← system_lineedges · WNBA
2026-08-06
Day by day
these are the system_lineedges picks — the book grading is currently serving, and the same set listed in the sheet below. The season figure in the header bar is that same book over the whole season; this is a recent window of it.
9–8 · 53% · −0.89u across the last 1 days
08/069–853%−0.89u3 games
LAS @ MIN4–7−3.90u
- Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike scored efficiently (16 pts on 62% TS in 30 min) but recorded zero assists despite 27% usage, turning the ball over 5 times and failing to facilitate for teammates. The volume was there but playmaking never materialized, leaving the over well short of the 2.5 threshold.
- Courtney Williams Over 3.5 AST0 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams played 34 minutes but recorded zero assists despite 17% usage, operating primarily as a scorer (12 points on 5-12 shooting) rather than a facilitator in the offense. The complete absence of playmaking opportunities—just one turnover in a game where she touched the ball infrequently—made the over an impossible hit.
- Kayla McBride Over 17.5 PTS15 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride fell just short despite playing 34 minutes, as a poor 5-13 shooting night (38 FG%) limited her to 15 points despite decent volume at 21% usage. The miss came down to inefficiency rather than opportunity—she had the minutes and touches but couldn't convert at her typical rate.
- Napheesa Collier Under 2.5 AST6 vs 2.5paid over the fair numberCollier's 30% usage rate and 34 minutes gave her plenty of opportunities to facilitate, and she delivered 6 assists by being the primary ball-handler in Minnesota's offense despite a quiet shooting night (10-20 FG). The under at 2.5 was vulnerable given her playmaking role and heavy minutes in a game where the Lynx needed her involvement beyond scoring.
- Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurrell's 2 assists fell one short of the over, despite solid scoring (17 pts on 67% TS); her 23% usage rate limited playmaking opportunities and she recorded just 1 turnover, indicating a shoot-first role rather than ball-handling duties.
- Kayla McBride Over 16.5 PTS15 vs 16.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberMcBride fell one point short despite 34 minutes and 21% usage, undone by inefficient shooting (5-13 FG, 3-8 3PT) that kept her below the scoring threshold even with steady volume.
TOR @ POR1–0+0.71u
LVA @ IND4–1+2.29u
- Aliyah Boston Under 9.5 REB12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBoston exceeded the rebounding line by crashing the glass relentlessly in 38 minutes of heavy usage, grabbing 12 boards on strong efficiency (70% TS) to carry the offensive load despite a team-worst -9 +/-. The high volume and floor time proved decisive for the over-9.5 rebound prop.
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.