zero assists despite 17% usage, operating primarily as a scorer (12 points on 5-12 shooting) rather than a facilitator in the offense. The complete absence of playmaking opportunities—just one turnover in a game where she touched the ball infrequently—made the over an impossible hit.
  • Kayla McBride Over 17.5 PTS15 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride fell just short despite playing 34 minutes, as a poor 5-13 shooting night (38 FG%) limited her to 15 points despite decent volume at 21% usage. The miss came down to inefficiency rather than opportunity—she had the minutes and touches but couldn't convert at her typical rate.
  • Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5no clean explanationBurrell's 2 assists fell one short of the over, despite solid scoring (17 pts on 67% TS); her 23% usage rate limited playmaking opportunities and she recorded just 1 turnover, indicating a shoot-first role rather than ball-handling duties.
08/05191066%+3.35u4 games
PHO @ ATL44−0.95u
  • Kelsey Plum Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Rhyne Howard Under 17.5 PTS23 vs 17.5paid over the fair numberHoward's elite efficiency—74% true shooting on 22% usage—combined with perfect free-throw shooting (6-6) to push her 5 points over the line despite moderate volume from the field (13 FG attempts).
  • Jordin Canada Over 7.5 AST4 vs 7.5no clean explanationCanada's assist total was dragged down by five turnovers and limited playmaking opportunities despite 30 minutes of work; she recorded only 4 dimes against an opponent that forced her into a shoot-first role (32% usage, 4-13 FG).
  • Kelsey Plum Over 4.5 AST4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberPlum fell one assist short despite efficient scoring (19 pts on 75% TS), as her 25% usage rate and 26 minutes limited her playmaking opportunities in what appeared to be a balanced offensive game.
LAS @ CHI21+0.21u
  • Erica Wheeler Over 5.5 AST5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberWheeler came up one assist short despite efficient scoring (6-9 FG), limited by 24 minutes and modest usage (20%) that restricted her playmaking opportunities.
SEA @ NYL63+1.37u
  • Rebecca Allen Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 18.5 PTS15 vs 18.5paid over the fair numberIonescu's inefficient 4-14 shooting (28.6% FG) despite 31 minutes of work left her 3.5 points short, as she couldn't compensate for her poor field-goal accuracy with her free-throw prowess (6-6). Her 23% usage rate also indicated the offense didn't lean heavily on her scoring in this matchup.
  • Awa Fam Over 5.5 REB5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberFam finished exactly at the line with 5 rebounds in 23 minutes of play, unable to secure the extra board needed to cash the over despite solid shooting efficiency (59% TS). Limited minutes and moderate usage (23%) kept her rebound opportunities constrained.
DAL @ WAS72+2.72u
  • Azzi Fudd Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Michaela Onyenwere Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5no clean explanationOnyenwere logged only 19 minutes and recorded just 1 assist despite solid efficiency (62% TS), unable to generate enough ball movement in limited run to clear the 1.5 threshold.
08/04232548%−7.16u1 game
TOR @ GSV2325−7.16u
  • Cecilia Zandalasini Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Marina Mabrey Over 16.5 PTS12 vs 16.5no clean explanation
  • Kiah Stokes Under 4.5 PTS7 vs 4.5no clean explanation
  • Kayla Thornton Under 9.5 PTS20 vs 9.5no clean explanation
  • Laura Juskaite Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Kaitlyn Chen Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5game script — blowout or foul trouble
08/03453358%+1.31u3 games
SEA @ NYL1313−3.09u
  • Breanna Stewart Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Breanna Stewart Over 8.5 REB8 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jonquel Jones Over 8.5 REB7 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Natisha Hiedeman Under 5.5 AST7 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 PTS18 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
LVA @ ATL1612+0.03u
  • Angel Reese Under 15.5 PTS23 vs 15.5no clean explanation
  • Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 REB1 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 PTS23 vs 25.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Allisha Gray Over 19.5 PTS7 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 AST2 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Jackie Young Under 2.5 3PM4 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
PHO @ CHI168+4.37u
  • Sydney Taylor Over 17.5 PTS14 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 3PM4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • DeWanna Bonner Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • DiJonai Carrington Under 9.5 PTS16 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Courtney Vandersloot Under 4.5 AST10 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kamilla Cardoso Under 3.5 AST5 vs 3.5no clean explanationCardoso exceeded the assist prop by recording 5 dimes in 28 minutes, nearly double the 3.5 line, as her high usage rate (23%) and ball-handling opportunities in Chicago's offense created more playmaking chances than projected. The 13 rebounds also kept her involved in multiple possessions, naturally increasing her assist floor on a night when she was a primary offensive weapon.
