WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

How to read it

Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
Latest close is the market's adjustment.
Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.

Updated Aug 10, 2026

2026

Coverage window

141

Players

219

Games

88,069

Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable · Early-exit games are excluded from normal-performance training · Some rows do not have verified tip-time coverage

Recent verified shifts · Jul 27–Aug 9 · WNBA · 2026 · Points

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#01 · Line rise

wnba · points

Dana Evans

2 market games in this series

Small sample · only 2 market games

Market expectation

4.5prior baseline

14.5latest close

Median consensus close across 1 prior game

Line rose 10

Outcome vs closing line

2 points · UNDER by 12.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Aug 9, 2026, Dana Evans recorded 2 points against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 12.5 under. The market had raised the line 10 from the prior baseline of 4.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Only 2 representative games — too little for a trend.

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

Chelsea Gray: Questionable → Out

availability · reported Aug 9

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 2 settled games

Dana Evans · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 3	Las Vegas Aces	Atlanta Dream	12.6	4.5	2	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 9	Las Vegas Aces	New York Liberty	14.3	14.5	2	UNDER 12.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#02 · Line rise

wnba · points

Jewell Loyd

30 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 29 prior games

Line rose 9

Outcome vs closing line

2 points · UNDER by 15.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Aug 9, 2026, Jewell Loyd recorded 2 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 15.5 under. The market had raised the line 9 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 4.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

Chelsea Gray: Questionable → Out

availability · reported Aug 9

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jewell Loyd · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 1	Las Vegas Aces	Chicago Sky	24.7	8.5	3	UNDER 5.5	Included
Aug 3	Las Vegas Aces	Atlanta Dream	18.5	8.5	6	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 6	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	31.2	8.5	9	OVER 0.5	Included
Aug 8	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	29.6	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 9	Las Vegas Aces	New York Liberty	19.5	17.5	2	UNDER 15.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#03 · Line drop

wnba · points

Natasha Howard

30 market games in this series

Market expectation

15prior baseline

11.5latest close

Median consensus close across 29 prior games

Line fell 3.5

Outcome vs closing line

12 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Aug 9, 2026, Natasha Howard recorded 12 points against a 11.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3.5 from the prior baseline of 15.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Natasha Howard · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 30	Minnesota Lynx	Toronto Tempo	23.6	12.5	9	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 2	Minnesota Lynx	Indiana Fever	22.7	12.5	13	OVER 0.5	Included
Aug 6	Minnesota Lynx	Los Angeles Sparks	25.5	12.5	8	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 8	Minnesota Lynx	Las Vegas Aces	29.2	11.5	17	OVER 5.5	Included
Aug 9	Minnesota Lynx	Dallas Wings	24.1	11.5	12	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#04 · Line drop

wnba · points

Courtney Williams

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline

12.5latest close

Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

3 points · UNDER by 9.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Aug 9, 2026, Courtney Williams recorded 3 points against a 12.5 closing line, finishing 9.5 under. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Courtney Williams · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 30	Minnesota Lynx	Toronto Tempo	25	11.5	16	OVER 4.5	Included
Aug 2	Minnesota Lynx	Indiana Fever	34	12.5	27	OVER 14.5	Included
Aug 6	Minnesota Lynx	Los Angeles Sparks	34.5	13.5	12	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 8	Minnesota Lynx	Las Vegas Aces	33.1	12.5	13	OVER 0.5	Included
Aug 9	Minnesota Lynx	Dallas Wings	31.3	12.5	3	UNDER 9.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#05 · Line drop

wnba · points

Marine Johannes

23 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

5.5latest close

Median consensus close across 22 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

