← disciplined_llm · WNBA
2026-07-04
Day by day
these are the disciplined_llm picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
1–3 · 25% · −1.87u across the last 1 days
07/041–325%−1.87u2 games
GSV @ ATL0–3−3.00u
- Jordin Canada Under 0.5 3PM1 vs 0.5no clean explanationCanada's recent 60% over rate on 0.5 threes proved sticky despite modest overall volume, as she hit 1-of-3 from deep in 35 minutes—right in line with her L10 average of 0.8 makes and well above the under threshold. Her elevated minutes and 15% usage ensured enough shot attempts to land the one three needed to bust the under.
- Gabby Williams Under 15.5 PTS19 vs 15.5paid over the fair numberWilliams torched the under on elite 66% true shooting (7-14 FG, 4-8 from three) and 24% usage in 27 minutes, converting at a rate well above her season average despite the pace-corrected projection of 10.6 PPG. The ATL defense's vulnerability to forwards combined with her hot hand overwhelmed the glacial-tempo thesis that anchored the under.
- Veronica Burton Under 11.5 PTS21 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurton shot 84% true shooting (6-9 FG, 2-3 3PT, 7-8 FT) and played 30 minutes with elite efficiency, nearly doubling the 11.5-point line despite modest 24% usage. The bet required her to stay under 12 points—a threshold she obliterated on just nine field-goal attempts thanks to near-perfect shooting and free-throw volume (8 attempts).
POR @ SEA1–0+1.13u
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.