08/022726 ·3 void51%−6.31u4 games
CON @ DAL16−5.26u
  • Arike Ogunbowale Over 15.5 PTS15 vs 15.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 AST2 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 11.5 PTS8 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Arike Ogunbowale Under 3.5 REB5 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 AST4 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Paige Bueckers Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBueckers fell one rebound short despite playing 25 minutes, finishing with 3 boards as her offensive struggles (3-9 FG, 18% usage) limited her ability to generate extra possessions and offensive rebounding opportunities.
IND @ MIN1212−3.58u
  • Caitlin Clark Over 19.5 PTS19 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Natasha Howard Under 12.5 PTS13 vs 12.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Caitlin Clark Over 3.5 REB1 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Kayla McBride Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Under 3.5 AST7 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Monique Billings Over 5.5 REB3 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
TOR @ GSV43−0.11u
  • Veronica Burton Under 1.5 3PM3 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Isabelle Harrison Over 5.5 REB2 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHarrison was held to just 2 rebounds in 17 minutes despite 27% usage, falling well short of the 5.5 line; her poor offensive efficiency (2-9 FG, 22% TS) likely limited second-chance opportunities and kept her off the glass.
  • Isabelle Harrison Over 11.5 PTS4 vs 11.5no clean explanationHarrison's ice-cold 2-9 shooting (22% TS) left her far short at just 4 points, compounded by a blowout loss that limited her to 17 minutes and 27% usage. A combination of poor efficiency and reduced playing time in a lopsided game made the over an easy miss.
LAS @ POR105 ·3 void+2.64u
  • Emily Engstler Over 8.5 PTS7 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Dearica Hamby Under 7.5 REB10 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHamby exceeded the 7.5 rebound line with 10 boards despite playing only 29 minutes, capitalizing on elite 73% true shooting and high volume touches (26% usage) that kept her heavily involved in the offensive glass. The under missed because she secured 0.34 rebounds per minute—well above her typical rate—in a game where she stayed out of foul trouble with just 4 fouls.
  • Dearica Hamby Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHamby's high usage rate (26%) and extended minutes (29) in a game where she was efficient (11-15 FG) created enough ball-handling opportunities to push her to exactly 4 assists, just one over the line. She stayed out of foul trouble (4 PF) and maintained possession, allowing her to facilitate slightly more than the under projection despite playing within her typical role.
  • Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike's ball-handling was minimal despite 30 minutes and high usage (31%), as she recorded just 2 assists while turning it over twice, suggesting the offense ran through her scoring rather than playmaking in this game.
  • Emily Engstler Over 4.5 REB3 vs 4.5no clean explanationEngstler managed only 3 rebounds in 22 minutes of play, falling one board short of the 4.5 target; her limited floor time and 4 fouls (one shy of fouling out) restricted her rebounding opportunities despite a team that may have needed boards.
08/01231856%−0.52u2 games
LVA @ CHI109−2.23u
  • NaLyssa Smith Under 5.5 REB6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Elizabeth Williams Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jackie Young Over 19.5 PTS18 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 PTS5 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 14.5 PTS8 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
NYL @ PHO139+1.71u
  • Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 AST7 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Natasha Mack Over 6.5 PTS5 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Pauline Astier Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Monique Akoa Makani Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5no clean explanation
  • Breanna Stewart Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/31393851%−7.64u3 games
DAL @ WAS1014−6.98u
  • Arike Ogunbowale Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kiki Iriafen Over 9.5 REB9 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Michaela Onyenwere Over 8.5 PTS6 vs 8.5no clean explanation
  • Azzi Fudd Over 12.5 PTS8 vs 12.5no clean explanation
  • Georgia Amoore Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5no clean explanation
  • Sonia Citron Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
IND @ POR913−5.92u
  • Caitlin Clark Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Emily Engstler Over 5.5 REB2 vs 5.5no clean explanation
  • Megan DiLeo Over 13.5 PTS5 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Over 16.5 PTS14 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Carla Leite Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Under 7.5 REB9 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
SEA @ ATL2011+5.26u
  • Dominique Malonga Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Jordin Canada Over 10.5 PTS10 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Jordin Canada Under 8.5 AST9 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Allisha Gray Over 19.5 PTS16 vs 19.5no clean explanation
  • Natisha Hiedeman Under 3.5 REB5 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/30312654%−4.85u3 games
MIN @ TOR814−8.24u
  • Julie Allemand Over 7.5 PTS0 vs 7.5no clean explanation
  • Marina Mabrey Over 20.5 PTS16 vs 20.5no clean explanation
  • Maria Conde Over 4.5 REB2 vs 4.5no clean explanation
  • Marina Mabrey Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Olivia Miles Over 17.5 PTS16 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Courtney Williams Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
CON @ CHI108−1.62u
  • Courtney Vandersloot Under 2.5 REB5 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Aneesah Morrow Under 13.5 PTS21 vs 13.5no clean explanation
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 AST2 vs 3.5no clean explanation
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 2.5 REB1 vs 2.5no clean explanationLeger-Walker played 30 minutes but pulled down just 1 rebound despite a 19% usage rate, failing to establish herself on the glass where the over required her to average 3+ boards per game. Her teammates dominated the rebounding battle, limiting opportunities for her to contribute on the boards despite sufficient court time.