27 points · OVER by 21.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Aug 9, 2026, Marine Johannes recorded 27 points against a 5.5 closing line, finishing 21.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Marine Johannes · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 12	New York Liberty	Toronto Tempo	21.7	8.5	7	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jul 18	New York Liberty	Indiana Fever	17.7	8.5	12	OVER 3.5	Included
Jul 30	New York Liberty	Las Vegas Aces	8.4	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included
Aug 3	New York Liberty	Seattle Storm	11.7	7.5	6	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 9	New York Liberty	Las Vegas Aces	22	5.5	27	OVER 21.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Minnesota Lynx · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#06 · Line rise

wnba · points

Aziaha James

5 market games in this series

Market expectation

7prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 4 prior games

Line rose 2.5

Outcome vs closing line

19 points · OVER by 9.5

Game summary

Against Minnesota Lynx on Aug 9, 2026, Aziaha James recorded 19 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 9.5 over. The market had raised the line 2.5 from the prior baseline of 7.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Aziaha James · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 11	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	16.9	5.5	7	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 13	Dallas Wings	Portland Fire	33.9	11.5	17	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 15	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	12	7.5	10	OVER 2.5	Included
Jun 28	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	11.5	6.5	2	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 9	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	15	9.5	19	OVER 9.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent: Golden State Valkyries · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#07 · Line drop

wnba · points

Ariel Atkins

26 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 25 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

9 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Golden State Valkyries on Aug 9, 2026, Ariel Atkins recorded 9 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 10.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Ariel Atkins · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 28	Los Angeles Sparks	New York Liberty	34.2	11.5	16	OVER 4.5	Included
Aug 2	Los Angeles Sparks	Portland Fire	30.6	10.5	12	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 5	Los Angeles Sparks	Chicago Sky	20.9	10.5	8	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 6	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	28.8	9.5	7	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 9	Los Angeles Sparks	Golden State Valkyries	30.1	8.5	9	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Minnesota Lynx · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#08 · Line rise

wnba · points

Arike Ogunbowale

30 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 29 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

5 points · UNDER by 11.5

Game summary

Against Minnesota Lynx on Aug 9, 2026, Arike Ogunbowale recorded 5 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 11.5 under. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 3.6 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Arike Ogunbowale · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 31	Dallas Wings	Washington Mystics	30.5	15.5	20	OVER 4.5	Included
Aug 2	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	22.7	15.5	15	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 5	Dallas Wings	Washington Mystics	33.2	14.5	15	OVER 0.5	Included
Aug 7	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	26.7	16	5	UNDER 11	Included
Aug 9	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	27.7	16.5	5	UNDER 11.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Washington Mystics
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#09 · Line drop

wnba · points

Michaela Onyenwere

22 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 21 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

13 points · OVER by 5.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Aug 9, 2026, Michaela Onyenwere recorded 13 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 5.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.7 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Michaela Onyenwere · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 28	Washington Mystics	Connecticut Sun	31	9.5	6	UNDER 3.5	Included
Jul 31	Washington Mystics	Dallas Wings	30.2	9.5	6	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 5	Washington Mystics	Dallas Wings	18.6	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 7	Washington Mystics	Atlanta Dream	21.1	8.5	0	UNDER 8.5	Included
Aug 9	Washington Mystics	Phoenix Mercury	25.5	7.5	13	OVER 5.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#10 · Line rise

wnba · points

Olivia Miles

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

17.5prior baseline

19.5latest close

Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

20 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Aug 9, 2026, Olivia Miles recorded 20 points against a 19.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 17.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 3.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Olivia Miles · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 30	Minnesota Lynx	Toronto Tempo	22.8	18.5	16	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 2	Minnesota Lynx	Indiana Fever	31.5	18.5	28	OVER 9.5	Included
Aug 6	Minnesota Lynx	Los Angeles Sparks	33.7	19.5	23	OVER 3.5	Included
Aug 8	Minnesota Lynx	Las Vegas Aces	35.2	19.5	26	OVER 6.5	Included
Aug 9	Minnesota Lynx	Dallas Wings	33.8	19.5	20	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Minnesota Lynx · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#11 · Line rise

wnba · points

Alanna Smith

11 market games in this series

Market expectation

8prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 10 prior games

Line rose 1.5

Outcome vs closing line

11 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Minnesota Lynx on Aug 9, 2026, Alanna Smith recorded 11 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The market had raised the line 1.5 from the prior baseline of 8.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 3.2 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Alanna Smith · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 20	Dallas Wings	Chicago Sky	4.9	4.5	3	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 2	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	13.8	5.5	3	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 5	Dallas Wings	Washington Mystics	32	5	21	OVER 16	Included
Aug 7	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	27.4	8.5	11	OVER 2.5	Included
Aug 9	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	26.6	9.5	11	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Golden State Valkyries
Opponent: Los Angeles Sparks · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#12 · Line drop

