INTERNAL FORMULA RESEARCH · generated and settled by our systems
INTERNAL FORMULA RESEARCH · generated and settled by our systems
| Formula | W–L | Priced | ROI | Units | CLV | vs break-even | Last pick | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pinn_devig | 792–827 | 1619 | -2.7%-7.6% to +2.2% | -44.1u | +8.47¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| pinn_devig_open | 365–311 | 676 | +6.4%-1.1% to +14.0% | +43.6u | +6.71¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| consensus_devig | 2658–2816 | 5474 | -2.5%-5.5% to +0.4% | -139.1u | +5.94¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| both_agree LIST | 74–56 | 130 | +5.1%-10.7% to +20.9% | +6.6u | +5.13¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| priced_lineedges_floored | 756–636 | 1392 | +2.8%-2.2% to +7.8% | +38.8u | +4.05¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| role_gated_board | 885–651 | 1536 | +0.8%-3.6% to +5.2% | +12.3u | +2.09¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| both_agree_fade | 53–70 | 123 | -16.1%-33.4% to +1.2% | -19.8u | — | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| disciplined CORE | 73–52 | 125 | +8.1%-8.1% to +24.3% | +10.1u | -0.54¢ | not yet separable | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| priced_lineedges | 10469–3101 | 13570 | -5.3%-6.3% to -4.4% | -722.0u | +2.04¢ | losing | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| role_gated_lineedges | 9587–2711 | 12298 | -5.0%-5.9% to -4.0% | -612.1u | +1.30¢ | losing | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| disciplined_board | 1768–1566 | 3334 | -7.8%-10.8% to -4.8% | -260.7u | +0.60¢ | losing | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| system_lineedges | 9719–3845 | 13564 | -8.1%-9.1% to -7.0% | -1092.5u | +0.59¢ | losing | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| pinn_devig_open_fade | 311–365 | 676 | -15.1%-22.2% to -8.1% | -102.4u | -7.88¢ | losing | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| both_agree_open · small sample | 36–10 | 46 | +45.6%+22.5% to +68.6% | +21.0u | +5.96¢ | beats break-even | Nov 5 | Tonight → |
| user_manual · small sample | — | — | — | — | — | — | Jun 7 | Tonight → |
Full-season records, flat 1 unit per pick. ROI is over priced bets only; CLV is the average closing-line value on close-captured picks — the leading indicator (an ROI far ahead of its CLV is running hot). Ranked by CLV first — beating the closing line is the more reliable signal at these sample sizes — with any formula whose ROI range sits entirely below zero moved to the bottom regardless of its CLV. Every number here is over PRICED bets only: picks posted without odds earn nothing whether they win or lose, so counting them inflates a record without ever moving the money. The range beside each ROI is a 95% interval; where it spans zero, the formula has not yet shown an edge distinguishable from break-even, however good the headline looks. With this many formulas compared, expect a couple to clear the bar by chance alone — which is why we do not claim one formula beats another.† marks a number inflated by unpriced signal rows: those picks earn nothing whether they win or lose, so they pad the win rate, and because an unpriced row carries a bet price of zero its recorded CLV is enormous — on the worst offenders most of the published CLV comes from a handful of such rows. Where you see †, read the ROI and the priced count, not the win rate or the CLV. CORE/LIST mark what the house card serves tonight. Records are shown for internal research comparison — including the losing rows.