  • Courtney Vandersloot Over 7.5 PTS6 vs 7.5no clean explanationVandersloot's shooting touch abandoned her early and often, connecting on just 2-of-7 from the field (28.6%) despite 23 minutes of action; the low-volume shooting night combined with modest free-throw attempts (2-2) left her 1.5 points short of the over.
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 13.5 PTS16 vs 13.5no clean explanationNelson-Ododa exceeded the under by converting 6 of 6 free throws and posting a 59% true shooting percentage despite modest field-goal volume, combining efficient scoring from the line with elevated 33% usage to reach 16 points in 25 minutes.
NYL @ LVA134+5.00u
  • Chelsea Gray Over 6.5 AST4 vs 6.5no clean explanation
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 3PM1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 18.5 PTS15 vs 18.5no clean explanation
  • Jonquel Jones Over 8.5 REB7 vs 8.5no clean explanationJones fell one rebound short despite 28 minutes of action, hampered by a poor 2-11 shooting night that limited her offensive opportunities and kept her out of rhythm on the glass. Five personal fouls also likely forced her into a more cautious defensive posture down the stretch.
07/29311666%+7.49u2 games
ATL @ DAL1810+2.94u
  • Angel Reese Under 11.5 REB12 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Naz Hillmon Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Allisha Gray Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 PTS16 vs 20.5no clean explanation
  • Rhyne Howard Under 4.5 REB5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Allisha Gray Over 2.5 REB0 vs 2.5no clean explanation
GSV @ PHO136+4.56u
  • DeWanna Bonner Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Cecilia Zandalasini Under 1.5 3PM3 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 AST8 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Veronica Burton Under 12.5 PTS15 vs 12.5no clean explanation
  • Veronica Burton Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5no clean explanationCopper's 4 assists exceeded the 2.5 line as she operated as a secondary playmaker alongside elevated offensive usage (28%), facilitating drive-and-kick opportunities in a game where she logged heavy minutes (34) and dominated scoring (27 pts on elite 75% TS).
07/28512765%+8.93u5 games
NYL @ LAS67−2.49u
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 REB7 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Erica Wheeler Under 1.5 3PM4 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Nneka Ogwumike Over 8.5 REB4 vs 8.5no clean explanationOgwumike's offensive efficiency (88% TS on 20% usage) kept her in a rhythm as a facilitator rather than rebounder, and she fouled out with 5 fouls in 28 minutes, limiting her ability to crash the glass aggressively.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu eclipsed the 5.5 assist line with a game-high 6 dimes while playing all 36 minutes and maintaining elite efficiency (76% TS%), staying healthy enough to run the offense without foul trouble (1 PF) and generate ball movement throughout the contest.
  • Jonquel Jones Over 8.5 REB5 vs 8.5no clean explanationJones fell well short of the rebound line despite solid efficiency, limited to just 5 boards in 24 minutes while picking up 3 fouls that restricted her floor time and opportunities on the glass. Her 18% usage rate and minus-23 rating indicate she was a healthy scratch in a lopsided game where Boston likely controlled the boards without needing her volume.
CON @ WAS75−0.59u
  • Sonia Citron Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Michaela Onyenwere Over 8.5 PTS6 vs 8.5no clean explanation
  • Aneesah Morrow Over 7.5 REB4 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Shakira Austin Over 9.5 REB6 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Leila Lacan Over 11.5 PTS9 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
IND @ SEA125+3.63u
  • Caitlin Clark Over 7.5 AST7 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Natisha Hiedeman Under 2.5 3PM6 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Flau'jae Johnson Over 4.5 REB3 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Flau'jae Johnson Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5no clean explanationJohnson fell one assist short despite 33% usage, hampered by poor shot selection (0-6 from three) that limited her ability to generate offense and create for teammates in 24 minutes. Six personal fouls also likely restricted her playmaking aggression late in the game.
