DIME
Get the picks

← form_wnba · WNBA

2026-07-12

Day by day

these are the form_wnba picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.

68–34 · 67% · +22.19u across the last 1 days

07/1268–3467%+22.19u4 games

permalink to 2026-07-12 →

SEA @ WAS6–4+0.77u
  • Kiki Iriafen Under 9.5 REB13 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIriafen grabbed 13 rebounds in 29 minutes, benefiting from elevated offensive rebounding activity and a game script that extended playing time slightly above the 28.4-minute projection. Her 13 boards came despite modest scoring (12 pts on 40% FG), making her a glass-cleaner on a night where the rebound battle favored her availability.
  • Shakira Austin Under 12.5 PTS27 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAustin torched the under with elite efficiency, shooting 10-18 from the field (55.6%) and 5-7 from the line (71.4%) across a season-high 33 minutes and 30% usage, converting at 64% true shooting to nearly double the 12.5-point projection.
  • Shakira Austin Over 8.5 REB5 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAustin played 33 minutes with high usage (30%) and elite scoring efficiency (64% TS%), but grabbed just 5 boards—a sharp departure from her L10 average of 10.2—suggesting opponent box-outs or a slower rebounding pace limited her glass work despite heavy offensive touches.
  • Shakira Austin Under 13.5 PTS27 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAustin exploded far beyond her recent baseline, shooting 55.6% from the field (10-18) with 64% true shooting and 30% usage—a dramatic uptick from her L10 average of 10.9 PPG—to finish with 27 points in 33 minutes, completely invalidating the under at 13.5.
CHI @ DAL9–5+2.14u
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 13.5 PTS12 vs 13.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationDespite playing 29 minutes—in line with her recent 26-minute average—Cardoso's 50% true shooting and 20% usage rate fell short of the volume and efficiency needed to clear 13.5, as she managed just 12 points on 6-12 shooting with zero free-throw attempts.
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 14.5 PTS12 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCardoso fell two points short despite efficient 50% true-shooting and 29 minutes of run, as she made only 6 of 12 field goals and drew zero free-throw attempts in a game where Chicago's offensive load was spread across the roster. The -8 plus/minus and low-volume usage (20%) suggest she played a complementary role rather than shouldering scoring load in what appears to have been a competitive contest.
  • Paige Bueckers Under 7.5 AST11 vs 7.5no clean explanationBueckers ran the offense aggressively in a blowout win (+14), logging 36 minutes and 25% usage to rack up 11 assists—well above her 6.4 L10 average and the 7.5 line, with only 1 turnover enabling efficient orchestration. The game script and extended run time allowed her to exceed her season tendency by nearly 5 dimes.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 11.5 PTS15 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud exceeded her L10 average of 8.3 PPG by converting 5-of-8 from the field (62.5%) and going a perfect 5-for-5 from the line on 32 minutes, offsetting a quiet 0-2 three-point night to reach 15 points.
  • Natasha Cloud Under 10.5 PTS15 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud shot 5-8 from the field (62.5%) with a perfect 5-5 from free throw, converting at 74% TS despite her season usage staying modest at 18%—elite efficiency on limited volume overwhelmed her recent scoring averages. The bet needed her to stay within her L5 average of 8.6 points, but a hot shooting night pushed her past the line even without elevated shot attempts.
IND @ LVA28–14+8.74u
  • Caitlin Clark Over 6.5 AST6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationClark finished with exactly 6 assists—one short of the over—despite a 7.7 assist average over her last 10 games, limited by 24 minutes of action and a balanced offensive load (5-11 FG, 7 rebounds) that reduced her playmaking volume in a game that stayed competitive (+6 margin).
  • Jackie Young Over 17.5 PTS15 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's efficient 70% TS kept her close to the line, but 32 minutes and a modest 16% usage rate limited her volume—she'd need to hit at a nearly 55% clip from the field to reach 17.5 points, and her 4-8 FG fell just short of that threshold.
  • NaLyssa Smith Over 10.5 PTS9 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upSmith fell just short despite solid efficiency (4-7 FG, 51% TS) because reduced minutes (21 vs. her 24.8 L10 average) and lower usage (19%) limited her scoring opportunities to nine points. The combination of playing three fewer minutes and touching the ball less frequently kept her below the 10.5-point line despite hitting over half her field-goal attempts.
  • NaLyssa Smith Over 9.5 PTS9 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationSmith fell short despite solid 4-7 shooting (57% FG) by playing just 21 minutes—3.8 below her recent average—which capped her at 9 points and limited her opportunities to reach double figures. The missed free throws (1-4) and lower-than-expected usage (19%) further restricted her scoring upside on a night where bench depth may have reduced her run.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark played just 24 minutes—below her 30.2 L10 average—and went 1-for-5 from three, suggesting both reduced volume and a rare cold shooting night that undercut her 2.4-per-game recent baseline above the line.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 23.5 PTS20 vs 23.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationWilson shot 42% TS on 39% usage—well below her standards—and finished 9-23 from the field in a game that stayed competitive rather than the high-pace, high-scoring environment the 182.5 total suggested, leaving her 3.5 points short of the over.
NYL @ TOR25–11+10.53u
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 17.5 PTS28 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu torched the under by shooting 9-18 from the field (50%) with a perfect 7-8 from the line for 65% true shooting, far exceeding the efficiency needed to clear 17.5 points in 33 minutes of play. Despite modest 26% usage, elite shot-making—particularly from three (3-7, 43%)—allowed her to reach 28 points on volume that should've landed comfortably under the number.
  • Pauline Astier Under 10.5 PTS14 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAstier's perfect 4-4 free-throw shooting and efficient 62.5% two-point rate (5-8 FG) pushed her to 14 points in 25 minutes, exceeding the 10.5 line despite modest usage at 22%, as she converted her limited opportunities at an elite clip.
  • Jonquel Jones Over 14.5 PTS10 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones shot just 3-8 from the field (37.5% FG) despite playing 31 minutes—a significant efficiency collapse from her L10 average of 16.3 PPG—and couldn't compensate with three-point shooting (1-5), falling 4.5 points short of the over. The poor shooting splits, not reduced minutes or usage (15%), were the primary culprit in missing the 14.5 threshold.
  • Maria Conde Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upConde played 34 minutes and shot efficiently (63% TS), but her 16% usage rate—well below her season norm—limited her playmaking opportunities, and she recorded just 2 assists despite the extended floor time.
  • Jonquel Jones Over 13.5 PTS10 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones shot just 3-8 from the field (37.5% FG) and 1-5 from three despite playing 31 minutes, falling short of her 13.5 prop due to inefficient scoring rather than lack of opportunity. Her 15% usage rate and 51% true shooting—well below her season norms—indicate cold shooting was the primary culprit in missing the total by 3.5 points.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 16.5 PTS28 vs 16.5paid over the fair numberIonescu torched the under with efficient, high-volume scoring: 9-18 FG (50%), 3-7 from three, and 7-8 from the line (87.5% TS) across 33 minutes, nearly doubling the 16.5 projection despite a modest 26% usage rate that indicated she wasn't forced into volume.

Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.