NBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

How to read it

Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
Latest close is the market's adjustment.
Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.

Updated Aug 8, 2026

2025-26

Coverage window

545

Players

1,310

Games

283,740

Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable · Some rows do not have verified tip-time coverage

Recent verified shifts · May 31–Jun 13 · NBA · 2025-26 · Points

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#01 · Line drop

nba · points

Jordan Clarkson

63 market games in this series

Market expectation

9prior baseline

2.5latest close

Median consensus close across 62 prior games

Line fell 6.5

Outcome vs closing line

2 points · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Jordan Clarkson recorded 2 points against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The market had lowered the line 6.5 from the prior baseline of 9.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 1.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jordan Clarkson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
May 8	—	—	—	6.5	4	UNDER 2.5	Included
May 19	—	—	—	4.5	3	UNDER 1.5	Included
May 21	—	—	—	5.5	4	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	2.5	2	UNDER 0.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	2.5	2	UNDER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#02 · Line drop

nba · points

Miles McBride

57 market games in this series

Market expectation

9prior baseline

2.5latest close

Median consensus close across 56 prior games

Line fell 6.5

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 2.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Miles McBride recorded 0 points against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 under. The market had lowered the line 6.5 from the prior baseline of 9.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 2.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Miles McBride · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	5.5	6	OVER 0.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	5.5	5	UNDER 0.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	5.5	0	UNDER 5.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	4.5	0	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	2.5	0	UNDER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#03 · Line drop

nba · points

Keldon Johnson

90 market games in this series

Market expectation

11.5prior baseline

6.5latest close

Median consensus close across 89 prior games

Line fell 5

Outcome vs closing line

7 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Keldon Johnson recorded 7 points against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had lowered the line 5 from the prior baseline of 11.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Keldon Johnson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	8.5	3	UNDER 5.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	6.5	3	UNDER 3.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	6.5	7	OVER 0.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	6.5	2	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	6.5	7	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#04 · Line drop

nba · points

Luke Kornet

66 market games in this series

Market expectation

6.5prior baseline

1.5latest close

Median consensus close across 65 prior games

Line fell 5

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Luke Kornet recorded 0 points against a 1.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 5 from the prior baseline of 6.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 1.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Luke Kornet · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	2.5	0	UNDER 2.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	2.5	1	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	1.5	2	OVER 0.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	1.5	0	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	1.5	0	UNDER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#05 · Line drop

nba · points

Karl-Anthony Towns

88 market games in this series

Market expectation

20.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 87 prior games

Line fell 4

Outcome vs closing line

2 points · UNDER by 14.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Karl-Anthony Towns recorded 2 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 14.5 under. The market had lowered the line 4 from the prior baseline of 20.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 3.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Karl-Anthony Towns · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	16.5	18	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	16.5	21	OVER 4.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	17.5	11	UNDER 6.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	17.5	13	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	16.5	2	UNDER 14.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#06 · Line rise

nba · points

Victor Wembanyama

77 market games in this series

Market expectation

25prior baseline

28.5latest close

Median consensus close across 76 prior games

Line rose 3.5

Outcome vs closing line

19 points · UNDER by 9.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Victor Wembanyama recorded 19 points against a 28.5 closing line, finishing 9.5 under. The market had raised the line 3.5 from the prior baseline of 25.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Victor Wembanyama · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	27.5	26	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	27.5	29	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	27.5	32	OVER 4.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	26.5	24	UNDER 2.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	28.5	19	UNDER 9.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#07 · Line rise

nba · points

Dylan Harper

79 market games in this series

Market expectation

11.5prior baseline

14.5latest close

Median consensus close across 78 prior games

Line rose 3

Outcome vs closing line

25 points · OVER by 10.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Dylan Harper recorded 25 points against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 10.5 over. The market had raised the line 3 from the prior baseline of 11.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 5.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Dylan Harper · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	10.5	16	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	11.5	15	OVER 3.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	13.5	13	UNDER 0.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	13.5	21	OVER 7.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	14.5	25	OVER 10.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#08 · Line drop

nba · points

Jose Alvarado

57 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

4.5latest close

Median consensus close across 56 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 4.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Jose Alvarado recorded 0 points against a 4.5 closing line, finishing 4.5 under. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jose Alvarado · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	2.5	7	OVER 4.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	2.5	2	UNDER 0.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	2.5	4	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	2.5	8	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	4.5	0	UNDER 4.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#09 · Line drop

nba · points

Mikal Bridges

92 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

11.5latest close

Median consensus close across 91 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

14 points · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Mikal Bridges recorded 14 points against a 11.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Mikal Bridges · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	13.5	9	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	11.5	20	OVER 8.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	13.5	2	UNDER 11.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	11.5	7	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	11.5	14	OVER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#10 · Line drop

nba · points

De'Aaron Fox

81 market games in this series

Market expectation

17.5prior baseline

15.5latest close

Median consensus close across 80 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

7 points · UNDER by 8.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, De'Aaron Fox recorded 7 points against a 15.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 17.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