POR @ LVA135+3.95u
  • Carla Leite Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5no clean explanation
  • Jackie Young Over 6.5 AST2 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • A'ja Wilson Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • A'ja Wilson Under 27.5 PTS28 vs 27.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Carla Leite Over 5.5 AST3 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLeite fell short of the assist line despite decent scoring output, hampered by just 22 minutes of playing time and 6 fouls that limited her floor presence and ball-handling opportunities.
TOR @ MIN135+4.43u
  • Napheesa Collier Over 18.5 PTS15 vs 18.5no clean explanation
  • Napheesa Collier Over 6.5 REB6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Napheesa Collier Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kayla McBride Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride's 4 assists exceeded the 2.5 line despite modest 14% usage, driven by efficient ball movement in a game where she played all 35 available minutes without foul trouble. Her zero turnovers and high-volume shooting role (10 FG attempts) left room for playmaking opportunities that pushed her just over the threshold.
  • Kayla McBride Over 18.5 PTS18 vs 18.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride fell one point short despite efficient shooting (6-10 FG, 4-7 3PT) because her 14% usage rate limited her volume—she needed more shot attempts or free-throw attempts to clear 18.5 in a game where she played 35 minutes without getting to the line.
07/22442960%+4.25u6 games
PHO @ LAS29−7.52u
  • Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kahleah Copper Over 21.5 PTS21 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Nneka Ogwumike Over 17.5 PTS13 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike's 4-10 FG efficiency (40%) fell short despite 30 minutes and solid free-throw shooting (4-4), as her 21% usage rate limited volume opportunities to reach the 17.5-point threshold.
  • Natasha Mack Over 5.5 REB3 vs 5.5no clean explanationMack fell short of 5.5 rebounds despite efficient scoring (5-8 FG), limited by just 15 minutes of playing time and finishing with only 3 boards—a shortfall driven by her reduced opportunity on the court rather than poor rebounding activity.
  • Natasha Mack Over 6.5 REB3 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMack grabbed just 3 rebounds in 15 minutes of action, held well below her over line despite efficient scoring (5-8 FG); the limited floor time was the primary culprit in missing the rebound total.
DAL @ POR13−2.30u
  • Sarah Ashlee Barker Over 4.5 REB3 vs 4.5game script — blowout or foul trouble
  • Emily Engstler Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Carla Leite Over 14.5 PTS12 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLeite's efficient 56% TS masked a cold shooting night—she connected on just 3-of-8 from the field (37.5% FG) and couldn't generate enough volume at 21% usage to reach 15 points despite 31 minutes played.
CON @ IND95+2.11u
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 6.5 REB1 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Leila Lacan Over 4.5 AST2 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLeger-Walker fell just short with 2 rebounds despite playing 27 minutes, held back by an inefficient offensive night (0-3 FG) that limited her involvement around the rim and a team blowout (-29 +/-) that reduced second-half rebounding opportunities.
  • Aliyah Boston Over 7.5 REB6 vs 7.5no clean explanationBoston's efficient 22-point night on 10-14 shooting came in just 20 minutes, limiting her board opportunities; she pulled down only 6 rebounds despite high usage, falling one short of the 7.5 line.
CHI @ NYL94+2.35u
  • Breanna Stewart Over 21.5 PTS20 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 7.5 REB5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 12.5 PTS10 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCardoso fell short despite getting 25 minutes and a healthy 22% usage rate, hampered by poor efficiency—she shot just 5-for-11 from the field and 0-for-0 from three while posting a 46% TS%, leaving her 2.5 points shy of the over. Five personal fouls also limited her effectiveness and may have caused the Bulls to manage her minutes or aggression down the stretch.
  • Azura Stevens Over 11.5 PTS8 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStevens shot just 2-5 from the field despite playing 30 minutes, and her 13% usage rate—well below her typical offensive load—limited her scoring opportunities even though she stayed efficient at the line (4-4 FT).
LVA @ WAS83+2.95u
  • Jackie Young Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Shakira Austin Over 9.5 REB6 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAustin's efficient 25-point night (10-18 FG) kept her on the floor for 29 minutes, but limited her rebounding opportunities—she grabbed just 6 boards despite a 57% true shooting rate, suggesting the game flow favored her scoring over crashing the glass.
  • Chelsea Gray Over 6.5 AST4 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's playmaking was bottlenecked by limited offensive touches—she logged just 22% usage despite 37 minutes, finishing with only 4 assists well short of the 6.5 line. The low usage rate, despite efficient scoring (65% TS), left her without enough ball-handling opportunities to generate assists.
