← disciplined_llm · WNBA
2026-07-10
Day by day
these are the disciplined_llm picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
6–4 · 60% · +1.75u across the last 1 days · 1 voided, nothing staked
07/106–4 ·1 void60%+1.75u3 games
CHI @ LAS1–2−1.11u
- Nneka Ogwumike Under 2.5 AST5 vs 2.5no clean explanationOgwumike nearly doubled the assist line with 5 dimes in 33 minutes, operating as a primary playmaker in a game where her 26% usage was heavily weighted toward creating for teammates rather than self-scoring despite her efficient 9-16 shooting. The blowout win (+12 rating) likely kept the game flowing through her hands in a rhythm that favored ball movement over isolation looks.
- Dearica Hamby Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5no clean explanationHamby exceeded the 2.5 assist line by recording 3 dimes despite modest usage (22%), benefiting from 30 minutes of floor time and a +12 rating that suggests she operated in flow within a winning game script. The one extra assist came from solid playmaking efficiency rather than a dramatic uptick in ball-handling—she simply didn't turn it over (1 TOV) and stayed engaged throughout the full half-hour.
DAL @ TOR2–1 ·1 void+1.00u
- Jessica Shepard Under 12.5 REB17 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upShepard's 17 rebounds crushed the 12.5 line despite her modest 19% usage, as she played all 40 minutes in a blowout (+13 rating) and dominated the glass on 7-of-9 shooting efficiency. Her last-10 average of 11.9 masked a rebound-heavy game script where limited offensive touches funneled her into crashing opportunities on both ends.
GSV @ CON3–1+1.85u
- Veronica Burton Under 11.5 PTS17 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurton torched the under by shooting 7-12 (58% FG) with efficient finishing at the rim, a dramatic spike from her 9.0 PPG L10 average and well above the 11.5 line despite modest 22% usage. Her 33 minutes and +16 rating indicated a blowout win where she didn't need high volume to exceed the projection.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.