INTERNAL FORMULA RESEARCH · generated and settled by our systems
INTERNAL FORMULA RESEARCH · generated and settled by our systems
| Formula | W–L | Priced | ROI | Units | CLV | vs break-even | Last pick | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| system_lineedges | 1439–1379 | 2818 | -20.1%-23.0% to -17.1% | -565.8u | +0.55¢ | losing | Jun 13 | Tonight → |
| disciplined_board | 744–803 | 1547 | -17.5%-21.9% to -13.2% | -270.9u | +0.50¢ | losing | Jun 13 | Tonight → |
| pinn_devig · small sample | 38–25 | 63 | +16.8%-7.3% to +40.8% | +10.6u | +8.88¢ | not yet separable | Jun 13 | Tonight → |
| both_agree · small sample | 1–2 | 3 | -42.3%-42.3% to -42.3% | -1.3u | +5.13¢ | losing | Jun 5 | Tonight → |
| user_manual · small sample | — | — | — | — | — | — | Jun 7 | Tonight → |
| disciplined CORE · small sample | 1–0 | 1 | +73.0%+73.0% to +73.0% | +0.7u | -0.54¢ | beats break-even | Jun 5 | Tonight → |
Full-season records, flat 1 unit per pick. ROI is over priced bets only; CLV is the average closing-line value on close-captured picks — the leading indicator (an ROI far ahead of its CLV is running hot). Ranked by CLV first — beating the closing line is the more reliable signal at these sample sizes — with any formula whose ROI range sits entirely below zero moved to the bottom regardless of its CLV. Every number here is over PRICED bets only: picks posted without odds earn nothing whether they win or lose, so counting them inflates a record without ever moving the money. The range beside each ROI is a 95% interval; where it spans zero, the formula has not yet shown an edge distinguishable from break-even, however good the headline looks. With this many formulas compared, expect a couple to clear the bar by chance alone — which is why we do not claim one formula beats another.† marks a number inflated by unpriced signal rows: those picks earn nothing whether they win or lose, so they pad the win rate, and because an unpriced row carries a bet price of zero its recorded CLV is enormous — on the worst offenders most of the published CLV comes from a handful of such rows. Where you see †, read the ROI and the priced count, not the win rate or the CLV. CORE/LIST mark what the house card serves tonight. Records are shown for internal research comparison — including the losing rows.