MIN @ SEA155+6.66u
  • Olivia Miles Over 17.5 PTS13 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Natasha Howard Over 11.5 PTS11 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Natasha Howard Over 7.5 REB5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jade Melbourne Over 7.5 PTS4 vs 7.5no clean explanationMelbourne's 4 points fell short of the 7.5 line despite 28 minutes of floor time due to brutal 2-6 shooting (33% TS) and an 0-4 night from three, leaving her with minimal offensive impact despite high availability.
  • Natasha Howard Over 6.5 REB5 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward played only 26 minutes and grabbed just 5 rebounds despite solid efficiency, falling one board short of the 6.5 line due to limited floor time and a low-usage role (18% usage). The blowout win (+12 +/-) likely reduced her rebounding opportunities in a game that didn't require extended minutes.
07/20473160%+4.54u4 games
WAS @ GSV77−1.86u
  • Shakira Austin Under 9.5 REB15 vs 9.5no clean explanation
  • Veronica Burton Under 9.5 PTS12 vs 9.5no clean explanation
  • Veronica Burton Under 11.5 PTS12 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Tiffany Hayes Over 5.5 PTS0 vs 5.5game script — blowout or foul trouble
  • Janelle Salaun Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Veronica Burton Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanationBurton went 2-for-3 from deep on 26 minutes and 18% usage, hitting at an efficient 67% clip from three—well above her typical volume and accuracy, which was enough to clear the 1.5 line despite modest shot attempts.
MIN @ SEA1410+0.44u
  • Olivia Miles Under 6.5 AST8 vs 6.5no clean explanation
  • Dominique Malonga Over 9.5 REB9 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Jade Melbourne Over 7.5 PTS5 vs 7.5no clean explanation
  • Natisha Hiedeman Over 2.5 REB1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Olivia Miles Under 4.5 REB8 vs 4.5no clean explanation
  • Natisha Hiedeman Over 14.5 PTS12 vs 14.5no clean explanation
LVA @ TOR126+2.95u
  • NaLyssa Smith Over 5.5 REB5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Marina Mabrey Over 22.5 PTS14 vs 22.5no clean explanation
  • Marina Mabrey Over 21.5 PTS14 vs 21.5no clean explanation
  • Marina Mabrey Over 2.5 3PM1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 REB6 vs 9.5no clean explanation
  • Laura Juskaite Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
NYL @ DAL148+3.01u
  • Arike Ogunbowale Under 2.5 3PM3 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Azzi Fudd Over 1.5 REB1 vs 1.5no clean explanationFudd played a game-high 43 minutes but grabbed just 1 rebound, failing to crash the glass despite heavy shot volume—a rare occurrence that underscores how perimeter-focused her game was in this matchup. With limited paint touches and no second-chance opportunities, she fell short of the 2-board threshold even in extended run.
  • Pauline Astier Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanationAstier's playmaking dried up despite 25 minutes of run, recording just 1 assist while turning the ball over once and posting a team-worst -7 rating. Her 20% usage rate and poor offensive efficiency (35% TS%) limited her ability to create for teammates in a game where the team struggled overall.
  • Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 AST2 vs 4.5no clean explanation
  • Arike Ogunbowale Under 16.5 PTS29 vs 16.5no clean explanationOgunbowale's elite free-throw shooting (8-8) and high usage rate (37%) powered her well past the under, as she compensated for below-average field-goal efficiency (9-24 FG) by drawing fouls and staying on the court for 38 minutes in a competitive game. The combination of volume opportunities and perfect shooting from the line nearly doubled the betting line.
07/19543461%+5.10u3 games
CON @ PHO1612−1.35u
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 7.5 PTS5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 REB6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Natasha Mack Over 6.5 PTS4 vs 6.5paid over the fair number
  • Alyssa Thomas Over 13.5 PTS7 vs 13.5paid over the fair number
  • Brittney Griner Over 5.5 REB5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Leila Lacan Over 1.5 REB1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
LAS @ DAL1813−0.26u
  • Dearica Hamby Over 6.5 REB5 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 REB4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Paige Bueckers Under 22.5 PTS25 vs 22.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Nneka Ogwumike Over 17.5 PTS17 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Jessica Shepard Over 15.5 PTS11 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Azzi Fudd Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
CHI @ ATL209+6.71u
  • Gabriela Jaquez Over 7.5 PTS2 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Angel Reese Over 16.5 PTS8 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Allisha Gray Under 19.5 PTS29 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's elite efficiency—87% true shooting on 7-11 shooting and 11-13 from the line—propelled her well past 19.5 despite moderate 21% usage, as she converted at an unusually high rate in 35 minutes of action.
