← system_lineedges · WNBA
2026-07-11
Day by day
these are the system_lineedges picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
17–10 · 63% · +2.44u across the last 1 days · 1 voided, nothing staked
07/1117–10 ·1 void63%+2.44u3 games
PHO @ LVA2–3−1.76u
- Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 PTS9 vs 20.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCopper's ice-cold 4-14 shooting (29% FG, 32% TS%) and uncharacteristic 0-0 from the free-throw line derailed the over despite playing 29 minutes at elevated usage (27%), a stark collapse from her recent 25–26 ppg form. The -41 rating suggests a blowout environment that limited her volume and efficiency opportunities.
- Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 PTS9 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCopper's catastrophic 4-14 FG (29% from the field) and 1-6 from three despite playing 29 minutes and maintaining her usual 27% usage rate torpedoed the over; a -41 +/- suggests she faced a blowout environment that limited her offensive rhythm.
- Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 AST1 vs 7.5no clean explanationThomas played just 28 minutes—well below her 33.8 L10 average—and recorded only 1 assist on 16% usage, a dramatic collapse from her recent 8.9 L10 assists per game. The combination of reduced floor time and a blowout loss (-36 +/-) severely limited her opportunities to facilitate.
POR @ ATL3–4 ·1 void−1.69u
- Madina Okot Under 6.5 REB8 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOkot exceeded the 6.5 rebound line by grabbing 8 boards in 22 minutes, capitalizing on a 33% usage rate and 7-14 shooting efficiency that kept her heavily involved on the glass. Her activity on the offensive end—combined with limited foul trouble (1 PF)—allowed her to stay on the floor and compete for rebounds throughout.
- Naz Hillmon Under 5.5 REB8 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberHillmon crushed the boards with 8 rebounds despite matching her season average in usage (17%), getting a boost from 36 minutes—10 minutes above her pre-game baseline—in a competitive game that stayed tight enough to keep her on the floor. The elevated playing time, combined with her 6 offensive rebounds, easily cleared the 5.5 line.
- Rhyne Howard Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberHoward hit the over despite modest offensive efficiency (3-9 FG, 51% TS) because she was heavily involved in playmaking and ball-handling duties in the starting role (31 min, 4 steals), generating one more assist than her season average of 2.8 to clear the 3.5 line.
- Bridget Carleton Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5no clean explanationCarleton's 4 assists exceeded the 2.5 line despite modest 14% usage, as she operated efficiently in 34 minutes and converted 4-of-9 field goals to generate multiple scoring opportunities for teammates. The under was vulnerable given her elevated floor time and playmaking role in what became a blowout (+17), where pace and ball movement typically increase in non-competitive games.
NYL @ MIN12–3+5.89u
- Marine Johannes Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohannes doubled her projected total on 70% true shooting, draining 4 three-pointers in 23 minutes of efficient offensive output that far exceeded the 7.5-point threshold. The under relied on her staying in single digits, but she turned a modest 19% usage rate into elite scoring efficiency that proved too high a bar.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 15.5 PTS25 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's elite 57% true shooting on 31% usage—fueled by a perfect 4-for-4 night from the stripe and efficient 9-for-20 overall—pushed her well over the 15.5 threshold despite modest three-point volume (3-12). She played 35 minutes without foul trouble, giving her the volume and efficiency runway to hit 25 points in a game where the offense clicked.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's 5 assists came despite modest playmaking efficiency (3 turnovers in 35 minutes), driven primarily by her team-leading 31% usage rate that kept her heavily involved in shot creation rather than traditional facilitation. The under missed by the slimmest margin on a night where she prioritized scoring (25 points on 20 shots) but still accumulated just enough dimes to cross the 4.5 threshold.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.