wnba · points

Kaila Charles

5 market games in this series

Market expectation

7prior baseline

5.5latest close

Median consensus close across 4 prior games

Line fell 1.5

Outcome vs closing line

5 points · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Aug 9, 2026, Kaila Charles recorded 5 points against a 5.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1.5 from the prior baseline of 7.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.2 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Kaila Charles · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
May 13	Golden State Valkyries	Chicago Sky	27.8	8.5	9	OVER 0.5	Included
Jul 6	Golden State Valkyries	Washington Mystics	25.3	5	8	OVER 3	Included
Jul 29	Golden State Valkyries	Phoenix Mercury	28.5	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 4	Golden State Valkyries	Toronto Tempo	17.3	5.5	2	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 9	Golden State Valkyries	Los Angeles Sparks	18.5	5.5	5	UNDER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Golden State Valkyries
Opponent: Los Angeles Sparks · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#13 · Line drop

wnba · points

Tiffany Hayes

6 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

8latest close

Median consensus close across 5 prior games

Line fell 1.5

Outcome vs closing line

14 points · OVER by 6

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Aug 9, 2026, Tiffany Hayes recorded 14 points against a 8 closing line, finishing 6 over. The market had lowered the line 1.5 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.8 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Tiffany Hayes · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
May 21	Golden State Valkyries	New York Liberty	14.5	9.5	9	UNDER 0.5	Included
Jun 15	Golden State Valkyries	Los Angeles Sparks	9.7	9.5	4	UNDER 5.5	Included
Jul 6	Golden State Valkyries	Washington Mystics	18.9	6.5	9	OVER 2.5	Included
Jul 20	Golden State Valkyries	Washington Mystics	9.6	6.5	0	UNDER 6.5	Included
Aug 9	Golden State Valkyries	Los Angeles Sparks	18.7	8	14	OVER 6	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Golden State Valkyries
Opponent: Los Angeles Sparks · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#14 · Line drop

wnba · points

Cecilia Zandalasini

22 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 21 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

15 points · OVER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Aug 9, 2026, Cecilia Zandalasini recorded 15 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Cecilia Zandalasini · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 29	Golden State Valkyries	Phoenix Mercury	22.9	8.5	16	OVER 7.5	Included
Aug 2	Golden State Valkyries	Toronto Tempo	15.5	8	7	UNDER 1	Included
Aug 4	Golden State Valkyries	Toronto Tempo	18.9	8.5	6	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 7	Golden State Valkyries	Dallas Wings	17.5	7	5	UNDER 2	Included
Aug 9	Golden State Valkyries	Los Angeles Sparks	23.5	7.5	15	OVER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Washington Mystics · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#15 · Line drop

wnba · points

DeWanna Bonner

28 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 27 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Washington Mystics on Aug 9, 2026, DeWanna Bonner recorded 10 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 10.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

DeWanna Bonner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 1	Phoenix Mercury	New York Liberty	32.3	10.5	25	OVER 14.5	Included
Aug 3	Phoenix Mercury	Chicago Sky	30.6	10.5	14	OVER 3.5	Included
Aug 5	Phoenix Mercury	Atlanta Dream	30.5	10.5	11	OVER 0.5	Included
Aug 7	Phoenix Mercury	Connecticut Sun	34.5	10.5	6	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 9	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	19.1	9.5	10	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Golden State Valkyries
Opponent: Los Angeles Sparks · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#16 · Line drop

wnba · points

Janelle Salaun

27 market games in this series

Market expectation

12.5prior baseline

11.5latest close

Median consensus close across 26 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