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 7.5 REB4 vs 7.5paid over the fair numberCardoso came up well short at just 4 rebounds despite efficient scoring (6-9 FG), limited by only 24 minutes played and a quiet night on the glass that never materialized despite her inside presence. The under-25 minute workload was the primary culprit, preventing her from accumulating the volume needed to reach 7.5 boards.
  • Brionna Jones Over 6.5 PTS6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upJones shot just 1-6 from the field (17%) and played only 15 minutes, limiting her scoring despite converting all four free throws. The poor field-goal efficiency and restricted minutes prevented her from reaching the 7-point threshold needed to cash the over.
  • Brionna Jones Over 7.5 PTS6 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones shot just 1-for-6 from the field (17% FG) despite 15 minutes of run, and while she converted all four free throws, the poor field-goal efficiency left her one point short of the over.
07/18593066%+15.89u3 games
WAS @ GSV88−2.89u
  • Kiki Iriafen Over 8.5 REB2 vs 8.5no clean explanation
  • Sonia Citron Over 14.5 PTS12 vs 14.5no clean explanation
  • Veronica Burton Under 10.5 PTS11 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationBurton exceeded the 10.5 line by converting 50% from the field (4-8 FG) with efficient shooting at 62% TS despite modest 16% usage, and played 32 minutes in a blowout win (+16), allowing her to stay on the court and accumulate 11 points on limited volume rather than the projected 9.8.
  • Sonia Citron Over 13.5 PTS12 vs 13.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Kiki Iriafen Over 12.5 PTS6 vs 12.5no clean explanation
  • Kaitlyn Chen Over 7.5 PTS2 vs 7.5game script — blowout or foul trouble
POR @ MIN208+6.97u
  • Emily Engstler Under 10.5 PTS12 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Natasha Howard Over 7.5 REB7 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Olivia Miles Over 17.5 PTS14 vs 17.5no clean explanation
  • Olivia Miles Over 16.5 PTS14 vs 16.5no clean explanation
  • Sarah Ashlee Barker Over 4.5 REB4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationBarker played 30 minutes and shot efficiently (9-14 FG), but Minnesota's elite rebounding defense held her to just 4 boards—one short of the 4.5 line—as the Timberwolves limited her to a single offensive rebound and controlled the glass despite her usage rate.
  • Nia Coffey Under 8.5 PTS9 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationCoffey narrowly exceeded the total on 4-8 shooting (50% FG) in 20 minutes, with her offensive efficiency—particularly a 3-for-4 night from two-point range—pushing her just past the 8.5-point threshold despite modest volume.
NYL @ IND3114+11.81u
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
  • Aliyah Boston Over 8.5 REB7 vs 8.5no clean explanation
  • Jonquel Jones Over 8.5 REB6 vs 8.5no clean explanation
  • Aliyah Boston Over 7.5 REB7 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Caitlin Clark Over 17.5 PTS17 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Caitlin Clark Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5no clean explanation
07/17432761%+2.72u4 games
ATL @ TOR1212−4.29u
  • Julie Allemand Over 6.5 AST6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upAllemand fell one assist short despite 32 minutes and solid efficiency (90% TS), held back by modest 12% usage and only 3 turnovers—the offense didn't generate enough ball movement or pace to push her into assist territory.
  • Allisha Gray Over 19.5 PTS18 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upGray fell just short despite efficient 75% TS on 30 minutes, as a season-low 17% usage rate—well below her recent trend—limited her scoring opportunities in a blowout where the team didn't need her volume. The zero free-throw attempts also cost her the final point, as she converted just 8-of-12 from the field in a game that got out of hand early (+16 in a likely comfortable win).
  • Allisha Gray Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5no clean explanationGray's efficient 8-12 shooting night included 2-for-5 from three, pushing her past the 1.5 line despite modest volume; she was simply too hot overall (75% TS%) for the under to hold.
  • Isabelle Harrison Over 11.5 PTS10 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHarrison fell one point shy despite adequate opportunity, going 4-8 from the field but unable to convert at the rim or from three (0-1 3PT, 2-4 FT) in her 21 minutes of work.
  • Rhyne Howard Over 2.5 3PM0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward went 0-for-7 from three despite getting to her typical 31 minutes, a catastrophic shooting collapse from range that contradicted her recent L10 average of 3.3 makes. The 35% true shooting and 21% usage suggest she took fewer shots overall in what became a blowout (+19), limiting her volume opportunities even as a starter.
