consensus_wnba · WNBA

2026-08-06

Day by day

these are the consensus_wnba picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

2817 · 62% · +6.78u across the last 1 days

08/06281762%+6.78u3 games
TOR @ POR33−1.19u
  • Bridget Carleton Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Maria Conde Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Maria Conde Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
LVA @ IND86+0.21u
  • Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 PTS11 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • A'ja Wilson Under 10.5 REB13 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Aliyah Boston Under 9.5 REB12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBoston exceeded the rebounding line by crashing the glass relentlessly in 38 minutes of heavy usage, grabbing 12 boards on strong efficiency (70% TS) to carry the offensive load despite a team-worst -9 +/-. The high volume and floor time proved decisive for the over-9.5 rebound prop.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson went 0-for-2 from three despite heavy involvement (38 min, 34% usage), staying aggressive inside where she shot 10-25 overall and made all six free throws. The over missed because she simply didn't attempt enough threes (only 2 tries) to hit the floor in a game where the Las Vegas offense favored her dominant interior presence.
LAS @ MIN178+7.77u
  • Ariel Atkins Over 10.5 PTS7 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Dearica Hamby Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike scored efficiently (16 pts on 62% TS in 30 min) but recorded zero assists despite 27% usage, turning the ball over 5 times and failing to facilitate for teammates. The volume was there but playmaking never materialized, leaving the over well short of the 2.5 threshold.
  • Courtney Williams Over 3.5 AST0 vs 3.5no clean explanationWilliams played 34 minutes but recorded zero assists despite 17% usage, operating primarily as a scorer (12 points on 5-12 shooting) rather than a facilitator in the offense. The complete absence of playmaking opportunities—just one turnover in a game where she touched the ball infrequently—made the over an impossible hit.
  • Kayla McBride Over 17.5 PTS15 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride fell just short despite playing 34 minutes, as a poor 5-13 shooting night (38 FG%) limited her to 15 points despite decent volume at 21% usage. The miss came down to inefficiency rather than opportunity—she had the minutes and touches but couldn't convert at her typical rate.
  • Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5no clean explanationBurrell's 2 assists fell one short of the over, despite solid scoring (17 pts on 67% TS); her 23% usage rate limited playmaking opportunities and she recorded just 1 turnover, indicating a shoot-first role rather than ball-handling duties.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.