A'ja Wilson over 26.5 points
She has cleared 26.5 in 83 of 233 games — 35.6%. That rate needs +180 to break even and books have been paying -109.
01
Distribution
233 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 1 game · 0.4% · under1
5–10 points · 7 games · 3.0% · under7
10–15 points · 20 games · 8.6% · under20
15–20 points · 40 games · 17.2% · under40
20–25 points · 64 games · 27.5% · under64
25–30 points · 47 games · 20.2% · under47
30–35 points · 36 games · 15.5% · over36
35–40 points · 13 games · 5.6% · over13
40–45 points · 3 games · 1.3% · over3
45–50 points · 1 game · 0.4% · over1
50–55 points · 1 game · 0.4% · over1
26.5
UNDER · 150OVER · 83 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 26.5 · hover a bar2026-06-11 · POR · 32 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · MIN · 24 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · DAL · 18 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · PHO · 33 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · GSV · 19 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-23 · NYL · 16 points · −10.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · DAL · 32 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · CHI · 30 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · POR · 32 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · PHO · 21 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · IND · 20 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · TOR · 26 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · WAS · 38 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · POR · 28 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · NYL · 33 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · CHI · 36 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · ATL · 23 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · IND · 26 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · MIN · 16 points · −10.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · WAS · 26 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · WAS · 15 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · MIN · 32 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · ATL · 27 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · CON · 20 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · TOR · 27 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · TOR · 27 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · SEA · 29 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · SEA · 30 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · LAS · 18 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · PHO · 34 points · +7.5 vs line
26.5
2026-06-11— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-13 · 15 points · UNDER
15
2026-08-15 · 32 points · OVER
32
2026-08-18 · 27 points · OVER
27
2026-08-20 · 20 points · UNDER
20
2026-08-23 · 27 points · OVER
27
2026-08-28 · 27 points · OVER
27
2026-09-17 · 29 points · OVER
29
2026-09-20 · 30 points · OVER
30
2026-09-22 · 18 points · UNDER
18
2026-09-24 · 34 points · OVER
34
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 17 postings26.5-109
best offered26.5-106
worst offered26.5-125
our break-even26.5+180
Median -109 across 17 postings over 7 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 233 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 26.5
2026-09-24PHOAWAY34.6MIN34POINTS9 · 5 · 16-28OVER
- FG
- 16-28
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/6
- TS%
- 59.8
- USG%
- 38.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 48
2026-09-22LASHOME32.1MIN18POINTS10 · 2 · 7-15UNDER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 3/7
- TS%
- 53.7
- USG%
- 28.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 30
2026-09-20SEAHOME30.2MIN30POINTS8 · 4 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 16-18
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 34.4
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 42
2026-09-17SEAAWAY28.9MIN29POINTS7 · 5 · 9-13OVER
- FG
- 9-13
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 10-10
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 83.3
- USG%
- 26.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 41
2026-08-28TORHOME30.5MIN27POINTS8 · 2 · 10-17OVER
- FG
- 10-17
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 65.8
- USG%
- 32.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 37
2026-08-23TORAWAY30.5MIN27POINTS7 · 7 · 10-15OVER
- FG
- 10-15
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 72.9
- USG%
- 30.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 41
2026-08-20CONHOME27.4MIN20POINTS3 · 4 · 9-19UNDER
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 49.2
- USG%
- 32.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +22
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-18ATLHOME34.2MIN27POINTS14 · 3 · 7-18OVER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 12-12
- OREB/DREB
- 2/12
- TS%
- 58.0
- USG%
- 36.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 44
2026-08-15MINHOME33.7MIN32POINTS7 · 1 · 10-15OVER
- FG
- 10-15
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 11-12
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 78.9
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 40
2026-08-13WASHOME34.7MIN15POINTS6 · 4 · 5-14UNDER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 46.3
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-11WASHOME34.7MIN26POINTS13 · 2 · 10-18UNDER
- FG
- 10-18
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/11
- TS%
- 64.4
- USG%
- 34.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 41
2026-08-08MINAWAY32.6MIN16POINTS8 · 1 · 5-17UNDER
- FG
- 5-17
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 4/4
- TS%
- 40.7
- USG%
- 32.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-06INDAWAY37.5MIN26POINTS13 · 3 · 10-25UNDER
- FG
- 10-25
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/12
- TS%
- 47.0
- USG%
- 34.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 42
2026-08-03ATLAWAY30.1MIN23POINTS6 · 4 · 8-11UNDER
- FG
- 8-11
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 84.3
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +38
- PRA
- 33
2026-08-01CHIAWAY34.5MIN36POINTS12 · 4 · 13-27OVER
- FG
- 13-27
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 9-12
- OREB/DREB
- 5/7
- TS%
- 55.8
- USG%
- 40.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 52
2026-07-30NYLHOME35.7MIN33POINTS10 · 6 · 11-22OVER
- FG
- 11-22
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 10-11
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 37.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 49
2026-07-28PORHOME30.2MIN28POINTS14 · 4 · 7-10OVER
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 13-14
- OREB/DREB
- 1/13
- TS%
- 86.6
- USG%
- 31.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 46
2026-07-22WASAWAY34.8MIN38POINTS7 · 5 · 12-16OVER
- FG
- 12-16
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 12-13
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 87.5
- USG%
- 31.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 50
2026-07-20TORAWAY27.8MIN26POINTS6 · 4 · 11-14UNDER
- FG
- 11-14
- 3PT
- 3-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 90.0
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 36
2026-07-12INDHOME30.8MIN20POINTS12 · 2 · 9-23UNDER
- FG
- 9-23
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/8
- TS%
- 41.9
- USG%
- 39.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-11PHOHOME24.5MIN21POINTS15 · 3 · 8-16UNDER
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 3/12
- TS%
- 59.1
- USG%
- 33.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +30
- PRA
- 39
2026-07-09PORAWAY30.2MIN32POINTS10 · 3 · 10-19OVER
- FG
- 10-19
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 11-13
- OREB/DREB
- 0/10
- TS%
- 64.7
- USG%
- 41.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +25
- PRA
- 45
2026-06-28CHIAWAY34.0MIN30POINTS15 · 2 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 13-16
- OREB/DREB
- 4/11
- TS%
- 71.3
- USG%
- 32.7
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 47
2026-06-25DALHOME31.8MIN32POINTS9 · 0 · 12-21OVER
- FG
- 12-21
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 8-11
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 61.9
- USG%
- 39.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 41
2026-06-23NYLHOME35.6MIN16POINTS9 · 5 · 7-18UNDER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/8
- TS%
- 41.4
- USG%
- 30.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 30
showing 25 of 233 — every rate above is computed over all 233