WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

Browse WNBA game archive

How to read it

Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
Latest close is the market's adjustment.
Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.

Updated Sep 24, 2026

2026

Coverage window

151

Players

297

Games

139,909

Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable · Early-exit games are excluded from normal-performance training · Some rows do not have verified tip-time coverage

Recent verified shifts · Sep 10–Sep 23 · WNBA · 2026 · Points

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Seattle Storm
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#01 · Line rise

wnba · points

Flau'jae Johnson

38 market games in this series

Market expectation

13.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 37 prior games

Line rose 4

Outcome vs closing line

21 points · OVER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 23, 2026, Flau'jae Johnson recorded 21 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 over. The market had raised the line 4 from the prior baseline of 13.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 5 over · 0 under

Avg finish: 6.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Flau'jae Johnson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Seattle Storm	Los Angeles Sparks	28.7	15.5	19	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 17	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	32.3	14.5	25	OVER 10.5	Included
Sep 19	Seattle Storm	Golden State Valkyries	33.7	13.5	17	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 20	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	32.1	15.5	29	OVER 13.5	Included
Sep 23	Seattle Storm	Dallas Wings	35	17.5	21	OVER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#02 · Line drop

wnba · points

DeWanna Bonner

35 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 34 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

9 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 23, 2026, DeWanna Bonner recorded 9 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 10.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 3.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

DeWanna Bonner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 16	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	32.7	11.5	23	OVER 11.5	Included
Aug 22	Phoenix Mercury	Atlanta Dream	30.1	11.5	12	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	11	7.5	2	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	29.5	6.5	17	OVER 10.5	Included
Sep 23	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	26.3	7.5	9	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Seattle Storm
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#03 · Line drop

wnba · points

Natisha Hiedeman

38 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

12.5latest close

Median consensus close across 37 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · UNDER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 23, 2026, Natisha Hiedeman recorded 10 points against a 12.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 5.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Natisha Hiedeman · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 14	Seattle Storm	Portland Fire	31.9	15.5	9	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 17	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	31.8	13.5	12	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 19	Seattle Storm	Golden State Valkyries	29.6	13.5	5	UNDER 8.5	Included
Sep 20	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	31.4	12.5	4	UNDER 8.5	Included
Sep 23	Seattle Storm	Dallas Wings	32.4	12.5	10	UNDER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#04 · Line drop

wnba · points

Naz Hillmon

36 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

6.5latest close

Median consensus close across 35 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

16 points · OVER by 9.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 23, 2026, Naz Hillmon recorded 16 points against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 9.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Naz Hillmon · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Atlanta Dream	Minnesota Lynx	30.3	7.5	7	UNDER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	22.4	8.5	9	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 19	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	19	7.5	2	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	17.2	7.5	8	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 23	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	32.9	6.5	16	OVER 9.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#05 · Line drop

wnba · points

Allisha Gray

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

18.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

24 points · OVER by 6.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 23, 2026, Allisha Gray recorded 24 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 18.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Allisha Gray · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Atlanta Dream	Minnesota Lynx	35	18.5	23	OVER 4.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	22.2	19.5	10	UNDER 9.5	Included
Sep 19	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	28.1	18.5	17	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	32.1	18.5	14	UNDER 4.5	Included
Sep 23	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	32.9	17.5	24	OVER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#06 · Line rise

wnba · points

Angel Reese

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

6 points · UNDER by 10.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 23, 2026, Angel Reese recorded 6 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 10.5 under. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 2.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Angel Reese · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Atlanta Dream	Minnesota Lynx	33.3	15.5	15	UNDER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	25	15.5	30	OVER 14.5	Included
Sep 19	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	28	17.5	23	OVER 5.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	33.7	16.5	18	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 23	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	16.8	16.5	6	UNDER 10.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Seattle Storm
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#07 · Line drop

wnba · points

Dominique Malonga

38 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline

15.5latest close

Median consensus close across 37 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