  • Laura Juskaite Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJuskaite attempted only one three-pointer despite 28 minutes and 20% usage, going 0-1 from deep while staying aggressive in the paint (4-8 FG overall), suggesting the game flow or defensive scheme limited her perimeter opportunities rather than execution issues.
LAS @ CHI56−3.32u
  • Rae Burrell Over 14.5 PTS9 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurrell shot just 3-7 from the field (42.9%) despite playing 31 minutes, and her 16% usage rate—well below her typical offensive load—limited scoring opportunities in what became a blowout loss (-21 +/-). The combination of poor efficiency and reduced volume left her 5.5 points short of the 14.5 line.
  • Dearica Hamby Over 6.5 REB6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHamby fell one rebound short despite solid scoring (18 pts on 67% TS), held back by just 26 minutes—three minutes below her season average—which limited her opportunity to reach 7+ boards.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 11.5 PTS15 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud exceeded her L10 average of 9.4 and the 11.5 line by posting 15 points on elite 69% true shooting, including 3-for-6 from three, while playing a full 32 minutes without foul trouble to constrain her opportunities.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 3.5 REB6 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud doubled her recent rebounding average with 6 boards, benefiting from an extra 6 minutes of court time (32 vs. 26.2 pregame expectation) and increased involvement as a playmaker (9 assists on 14% usage suggesting heavy ball-handling and floor time).
  • Erica Wheeler Over 4.5 AST4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationWheeler played 32 minutes with elevated usage (22%), but generated only 4 assists despite 14 points, suggesting shot-heavy offense rather than playmaking—she took 12 FG attempts compared to her typical distribution. The -13 +/- indicates the team played poorly around her, limiting assist opportunities even with extended run.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 5.5 AST9 vs 5.5no clean explanationCloud nearly doubled the target with 9 assists on a game-high 32 minutes and zero turnovers, functioning as the primary initiator in a blowout win (+11) where her efficiency (69% TS) kept the offense flowing without forcing shots.
CON @ PHO85+0.85u
  • Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 AST6 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThomas fell one assist short despite playing 36 minutes and maintaining high usage (21%), as Connecticut's offensive rhythm was disrupted—she recorded 3 turnovers and the team's overall assist distribution was more balanced, limiting her playmaking volume despite solid efficiency.
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 6.5 REB6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upNelson-Ododa fell one rebound short despite her recent L5 average of 7.0, limited by just 21 minutes of playing time in what appears to have been a blowout (+12 +/- suggests reduced fourth-quarter action). Her 10% usage rate indicates minimal offensive involvement, which typically correlates with fewer rebounding opportunities.
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 10.5 PTS6 vs 10.5no clean explanationNelson-Ododa's 2-for-3 FG efficiency masked a dramatic collapse in volume—she took just 3 shots in 21 minutes (10% usage) compared to her pre-game averages, rendering her typical scoring pace irrelevant despite solid shooting splits.
  • Monique Akoa Makani Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upDespite a season-low 20 minutes and invisible scoring (0-for-6), Akoa Makani still reached 4 assists on modest 19% usage, suggesting she maintained setup duties even in limited action and off-night shooting. Her recent L10 average of 2.3 assists underestimated her floor playmaking role, which proved resilient enough to clear 3.5 despite the offensive drought.
  • Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upCopper fell one rebound short despite 35 minutes and heavy usage (28%), finishing with only 3 boards as Phoenix's spacing and ball movement limited her offensive rebounding opportunities and she didn't crash the glass enough on a night when the team controlled pace.
SEA @ IND184+9.49u
  • Natisha Hiedeman Over 15.5 PTS15 vs 15.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHiedeman fell one point short despite efficient 61% TS shooting on 20% usage, as her 6-11 FG and 2-3 FT output simply didn't generate enough volume—she needed just one more make to cash, but finished at the exact floor of a tight line.
  • Sophie Cunningham Over 8.5 PTS2 vs 8.5no clean explanationCunningham played 27 minutes but shot just 1-for-4 from the field with an ice-cold 0-for-3 from three, finishing with only 2 points on 6% usage—a dramatic underperformance that crushed the over despite reasonable playing time.
  • Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 3PM6 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark torched the line on elite efficiency, going 6-10 from three (60%) on high volume—a sharp departure from her L10 average of 2.1 attempts and L5 of 1.8, as she faced a favorable matchup that allowed her to unleash 42% usage and 85% true shooting. The under was built on recent trend data showing lower three-point rates, but Clark's hot hand and aggressive offensive role in a blowout win (+16) made 2.5 threes an insufficient threshold.
