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2026-07-10

Day by day

these are the form_wnba picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

12–18 · 40% · −9.32u across the last 1 days

07/1012–1840%−9.32u3 games

permalink to 2026-07-10 →

GSV @ CON3–8−5.54u
  • Kennedy Burke Over 7.5 PTS0 vs 7.5no clean explanationBurke went scoreless on 0-3 shooting despite 20 minutes of run, completely shutting down her 9.6 L10 average and failing to convert any of her three shot attempts (0-2 FT included). The shooting collapse—not reduced minutes or foul trouble—was the sole driver of the miss.
  • Veronica Burton Under 10.5 PTS17 vs 10.5no clean explanationBurton torched the under with efficient scoring (7-12 FG, 64% TS) and extended floor time (33 min), converting a season-high usage rate (22%) into 17 points versus her modest 9.0 L10 average. The gap between her pre-game expectation and performance was driven by both elevated shot volume and elite finishing, which the -1.5 deviation had undervalued.
  • Cecilia Zandalasini Over 7.5 PTS4 vs 7.5no clean explanationZandalasini shot just 2-5 from the field (40% TS) in 17 minutes, falling short of her 7.5-point line despite near her recent 18.5-minute average. Her cold shooting and modest 23% usage rate made up the difference in a game where she couldn't generate enough scoring volume.
  • Leila Lacan Over 12.5 PTS6 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLacan's 2-for-4 shooting (50% FG) fell well short of her season norm despite solid efficiency and near-full minutes, suggesting an off-night rather than role compression—the over needed her to approach her L10 average of 13.9, and a 6-point output represents a significant individual underperformance against the 12.5 line.
  • Veronica Burton Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBurton's 6 assists came on an efficient 33-minute outing with elevated ball-handling responsibilities (22% usage), as she orchestrated the offense in a blowout win (+16) without foul trouble (4 PF) to slow her playmaking. The sharp under relied on lower usage and minutes, but game script and her role expansion pushed her to exactly one dime above the threshold.
  • Veronica Burton Under 13.5 PTS17 vs 13.5no clean explanationBurton shot 58% from the field (7-12) and logged 33 minutes with elevated usage (22%), exceeding her L10 average of 9.0 PPG by 8 points and surpassing the 13.5 line despite the pre-game gap suggesting regression risk.
CHI @ LAS6–6−1.91u
  • Dearica Hamby Under 16.5 PTS17 vs 16.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHamby's efficient 7-13 shooting (54% FG) and 30 minutes of run in a blowout win (+12) pushed her past 16.5 despite modest usage at 22%, as she converted at a higher rate than her season average suggested.
  • Courtney Vandersloot Over 8.5 PTS6 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upVandersloot managed just 6 points on 2-5 shooting (40% FG) in 19 minutes, falling short despite respectable efficiency; limited playing time and modest volume in a game where she logged fewer than 20 minutes prevented her from reaching the 8.5-point threshold.
  • Erica Wheeler Under 8.5 PTS15 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler's 75% true shooting on 10 field goal attempts—notably 3-for-6 from three—converted her modest 28 minutes and 18% usage into 15 points, well above the 8.5 line despite matching her pre-game per-minute pace. Her efficient off-ball role in a blowout win (+19) meant volume stayed contained but scoring efficiency spiked far above her recent 6.8 PPG average.
  • Ariel Atkins Under 9.5 PTS17 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins torched the under with an unusually efficient 7-13 shooting night (54% FG) despite modest 21% usage, converting at a 63% true shooting rate that far exceeded her season baseline and the game script. The sharp under thesis crumbled on her hot hand—she simply shot the lights out in 29 minutes rather than the inefficient, limited-volume night the projection anticipated.
  • Ariel Atkins Under 10.5 PTS17 vs 10.5no clean explanationAtkins erupted to 7-13 FG (54%) with efficient 63% True Shooting, well above her recent 6.8 ppg average, and played the full 29 minutes without foul trouble despite 4 PF. The +24 net rating and team blowout win gave her both elevated opportunity and the freedom to stay on court and capitalize on hot shooting.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 5.5 AST7 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud exceeded her recent assist averages (L10: 4.2, L5: 4.6) by recording 7 dimes in 27 minutes, benefiting from elevated usage at 23% and primary ball-handling duties that pushed her distribution volume above the 5.5 line despite shooting just 18% from the field (2-11 FG). The bet's foundation on her sub-4.6 recent trend proved vulnerable to a game where she prioritized playmaking over shot-creation in a losing effort.
DAL @ TOR3–4−1.87u
  • Maria Conde Under 11.5 PTS12 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upConde eclipsed the under by just one point on efficient 5-9 shooting (56 FG%), staying within her recent scoring range despite the modest 17% usage rate and limited free-throw opportunities (0 attempts). The line's -2.2 gap to her L10 average left minimal margin for variance, and above-average shooting efficiency proved just enough to push her over.
  • Arike Ogunbowale Under 14.5 PTS20 vs 14.5no clean explanationOgunbowale's elite efficiency—71% TS on 21% usage with a perfect 7-7 from the line—combined with her elevated 30 minutes in a blowout win (+14) to push her well past 14.5 despite modest volume. Her last-10 average of 11.7 didn't account for games where she gets extended run and converts at this level of accuracy.
  • Isabelle Harrison Under 15.5 PTS18 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHarrison's elite 80% field-goal percentage (8-10 FG) and efficient 83% true shooting far exceeded her season averages, lifting her 3 points above the 15.5 line despite 26 minutes of play and 22% usage that aligned with pre-game expectations. The shooting variance—particularly her 2-3 mark from three—was the decisive factor, as her volume remained modest but her efficiency was outlier-hot.
  • Isabelle Harrison Under 7.5 REB8 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHarrison's elite 80% shooting efficiency (8-10 FG) kept her on the floor for a full 26 minutes despite the team's blowout loss, and she grabbed 8 boards on just 22% usage—matching her L5 average of 7.2 and exceeding the 7.5 line by one rebound in a game where volume should have favored the under.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.