De'Aaron Fox · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	15.5	7	UNDER 8.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	15.5	20	OVER 4.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	14.5	12	UNDER 2.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	14.5	18	OVER 3.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	15.5	7	UNDER 8.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#11 · Line rise

nba · points

Jalen Brunson

87 market games in this series

Market expectation

26.5prior baseline

28.5latest close

Median consensus close across 86 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

45 points · OVER by 16.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Jalen Brunson recorded 45 points against a 28.5 closing line, finishing 16.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 26.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 5.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jalen Brunson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	25.5	30	OVER 4.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	25.5	20	UNDER 5.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	26.5	32	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	27.5	36	OVER 8.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	28.5	45	OVER 16.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#12 · Line drop

nba · points

Josh Hart

79 market games in this series

Market expectation

11.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 78 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

13 points · OVER by 3.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Josh Hart recorded 13 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 11.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Josh Hart · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	11.5	3	UNDER 8.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	11.5	0	UNDER 11.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	9.5	16	OVER 6.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	10.5	6	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	9.5	13	OVER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#13 · Line drop

nba · points

Landry Shamet

51 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

6.5latest close

Median consensus close across 50 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

5 points · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Landry Shamet recorded 5 points against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Landry Shamet · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	5.5	13	OVER 7.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	7.5	13	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	8.5	3	UNDER 5.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	6.5	5	UNDER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#14 · Line drop

nba · points

Mitchell Robinson

73 market games in this series

Market expectation

4.5prior baseline

3.5latest close

Median consensus close across 72 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

2 points · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Mitchell Robinson recorded 2 points against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 4.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Mitchell Robinson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	3.5	2	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	3.5	7	OVER 3.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	3.5	5	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	3.5	2	UNDER 1.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	3.5	2	UNDER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#15 · Line rise

nba · points

OG Anunoby

80 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 79 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

11 points · UNDER by 6.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, OG Anunoby recorded 11 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 under. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 5.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

OG Anunoby · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	15.5	17	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	14.5	17	OVER 2.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	15.5	28	OVER 12.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	16.5	33	OVER 16.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	17.5	11	UNDER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#16 · Line unchanged

nba · points

Devin Vassell

80 market games in this series

Market expectation

13.5prior baseline

13.5latest close

Median consensus close across 79 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

12 points · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Devin Vassell recorded 12 points against a 13.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 13.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Devin Vassell · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	13.5	9	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	12.5	14	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	13.5	11	UNDER 2.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	12.5	18	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	13.5	12	UNDER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#17 · Line unchanged

nba · points

Julian Champagnie

91 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 90 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

14 points · OVER by 4.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Julian Champagnie recorded 14 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 4.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Julian Champagnie · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	10.5	16	OVER 5.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	10.5	8	UNDER 2.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	10.5	12	OVER 1.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	9.5	5	UNDER 4.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	9.5	14	OVER 4.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 13, 2026
Player prop: points

#18 · Line unchanged

nba · points

Stephon Castle

80 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 79 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

6 points · UNDER by 10.5

Game summary

On Jun 13, 2026, Stephon Castle recorded 6 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 10.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.7 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Stephon Castle · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 3	—	—	—	16.5	17	OVER 0.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	16.5	14	UNDER 2.5	Included
Jun 8	—	—	—	15.5	23	OVER 7.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	16.5	13	UNDER 3.5	Included
Jun 13	—	—	—	16.5	6	UNDER 10.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 10, 2026
Player prop: points

#19 · Line drop

nba · points

Carter Bryant

11 market games in this series

Market expectation

3.5prior baseline

0.5latest close

Median consensus close across 10 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

5 points · OVER by 4.5

Game summary

On Jun 10, 2026, Carter Bryant recorded 5 points against a 0.5 closing line, finishing 4.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 3.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Carter Bryant · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
May 18	—	—	—	3.5	3	UNDER 0.5	Included
May 20	—	—	—	3.5	0	UNDER 3.5	Included
May 22	—	—	—	2.5	3	OVER 0.5	Included
Jun 3	—	—	—	1.5	1	UNDER 0.5	Included
Jun 10	—	—	—	0.5	5	OVER 4.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Listed team: Not reported
Opponent: Not reported
Game date: Jun 5, 2026
Player prop: points

#20 · Line drop

nba · points

Harrison Barnes

69 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

2latest close

Median consensus close across 68 prior games

Line fell 7.5

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 2

Game summary

On Jun 5, 2026, Harrison Barnes recorded 0 points against a 2 closing line, finishing 2 under. The market had lowered the line 7.5 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 3.2 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Harrison Barnes · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Apr 19	—	—	—	4.5	2	UNDER 2.5	Included
Apr 24	—	—	—	6.5	0	UNDER 6.5	Included
May 4	—	—	—	3.5	2	UNDER 1.5	Included
May 18	—	—	—	3.5	0	UNDER 3.5	Included
Jun 5	—	—	—	2	0	UNDER 2	Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method