DIME
Get the picksJoin
points estimatesat home

Aari McDonald — last 10

Averaged 10.0 points, 1.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists in 10 games over her last 10.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
LAST 10
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
10.0
9.2
+0.8
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.8
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
1.8
2.1
−0.3
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
3.8
3.2
+0.6
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
1.5
1.1
+0.4
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.8
1.1
−0.3
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.1
0.1
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
2.2
1.9
+0.3
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
15.6
14.5
+1.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 6.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
11.8
11.3
+0.5
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 5.2
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
13.8
12.4
+1.4
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 5.8
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
5.6
5.3
+0.3
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.8
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.9
1.2
−0.3
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
3.1
3.1
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
7.3
7.7
−0.4
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.7
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
3.8
3.6
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
2.3
1.8
+0.5
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.0
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
2.7
2.2
+0.5
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.0
NOT MEASURABLE
offensive rebounds
0.4
0.4
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
1.4
1.7
−0.3
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
2.0
2.0
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
usage 23.6 vs 20.0true shooting 52.4 vs 51.5minutes 20.9 vs 23.5

Baseline: earlier games, 103 games.

02

The 10 games

points · baseline 9.2 · hover a bar
2025-07-30— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Defensive context is only computed for a vs-team split, where there is one opponent to profile.

05

Game log

all 10 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 9.2
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
NYL
AWAY
14.3MIN
8POINTS
0 · 3 · 3-5
BELOW
FG
3-5
3PT
2-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
80.0
USG%
16.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
11
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
NYL
HOME
2.0MIN
0POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
23.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
2
2026-09-24
IND
HOME
19.6MIN
8POINTS
0 · 1 · 2-8
BELOW
FG
2-8
3PT
2-6
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
45.0
USG%
20.0
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-9
PRA
9
2026-09-22
IND
AWAY
21.5MIN
10POINTS
2 · 5 · 2-9
ABOVE
FG
2-9
3PT
1-3
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
43.0
USG%
26.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
17
2026-09-20
CON
AWAY
4.9MIN
4POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
69.4
USG%
42.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-2
PRA
4
2025-08-07
PHO
AWAY
23.8MIN
4POINTS
2 · 3 · 2-5
BELOW
FG
2-5
3PT
0-3
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
34.0
USG%
14.3
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-15
PRA
9
2025-08-05
LAS
AWAY
29.9MIN
15POINTS
5 · 6 · 6-13
ABOVE
FG
6-13
3PT
3-7
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
57.7
USG%
21.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+1
PRA
26
2025-08-03
SEA
AWAY
32.9MIN
9POINTS
4 · 9 · 4-10
BELOW
FG
4-10
3PT
0-5
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
43.1
USG%
19.8
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
3
+/−
+9
PRA
22
2025-08-01
DAL
AWAY
29.1MIN
15POINTS
4 · 6 · 4-10
ABOVE
FG
4-10
3PT
4-6
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
63.8
USG%
25.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
6
PF
2
+/−
+13
PRA
25
2025-07-30
PHO
HOME
31.4MIN
27POINTS
0 · 4 · 7-11
ABOVE
FG
7-11
3PT
3-4
FT
10-10
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
87.7
USG%
26.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
+3
PRA
31
every game on file — nothing hidden