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5no clean explanationMitchell played 34 minutes with elite scoring efficiency (59% TS, 32% usage) but operated almost entirely as a scorer rather than a facilitator, recording zero assists despite the high-pace environment—a complete absence of playmaking that made the 2.5 assist line unsustainable regardless of opportunity.
07/16131252%−2.49u1 game
POR @ WAS1312−2.49u
  • Michaela Onyenwere Over 8.5 PTS5 vs 8.5no clean explanationOnyenwere's scoring dried up completely on a brutal 2-10 shooting night (20% FG), falling well short of her 10.2 PPG L5 average despite seeing nearly her usual 26 minutes; the efficiency collapse—25% true shooting—was the killer, not reduced opportunity.
  • Bridget Carleton Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upCarleton's 11% usage rate and 26 minutes limited her rebounding opportunities despite solid floor time, and she finished one board short at 3 rebounds. The low offensive load—just 6 points on 6 shots—signaled a quiet night that didn't generate the glass touches needed to clear the 3.5 threshold.
  • Kiki Iriafen Over 15.5 PTS2 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIriafen shot 1-8 (12.5% FG) with zero free-throw attempts in 24 minutes, posting a dismal 12% true shooting that made it mathematically impossible to reach 16 points regardless of volume. A combination of poor shot selection, defensive pressure, and lack of offensive opportunities left her with just 2 points despite modest playing time.
  • Sonia Citron Over 16.5 PTS8 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCitron's 2-8 shooting (25% FG) and 0-5 from three despite 29 minutes of play left her well short, as inefficient shot selection and poor accuracy prevented her from reaching the 16.5-point threshold despite adequate volume.
  • Emily Engstler Over 5.5 REB3 vs 5.5no clean explanationEngstler played only 22 minutes and fouled out with 5 PF, severely limiting her opportunity to reach 5.5 rebounds despite her recent averages suggesting the over was value; she grabbed just 3 boards in the shortened run.
  • Shakira Austin Under 15.5 PTS19 vs 15.5no clean explanationAustin's 9-of-9 free throw shooting (vs. her season norm) combined with 34 minutes of heavy usage (28%) pushed her past the 15.5 line despite modest 6-of-15 field goal efficiency, as she converted her trips to the stripe at an elite rate that inflated her scoring beyond her 13.1 L10 average.
07/15101148%−4.10u2 games
GSV @ IND910−3.93u
  • Aliyah Boston Over 15.5 PTS15 vs 15.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBoston fell just short despite solid efficiency (63% TS, 6-11 FG), but 25 minutes—nearly 5 below her recent average—combined with 26% usage limited her to exactly 15 points, one shy of the line. The under-time and reduced offensive role in a close game (+1 +/-) prevented her from reaching the scoring volume needed to cash the over.
  • Veronica Burton Over 4.5 AST4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberBurton fell one assist short despite playing all 30 available minutes, limited by unusually low usage (13%) and inefficient scoring (1-4 FG) that reduced her ball-handling opportunities and offensive rhythm. She recorded exactly 4 assists with 3 turnovers, suggesting caution in shot-creation rather than the volume needed to clear 4.5 dimes.
  • Veronica Burton Over 11.5 PTS4 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurton's 4 points fell well short of 11.5 despite playing all 30 minutes, as she shot just 1-for-4 from the field (25% FG) and failed to generate scoring opportunities with only 13% usage rate.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark shot just 1-for-8 from three on a night she played only 26 minutes with modest 36% usage, falling short of her L10 average of 2.4 threes despite seeing adequate volume from deep.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 6.5 AST6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upClark fell just short despite solid usage (36%), limited by reduced court time (26 min vs. her L10 average of 29.3) and inefficient shot-making (4-14 FG, 1-8 3PT) that likely forced more isolation-heavy possessions rather than facilitative play.
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 21.5 PTS20 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationMitchell fell just short despite 35 minutes of work, as Las Vegas's elite perimeter defense (allowing 31.3 PPG to guards, league's best) held her to 7-16 shooting (43.8%)—a significant dip from her 27.6 PPG average over her previous five games. The one-point miss came down to shot-making: she needed just 22 points to cash but couldn't overcome the cold shooting night against the WNBA's top-ranked defense.
LAS @ MIN11−0.17u
  • Courtney Williams Over 4.5 REB2 vs 4.5no clean explanationWilliams played 35 minutes with solid efficiency (62% TS) but crashed the boards far below expectation, nabbing just 2 rebounds—well short of the 4.5 line—despite 23% usage suggesting adequate opportunity and only 1 foul that wouldn't have limited her availability.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.