← disciplined_board · WNBA
2026-07-09
Day by day
these are the disciplined_board picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
13–5 · 72% · +4.66u across the last 1 days
07/0913–572%+4.66u3 games
IND @ PHO3–4−1.46u
- Tyasha Harris Under 3.5 AST5 vs 3.5no clean explanationHarris exceeded her season trend with 5 assists in 22 minutes—a pace that would have yielded 11+ assists over a full game—as she operated as the primary ball-handler in a blowout win (+4 net rating), bucking her L10 average of 1.9 dimes that had made the 3.5 line vulnerable to the under.
- Tyasha Harris Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHarris exceeded her 4.5 assist line by distributing 5 dimes in 22 minutes, a modest uptick from her 1.9 L10 average but enough to cash the over despite limited usage at 19%—the pre-game data flagged the under as mispriced, and Harris's efficient playmaking in concentrated minutes delivered. Her near-perfect shooting night (94% TS on 19% usage) created natural assist opportunities that pushed her just past the line.
- Lexie Hull Under 9.5 PTS10 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHull shot 83% TS% on 16% usage, converting 4-of-6 from the field including 2-of-3 from three, pushing her just over the 9.5 line despite playing only 18 minutes. The efficient shooting on limited volume—particularly the 3-point success—proved enough to narrowly beat an under that relied on her staying closer to her L10 average of 6.7 points.
- Tyasha Harris Under 7.5 PTS15 vs 7.5paid over the fair numberHarris nearly doubled her season average on 22 minutes (8 more than her L5 baseline) and shot an elite 75% from the field including 75% from three, torching the efficiency assumptions baked into the under.
LVA @ POR3–1+0.97u
- Bridget Carleton Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCarleton delivered exactly one more assist than her 1.5 L10 average despite playing under her typical 31.2 min, aided by a game situation that likely generated more ball movement; her 20% usage and modest shooting efficiency (3-10 FG) meant she wasn't forcing playmaking, but the extra dime came through nonetheless.
SEA @ ATL7–0+5.15u
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.