8 points · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Aug 9, 2026, Janelle Salaun recorded 8 points against a 11.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 12.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2.6 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Janelle Salaun · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 29	Golden State Valkyries	Phoenix Mercury	23.8	13.5	13	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 2	Golden State Valkyries	Toronto Tempo	29.5	11.5	24	OVER 12.5	Included
Aug 4	Golden State Valkyries	Toronto Tempo	20.5	14	21	OVER 7	Included
Aug 7	Golden State Valkyries	Dallas Wings	16.6	11.5	9	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 9	Golden State Valkyries	Los Angeles Sparks	20.6	11.5	8	UNDER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Minnesota Lynx · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#17 · Line rise

wnba · points

Jessica Shepard

29 market games in this series

Early exit · excluded from normal form

Market expectation

13.5prior baseline

14.5latest close

Median consensus close across 28 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 14.5Early exit · 4.8 minutes · not normal underperformance

Game summary

Against Minnesota Lynx on Aug 9, 2026, Jessica Shepard recorded 0 points in only 4.8 minutes. The recorded actual finished UNDER the close by 14.5, but this is flagged as a non-representative early exit and excluded from normal-performance form. The connected feeds do not yet verify why Jessica Shepard left early. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 13.5.

What happened in the game · outcome exception

Abnormal early exit

Started · 4.8 minutes vs 33-minute prior 5-game median

Recorded UNDER stays in the market record · excluded from normal-performance form and training

Possible in-game injury or another unexpected removal; the connected feeds do not yet confirm the cause.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.4 below line1 shortened game excluded while selecting these five representative results

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Recorded outcome retained · early-exit sample excluded from normal-exposure form.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 6 settled games

Jessica Shepard · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 29	Dallas Wings	Atlanta Dream	40	14.5	16	OVER 1.5	Included
Jul 31	Dallas Wings	Washington Mystics	33	13.5	8	UNDER 5.5	Included
Aug 2	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	22.7	14	15	OVER 1	Included
Aug 5	Dallas Wings	Washington Mystics	36.5	13.5	22	OVER 8.5	Included
Aug 7	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	25.8	13.5	6	UNDER 7.5	Included
Aug 9	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	4.8	14.5	0	UNDER 14.5	Excluded · early exit

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#18 · Line drop

wnba · points

Kayla McBride

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline

14.5latest close

Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

43 points · OVER by 28.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Aug 9, 2026, Kayla McBride recorded 43 points against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 28.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 2.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Kayla McBride · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 30	Minnesota Lynx	Toronto Tempo	24.5	17.5	13	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 2	Minnesota Lynx	Indiana Fever	29.4	16.5	10	UNDER 6.5	Included
Aug 6	Minnesota Lynx	Los Angeles Sparks	33.6	17.5	15	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 8	Minnesota Lynx	Las Vegas Aces	35.3	15.5	15	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 9	Minnesota Lynx	Dallas Wings	32.2	14.5	43	OVER 28.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Washington Mystics
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · home
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#19 · Line drop

wnba · points

Lauren Betts

13 market games in this series

Market expectation

6.5prior baseline

5.5latest close

Median consensus close across 12 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

6 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Aug 9, 2026, Lauren Betts recorded 6 points against a 5.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 6.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.6 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Lauren Betts · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 28	Washington Mystics	Connecticut Sun	14.5	6.5	8	OVER 1.5	Included
Jul 31	Washington Mystics	Dallas Wings	17.1	6	3	UNDER 3	Included
Aug 5	Washington Mystics	Dallas Wings	18.9	6.5	6	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 7	Washington Mystics	Atlanta Dream	21.1	6.5	5	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 9	Washington Mystics	Phoenix Mercury	17.8	5.5	6	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Washington Mystics · away
Game date: Aug 9, 2026
Player prop: points

#20 · Line drop

wnba · points

Noemie Brochant

12 market games in this series

Market expectation

5.5prior baseline

4.5latest close

Median consensus close across 11 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

13 points · OVER by 8.5

Game summary

Against Washington Mystics on Aug 9, 2026, Noemie Brochant recorded 13 points against a 4.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 5.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Noemie Brochant · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 22	Phoenix Mercury	Los Angeles Sparks	22.9	5.5	2	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 3	Phoenix Mercury	Chicago Sky	18.7	4.5	2	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 5	Phoenix Mercury	Atlanta Dream	28.1	5.5	7	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 7	Phoenix Mercury	Connecticut Sun	22.1	5	6	OVER 1	Included
Aug 9	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	21	4.5	13	OVER 8.5	Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method