← disciplined_llm · WNBA
2026-07-02
Day by day
these are the disciplined_llm picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
1–5 · 17% · −4.12u across the last 1 days
07/021–517%−4.12u2 games
DAL @ CON1–4−3.12u
- Kennedy Burke Over 8.5 PTS8 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBurke fell one point short despite playing 26 minutes; she shot 3-for-6 from the field and missed both three-point attempts, posting a 50% true shooting rate that couldn't compensate for her modest 12% usage rate in the game.
- Aaliyah Edwards Under 8.5 PTS11 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upEdwards exceeded the 8.5 threshold by converting 4-of-7 from the field (57% FG) and 3-of-7 from the line (43% FT) across 19 minutes, combining efficient shooting with moderate volume to reach 11 points despite limited three-point attempts (0-0).
- Jessica Shepard Over 14.5 PTS14 vs 14.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upShepard fell one point shy despite solid efficiency (60% TS, 6-10 FG) because her 21% usage rate and 30 minutes limited volume—she needed just one more made field goal or free throw to cash the over.
- Charlisse Leger-Walker Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLeger-Walker doubled her projection by shooting an efficient 5-8 from the field (62.5%) and staying on the floor for a full 30 minutes, well above typical benchmarks for a role player with 15% usage. The combination of elite shooting efficiency and extended playing time transformed what looked like a safe under into a decisive miss.
ATL @ WAS0–1−1.00u
- Michaela Onyenwere Over 11.5 PTS4 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOnyenwere's 2-6 shooting (33% TS) combined with limited offensive involvement (16% usage) resulted in just 4 points despite playing 24 minutes, well short of the 11.5 target. The inefficiency and low touch rate were the primary culprits in missing what appeared to be a reasonable pregame edge.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.