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← form_wnba · WNBA

2026-07-09

Day by day

these are the form_wnba picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

27–14 · 66% · +8.88u across the last 1 days · 3 voided, nothing staked

07/0927–14 ·3 void66%+8.88u3 games

permalink to 2026-07-09 →

LVA @ POR2–3−1.65u
  • Megan Gustafson Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationGustafson played just 26 minutes—below her typical run—and despite solid shooting efficiency (61% TS), she grabbed only 3 rebounds, falling short of her recent 4.5 L10 average due to limited opportunities and a blowout context (+7, low possessions).
  • Megan Gustafson Over 11.5 PTS11 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationGustafson fell just short on a quiet night, shooting 5-9 from the field but unable to get to the free-throw line (0-0 FT) and seeing limited usage at 18% despite playing 26 minutes. Her 61% TS was efficient but volume-constrained, leaving her one point shy of the over.
  • Bridget Carleton Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5no clean explanationCarleton delivered exactly one more assist than her 1.5 L10 average despite playing under her typical 31.2 min, aided by a game situation that likely generated more ball movement; her 20% usage and modest shooting efficiency (3-10 FG) meant she wasn't forcing playmaking, but the extra dime came through nonetheless.
SEA @ ATL7–2+4.38u
  • Allisha Gray Under 19.5 PTS22 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationGray's 7-13 FG and perfect 7-7 from the line (68% TS) overcame a quiet three-point game to exceed the 19.5 line, as she converted at well above her season efficiency despite modest 24% usage in 32 minutes.
  • Flau'jae Johnson Over 4.5 REB2 vs 4.5no clean explanationJohnson played just 29 minutes despite the presumed availability, and her rebounding opportunities dried up in a narrow loss (−3 +/−), finishing with only 2 boards well short of the 4.5 line. Her recent L5 average of 7.2 rebounds didn't materialize, likely due to the reduced court time and a minus-3 net rating that limited her team's control of the glass.
IND @ PHO18–9 ·3 void+6.15u
  • Lexi Held Over 7.5 PTS0 vs 7.5no clean explanationHeld's minutes (12) and usage (8%) were both well below her season baseline, and she went 0-for-1 from the field with no scoring opportunities, leaving her far short of the 7.5-point line despite modest per-minute efficiency expectations.
  • Tyasha Harris Under 1.5 3PM3 vs 1.5no clean explanationHarris hit 3-of-4 from three (75%) in 22 minutes—a massive efficiency spike from her 0.4 L10 average—as she ran hot early and stayed aggressive despite the modest minutes, converting at a rate that overrode her usage limitations.
  • Tyasha Harris Under 3.5 AST5 vs 3.5no clean explanationHarris exceeded her season trend with 5 assists in 22 minutes—a pace that would have yielded 11+ assists over a full game—as she operated as the primary ball-handler in a blowout win (+4 net rating), bucking her L10 average of 1.9 dimes that had made the 3.5 line vulnerable to the under.
  • Tyasha Harris Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHarris exceeded her 4.5 assist line by distributing 5 dimes in 22 minutes, a modest uptick from her 1.9 L10 average but enough to cash the over despite limited usage at 19%—the pre-game data flagged the under as mispriced, and Harris's efficient playmaking in concentrated minutes delivered. Her near-perfect shooting night (94% TS on 19% usage) created natural assist opportunities that pushed her just past the line.
  • Lexie Hull Under 9.5 PTS10 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHull shot 83% TS% on 16% usage, converting 4-of-6 from the field including 2-of-3 from three, pushing her just over the 9.5 line despite playing only 18 minutes. The efficient shooting on limited volume—particularly the 3-point success—proved enough to narrowly beat an under that relied on her staying closer to her L10 average of 6.7 points.
  • Tyasha Harris Under 7.5 PTS15 vs 7.5no clean explanationHarris nearly doubled her season average on 22 minutes (8 more than her L5 baseline) and shot an elite 75% from the field including 75% from three, torching the efficiency assumptions baked into the under.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.