Maria Conde over 15.5 pts+reb+ast
She has cleared 15.5 in 17 of 35 games — 48.6%. That rate needs +105 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Back).
TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETprojected starter · 18 projected minutes
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutMarina MabreyRight Adductor
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
AT 15+ MINUTES · 202633 games · 27.1 min · 16.2 pts+reb+ast · 17/33 over 15.5 (52%)
Tonight's projection is 18 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT MORROW31 games · 26.1 min · 15.2 pts+reb+ast · 15/31 over 15.5with her (n=4): 28.5 min · 18.8 pts+reb+ast · 50%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES20 games · 28.9 min · 17.3 pts+reb+ast · 11/20 over 15.5with her (n=15): 23.2 min · 13.3 pts+reb+ast · 40%with her →
WITHOUT MABREY5 games · 25.4 min · 13.4 pts+reb+ast · 2/5 over 15.5with her (n=30): 26.6 min · 15.9 pts+reb+ast · 50%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
35 games · hover a bucket2.5–5 pts+reb+ast · 1 game · 2.9% · under1
5–7.5 pts+reb+ast · 4 games · 11.4% · under4
7.5–10 pts+reb+ast · 5 games · 14.3% · under5
10–12.5 pts+reb+ast · 2 games · 5.7% · under2
12.5–15 pts+reb+ast · 6 games · 17.1% · under6
15–17.5 pts+reb+ast · 3 games · 8.6% · under3
17.5–20 pts+reb+ast · 2 games · 5.7% · over2
20–22.5 pts+reb+ast · 6 games · 17.1% · over6
22.5–25 pts+reb+ast · 2 games · 5.7% · over2
25–27.5 pts+reb+ast · 2 games · 5.7% · over2
27.5–30 pts+reb+ast · 1 game · 2.9% · over1
30–32.5 pts+reb+ast · 1 game · 2.9% · over1
15.5
UNDER · 18OVER · 17 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
pts+reb+ast · line 15.5 · hover a bar2026-05-21 · MIN · 5 pts+reb+ast · −10.5 vs line
2026-05-23 · POR · 14 pts+reb+ast · −1.5 vs line
2026-05-27 · CHI · 16 pts+reb+ast · +0.5 vs line
2026-05-30 · SEA · 21 pts+reb+ast · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · NYL · 14 pts+reb+ast · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · CHI · 13 pts+reb+ast · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-10 · CON · 4 pts+reb+ast · −11.5 vs line
2026-06-12 · WAS · 17 pts+reb+ast · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-14 · ATL · 19 pts+reb+ast · +3.5 vs line
2026-06-16 · IND · 21 pts+reb+ast · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · CON · 28 pts+reb+ast · +12.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · ATL · 14 pts+reb+ast · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LAS · 20 pts+reb+ast · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · PHO · 22 pts+reb+ast · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · DAL · 16 pts+reb+ast · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · GSV · 13 pts+reb+ast · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · DAL · 24 pts+reb+ast · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · NYL · 19 pts+reb+ast · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · WAS · 9 pts+reb+ast · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · ATL · 22 pts+reb+ast · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · LVA · 27 pts+reb+ast · +11.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · MIN · 31 pts+reb+ast · +15.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · MIN · 9 pts+reb+ast · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · GSV · 20 pts+reb+ast · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · GSV · 27 pts+reb+ast · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · POR · 14 pts+reb+ast · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · ATL · 6 pts+reb+ast · −9.5 vs line
2026-08-26 · SEA · 12 pts+reb+ast · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · NYL · 5 pts+reb+ast · −10.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · CHI · 8 pts+reb+ast · −7.5 vs line
15.5
2026-05-21— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
40.0%4/10 · last 10
2026-07-20 · 27 pts+reb+ast · OVER
27
2026-07-28 · 31 pts+reb+ast · OVER
31
2026-07-30 · 9 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
9
2026-08-02 · 20 pts+reb+ast · OVER
20
2026-08-04 · 27 pts+reb+ast · OVER
27
2026-08-06 · 14 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
14
2026-08-10 · 6 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
6
2026-08-26 · 12 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
12
2026-09-20 · 5 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
5
2026-09-22 · 8 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
8
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 35 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
PTS+REB+AST
REB · AST · FG
VS 15.5
2026-09-22CHIAWAY13.9MIN8PTS+REB+AST3 · 0 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 46.0
- USG%
- 16.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 8
2026-09-20NYLHOME22.3MIN5PTS+REB+AST2 · 3 · 0-8UNDER
- FG
- 0-8
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-26SEAAWAY19.8MIN12PTS+REB+AST4 · 4 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 18.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-10ATLAWAY27.9MIN6PTS+REB+AST1 · 3 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 8.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-06PORAWAY28.7MIN14PTS+REB+AST6 · 2 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 14.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-04GSVAWAY30.1MIN27PTS+REB+AST6 · 4 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 5-10
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 70.8
- USG%
- 24.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-02GSVAWAY33.7MIN20PTS+REB+AST5 · 5 · 5-14OVER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 0-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 35.7
- USG%
- 21.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-30MINHOME27.6MIN9PTS+REB+AST2 · 2 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 41.7
- USG%
- 11.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-28MINAWAY29.9MIN31PTS+REB+AST10 · 1 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/7
- TS%
- 59.2
- USG%
- 29.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-20LVAHOME27.6MIN27PTS+REB+AST8 · 4 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 18.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 27
2026-07-17ATLHOME30.7MIN22PTS+REB+AST4 · 5 · 2-8OVER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -22
- PRA
- 22
2026-07-14WASHOME30.0MIN9PTS+REB+AST4 · 3 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 20.0
- USG%
- 10.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-12NYLHOME33.5MIN19PTS+REB+AST2 · 2 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 63.1
- USG%
- 15.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-10DALHOME34.8MIN24PTS+REB+AST3 · 9 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 16.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-08GSVHOME35.4MIN13PTS+REB+AST3 · 1 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.7
- USG%
- 16.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 13
2026-07-05DALHOME28.5MIN16PTS+REB+AST10 · 3 · 1-10OVER
- FG
- 1-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/6
- TS%
- 15.0
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 16
2026-06-27PHOHOME37.2MIN22PTS+REB+AST6 · 6 · 4-14OVER
- FG
- 4-14
- 3PT
- 1-8
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 34.6
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 22
2026-06-25LASHOME28.9MIN20PTS+REB+AST7 · 0 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 73.2
- USG%
- 14.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 20
2026-06-22ATLAWAY29.0MIN14PTS+REB+AST4 · 2 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 13.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 14
2026-06-19CONAWAY27.5MIN28PTS+REB+AST6 · 3 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 5-8
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 69.0
- USG%
- 21.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 28
2026-06-16INDAWAY31.3MIN21PTS+REB+AST4 · 5 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 71.1
- USG%
- 12.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -22
- PRA
- 21
2026-06-14ATLHOME24.7MIN19PTS+REB+AST3 · 4 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 53.6
- USG%
- 24.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 19
2026-06-12WASAWAY21.8MIN17PTS+REB+AST6 · 4 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 44.4
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 17
2026-06-10CONHOME14.6MIN4PTS+REB+AST2 · 2 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 4
2026-06-07CHIHOME24.3MIN13PTS+REB+AST6 · 2 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 31.3
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 13
showing 25 of 35 — every rate above is computed over all 35