← disciplined_llm · WNBA
2026-06-28
Day by day
these are the disciplined_llm picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
4–7 · 36% · −2.99u across the last 1 days
06/284–736%−2.99u4 games
MIN @ DAL0–3−3.00u
- Courtney Williams Over 4.5 AST4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberWilliams fell one assist short despite 36 minutes and 23% usage, held back by poor shot creation (5-16 FG, 36% TS) that limited her ability to generate offensive rhythm and secondary playmaking opportunities.
- Natasha Howard Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward's assist total fell short despite heavy involvement (36 min, 24% usage, 14 reb) because she operated almost exclusively as a scorer and rebounder, with just 2 dimes on a team-high 17 FG attempts—a usage pattern tilted toward volume shooting rather than playmaking.
- Arike Ogunbowale Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgunbowale went just 1-for-9 from the field and 1-for-3 from three, finishing well below expectation despite playing 26 minutes; brutal 25% TS% and 19% usage rate indicate she couldn't get into rhythm offensively in a game where Dallas fell behind early (-14 +/-).
LVA @ CHI1–1−0.23u
- Jewell Loyd Over 7.5 PTS6 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd played 28 minutes but shot just 2-7 from the field (28.6 FG%) with an inefficient 43% TS, falling one point short despite solid volume—a rare cold night from a reliable scorer that negated the betting edge.
NYL @ GSV1–1−0.04u
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 14.5 PTS9 vs 14.5no clean explanationIonescu's 3-10 shooting (30% FG, 33% 3PT) combined with 26 minutes of playing time left her well short at 9 points, as she struggled with shot selection and efficiency despite a reasonable 24% usage rate.
POR @ WAS2–2+0.28u
- Shakira Austin Under 2.5 AST6 vs 2.5no clean explanationAustin's 6 assists doubled the 2.5 line, driven by a season-high 47 minutes of floor time that inflated her opportunity to facilitate—she averaged 0.128 assists per minute, well above her typical rate. The blowout nature of the game and her extended run kept her on court as a floor-spacing rim-runner rather than forcing early exit via foul trouble (just 1 PF).
- Megan Gustafson Under 13.5 PTS20 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGustafson torched the under by shooting 7-14 from the field (50%) with a perfect 4-7 from three, converting at 67% true shooting despite modest 17% usage, and played all 46 minutes without fouling out to accumulate 20 points.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.