← system_lineedges · WNBA
2026-07-15
Day by day
these are the system_lineedges picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
7–13 · 35% · −8.57u across the last 1 days
07/157–1335%−8.57u3 games
GSV @ IND1–8−7.22u
- Monique Billings Over 5.5 PTS4 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberBillings shot just 1-5 from the field (20%) and 2-4 from free throw, combining for a 30% true shooting rate that made up the entire scoring shortfall; despite playing 26 minutes with reasonable opportunity, inefficient shot selection and poor finishing prevented her from reaching 6 points.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 21.5 PTS20 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationMitchell fell just short despite 35 minutes of work, as Las Vegas's elite perimeter defense (allowing 31.3 PPG to guards, league's best) held her to 7-16 shooting (43.8%)—a significant dip from her 27.6 PPG average over her previous five games. The one-point miss came down to shot-making: she needed just 22 points to cash but couldn't overcome the cold shooting night against the WNBA's top-ranked defense.
- Caitlin Clark Over 16.5 PTS13 vs 16.5paid over the fair numberClark shot just 4-14 from the field (28.6%) and 1-8 from three despite playing 26 minutes with 36% usage, relying too heavily on free throws (4-5) to reach only 13 points. The poor efficiency and cold shooting from the field left her three points short of the over.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 20.5 PTS20 vs 20.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberMitchell shot 7-16 from the field and missed critical attempts down the stretch in a tight game, falling one point short despite her heavy usage and efficient free-throw shooting. The recent 25.9 PPG average didn't materialize due to below-season-average efficiency (58% TS vs her typical output), costing her the half-point push needed to clear 20.5.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 22.5 PTS20 vs 22.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMitchell fell just short despite efficient shooting (7-16 FG, 58% TS) because her 25% usage rate limited her volume—she needed either more shot attempts or free throw opportunities to clear 22.5 in 35 minutes. Four personal fouls also likely restricted her aggression down the stretch.
- Caitlin Clark Over 15.5 PTS13 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark's efficient recent form evaporated as she shot just 4-14 FG (28.6%) and 1-8 from three, falling two points short despite playing 26 minutes with high usage—a sharp departure from her 21.3 ppg L10 average that justified the aggressive line.
SEA @ CHI2–4−2.74u
- Natisha Hiedeman Over 15.5 PTS6 vs 15.5no clean explanationHiedeman's 27% TS and 3-11 shooting (27% FG) represented a catastrophic collapse from her L10/L5 averages of 18.5–18.8 PPG, despite logging 30 minutes and maintaining her typical 18% usage rate. The offensive efficiency breakdown—compounded by 0-5 from three—overwhelmed volume to render the over unplayable.
- Natasha Cloud Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upCloud exceeded the under threshold by a single assist despite modest 16% usage, generating 6 dimes in 30 minutes with efficient scoring (85% TS%) that kept her engaged in the offense—the sharp +130 value proved vulnerable to even slight playmaking variance in a close final tally.
- Natasha Cloud Under 11.5 PTS13 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upCloud's efficient 85% true shooting—fueled by a perfect 5-6 from the free-throw line—pushed her just over the line despite 16% usage and a shooting profile (3-5 FG, 2-3 3PT) that aligned with her season trends; the free-throw volume was the outlier that tipped the under.
- Azura Stevens Under 14.5 PTS20 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStevens shot 50% from the field and 50% from three—well above her season efficiency—and played a full 33 minutes without fouling out, allowing her to exceed the 14.5 line by 5.5 points despite matching her recent 12.0 ppg average.
LAS @ MIN4–1+1.39u
- Courtney Williams Under 16.5 PTS19 vs 16.5no clean explanationWilliams exceeded the 16.5 line by converting 7-of-13 shots (53.8% FG) with efficient free-throw shooting (4-5), offsetting her cold 3-point night to reach 19 points on 62% true shooting despite modest 23% usage. The bet missed because she played high-volume interior offense in a competitive game (35 minutes, -3 +/-) rather than defaulting to her recent 13.5 ppg pace.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.