← disciplined_llm · WNBA
2026-06-30
Day by day
these are the disciplined_llm picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
3–6 · 33% · −2.95u across the last 1 days
06/303–633%−2.95u1 game
LVA @ NYL3–6−2.95u
- Jonquel Jones Over 15.5 PTS9 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones shot just 1-6 from the field (16.7% FG) despite playing 33 minutes, a historic cold night that overwhelmed her 7-8 free-throw performance and rendered the +1.9 edge over the 15.5 line immaterial.
- Marine Johannes Over 7.5 PTS7 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upJohannes shot just 3-7 (42.9%) from the field in 18 minutes of limited action, falling one point short despite solid efficiency; the under-18-minute role and modest volume (16% usage) meant she lacked the volume opportunities needed to clear 7.5.
- Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones hit the over by a single assist despite a quiet offensive night (1-6 FG, 13% usage), as she maintained ball movement and playmaking duties across her full 33-minute workload in a blowout win (+17 +/-).
- NaLyssa Smith Over 10.5 PTS9 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upSmith fell 1.5 points short despite solid 50% FG, held back by 5 fewer minutes than her season average (20 vs. 25.5) and reduced usage at 21%, limiting her scoring opportunities.
- Jewell Loyd Over 7.5 PTS5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd shot just 2-9 from the field (22%) and 1-7 from three despite 32 minutes of playing time, combining poor efficiency (26% TS) with modest 13% usage to fall well short of 7.5 points. Her cold shooting night was the sole factor—three fouls and the game flow didn't significantly limit her opportunity, but her 22% FG% made hitting the over impossible.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 14.5 PTS26 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's 9-19 FG and 5-13 3PT shooting (47% from three) far exceeded her recent form, and at 33% usage she took enough volume to capitalize on her hot stroke despite playing only 31 minutes. Her last 10 games averaging 10.7 points proved misleading when she flipped the switch to 63% true shooting efficiency.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.