29 points · OVER by 13.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 23, 2026, Dominique Malonga recorded 29 points against a 15.5 closing line, finishing 13.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Dominique Malonga · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Seattle Storm	Los Angeles Sparks	34.2	19.5	17	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 17	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	22.4	17.5	10	UNDER 7.5	Included
Sep 19	Seattle Storm	Golden State Valkyries	24	16.5	8	UNDER 8.5	Included
Sep 20	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	24.4	14.5	25	OVER 10.5	Included
Sep 23	Seattle Storm	Dallas Wings	34.2	15.5	29	OVER 13.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Atlanta Dream · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#08 · Line rise

wnba · points

Jonquel Jones

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

15.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · UNDER by 5.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 23, 2026, Jonquel Jones recorded 10 points against a 15.5 closing line, finishing 5.5 under. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jonquel Jones · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 29	New York Liberty	Chicago Sky	19.2	14.5	11	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 18	New York Liberty	Minnesota Lynx	29.9	14.5	18	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 20	New York Liberty	Toronto Tempo	20.1	14.5	11	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 21	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	34.8	14	18	OVER 4	Included
Sep 23	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	19.5	15.5	10	UNDER 5.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#09 · Line drop

wnba · points

Jordin Canada

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

11.5prior baseline

10.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

12 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 23, 2026, Jordin Canada recorded 12 points against a 10.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 11.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jordin Canada · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Atlanta Dream	Minnesota Lynx	36	9.5	16	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	20.7	10.5	5	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 19	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	26.7	10.5	11	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	34.5	9.5	19	OVER 9.5	Included
Sep 23	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	26.4	10.5	12	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Seattle Storm · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#10 · Line rise

wnba · points

Paige Bueckers

41 market games in this series

Market expectation

19.5prior baseline

20.5latest close

Median consensus close across 40 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

25 points · OVER by 4.5

Game summary

Against Seattle Storm on Sep 23, 2026, Paige Bueckers recorded 25 points against a 20.5 closing line, finishing 4.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 19.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 2.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Paige Bueckers · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	25.4	21.5	15	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 17	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	25.6	20.5	19	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 19	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	31.5	18.5	26	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 21	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	33.2	19.5	30	OVER 10.5	Included
Sep 23	Dallas Wings	Seattle Storm	29.7	20.5	25	OVER 4.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Atlanta Dream · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#11 · Line rise

wnba · points

Pauline Astier

34 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 33 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

4 points · UNDER by 5.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 23, 2026, Pauline Astier recorded 4 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 5.5 under. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Pauline Astier · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 29	New York Liberty	Chicago Sky	25	7.5	8	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 18	New York Liberty	Minnesota Lynx	27.3	6.5	14	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 20	New York Liberty	Toronto Tempo	22	7.5	10	OVER 2.5	Included
Sep 21	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	29.5	7.5	15	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 23	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	15.6	9.5	4	UNDER 5.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#12 · Line drop

wnba · points

Rhyne Howard

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

17.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

8 points · UNDER by 8.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 23, 2026, Rhyne Howard recorded 8 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 17.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 4.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Rhyne Howard · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Atlanta Dream	Minnesota Lynx	35	17.5	16	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	28.3	17.5	10	UNDER 7.5	Included
Sep 19	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	23.7	17.5	14	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	37.7	17.5	16	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 23	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	34.1	16.5	8	UNDER 8.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Atlanta Dream · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#13 · Line drop

wnba · points

Sabrina Ionescu

34 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline

15.5latest close

Median consensus close across 33 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

7 points · UNDER by 8.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 23, 2026, Sabrina Ionescu recorded 7 points against a 15.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 6.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Sabrina Ionescu · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 29	New York Liberty	Chicago Sky	23.1	16.5	2	UNDER 14.5	Included
Sep 18	New York Liberty	Minnesota Lynx	29.8	15.5	17	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 20	New York Liberty	Toronto Tempo	22.2	16.5	6	UNDER 10.5	Included
Sep 21	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	28.8	14.5	15	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 23	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	23.4	15.5	7	UNDER 8.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Seattle Storm · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#14 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Arike Ogunbowale

41 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline

15.5latest close

Median consensus close across 40 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

23 points · OVER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Seattle Storm on Sep 23, 2026, Arike Ogunbowale recorded 23 points against a 15.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Arike Ogunbowale · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	23.3	16.5	18	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 17	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	27.3	17.5	11	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 19	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	36.7	15.5	22	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 21	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	30.7	16.5	7	UNDER 9.5	Included
Sep 23	Dallas Wings	Seattle Storm	34.8	15.5	23	OVER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Seattle Storm · away
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#15 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Jessica Shepard

