← disciplined_llm · WNBA
2026-07-11
Day by day
these are the disciplined_llm picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
2–4 · 33% · −1.75u across the last 1 days
07/112–433%−1.75u3 games
PHO @ LVA0–2−2.00u
- Valeriane Ayayi Over 9.5 PTS5 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAyayi's 5 points fell well short of the 9.5 line due to poor shot selection and execution—she went 1-for-5 from the field despite logging 31 minutes, and her 13% usage rate and 40% TS% indicate she struggled to create efficient scoring opportunities.
- A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 REB15 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson dominated the glass with 15 rebounds in 24 minutes—well above the 9.5 line—fueled by elite efficiency (8-16 FG, 59% TS) and high usage (33%) that kept her heavily involved in both ends, while staying out of foul trouble (2 PF) to maximize her rebounding opportunities.
POR @ ATL0–1−1.00u
- Naz Hillmon Under 8.5 PTS15 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon shot 6-11 from the field (54.5%) and played a full 36 minutes, combining for 15 points despite modest 17% usage—efficient scoring volume was enough to clear 8.5 even without high shot attempts. The sharp edge favoring the over (0.5347) proved correct as her elite True Shot percentage (61%) made her limited usage less of a constraint.
NYL @ MIN2–1+1.25u
- Marine Johannes Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohannes doubled her projected total on 70% true shooting, draining 4 three-pointers in 23 minutes of efficient offensive output that far exceeded the 7.5-point threshold. The under relied on her staying in single digits, but she turned a modest 19% usage rate into elite scoring efficiency that proved too high a bar.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.