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

13.5prior baseline

13.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

20 points · OVER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Seattle Storm on Sep 23, 2026, Jessica Shepard recorded 20 points against a 13.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 13.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jessica Shepard · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 30	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	25.4	15.5	17	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 17	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	27.8	15.5	13	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 19	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	26.9	14	10	UNDER 4	Included
Sep 21	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	36.2	13.5	17	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 23	Dallas Wings	Seattle Storm	32.6	13.5	20	OVER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Atlanta Dream · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#16 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Leonie Fiebich

20 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 19 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 8.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 23, 2026, Leonie Fiebich recorded 0 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 5.1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Leonie Fiebich · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 29	New York Liberty	Chicago Sky	29.5	10.5	11	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 18	New York Liberty	Minnesota Lynx	27.8	9.5	3	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 20	New York Liberty	Toronto Tempo	23.9	9.5	6	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 21	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	31.7	8.5	1	UNDER 7.5	Included
Sep 23	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	16.3	8.5	0	UNDER 8.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Atlanta Dream · home
Game date: Sep 23, 2026
Player prop: points

#17 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Marine Johannes

32 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 31 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 23, 2026, Marine Johannes recorded 0 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 3.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Marine Johannes · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 22	New York Liberty	Indiana Fever	13.2	7.5	6	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 27	New York Liberty	Golden State Valkyries	12.6	5.5	0	UNDER 5.5	Included
Aug 29	New York Liberty	Chicago Sky	3.5	5.5	0	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 20	New York Liberty	Toronto Tempo	18.5	6.5	9	OVER 2.5	Included
Sep 23	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	15.6	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Los Angeles Sparks · home
Game date: Sep 22, 2026
Player prop: points

#18 · Line rise

wnba · points

Jackie Young

41 market games in this series

Market expectation

17.5prior baseline

21.5latest close

Median consensus close across 40 prior games

Line rose 4

Outcome vs closing line

14 points · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Sep 22, 2026, Jackie Young recorded 14 points against a 21.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The market had raised the line 4 from the prior baseline of 17.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jackie Young · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 23	Las Vegas Aces	Toronto Tempo	34	19.5	21	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 28	Las Vegas Aces	Toronto Tempo	26.1	20.5	23	OVER 2.5	Included
Sep 17	Las Vegas Aces	Seattle Storm	29	20.5	35	OVER 14.5	Included
Sep 20	Las Vegas Aces	Seattle Storm	31.2	20.5	23	OVER 2.5	Included
Sep 22	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	33.9	21.5	14	UNDER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Minnesota Lynx · home
Game date: Sep 22, 2026
Player prop: points

#19 · Line drop

wnba · points

Sophie Cunningham

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

4.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line fell 4

Outcome vs closing line

11 points · OVER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Minnesota Lynx on Sep 22, 2026, Sophie Cunningham recorded 11 points against a 4.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 over. The market had lowered the line 4 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 2.2 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Sophie Cunningham · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 23	Indiana Fever	Chicago Sky	11.2	7.5	3	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 28	Indiana Fever	Connecticut Sun	14.1	7.5	1	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Toronto Tempo	19.8	6.5	5	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 20	Indiana Fever	Washington Mystics	7.2	5	0	UNDER 5	Included
Sep 22	Indiana Fever	Minnesota Lynx	29.2	4.5	11	OVER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Toronto Tempo
Opponent: Chicago Sky · away
Game date: Sep 22, 2026
Player prop: points

#20 · Line rise

wnba · points

Laura Juskaite

29 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.3prior baseline

13.5latest close

Median consensus close across 28 prior games

Line rose 3.3

Outcome vs closing line

20 points · OVER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Chicago Sky on Sep 22, 2026, Laura Juskaite recorded 20 points against a 13.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 over. The market had raised the line 3.3 from the prior baseline of 10.3.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 6.4 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Laura Juskaite · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 28	Toronto Tempo	Las Vegas Aces	27.9	12.5	14	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 29	Toronto Tempo	Phoenix Mercury	27.2	12.5	10	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 18	Toronto Tempo	Indiana Fever	30.1	12	22	OVER 10	Included
Sep 20	Toronto Tempo	New York Liberty	30.4	11.5	28	OVER 16.5	Included
Sep 22	Toronto Tempo	Chicago Sky	28.2	13.5	20	OVER 6.5	Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method