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Alysha Clark over 3.5 points

She has cleared 3.5 in 128 of 199 games — 64.3%. That rate needs -181 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.

—

Tonight

FRI · OCT 2
DAL @ GSV9:00 PM ETbench · 26 projected minutes
OutAlanna SmithLeft Leg
ProbableAwak KuierRight Wrist
GAMES SHE PLAYED 23+ MIN · 20262 games · 28.1 min · 12.5 points

Tonight's projection is 26 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT SMITH9 games · 13.3 min · 4.9 points · 5/9 over 3.5with her (23 games): 11.9 min · 2.6 points · 26%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

199 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 71OVER · 128  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 3.5 · hover a bar
2026-05-14— 5-game mean2026-09-30 · newest
03

Recent form

60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-08-17 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-20 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-08-23 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-25 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-30 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-17 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-09-19 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-21 · 4 points · OVER
4
2026-09-27 · 4 points · OVER
4
2026-09-30 · 21 points · OVER
21

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.

05

Game log

25 of 199 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 3.5
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2
GSV
HOME
30.9MIN
21POINTS
3 · 2 · 6-7
OVER
FG
6-7
3PT
3-4
FT
6-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
108.9
USG%
15.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+15
PRA
26
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
GSV
AWAY
19.2MIN
4POINTS
4 · 1 · 2-3
OVER
FG
2-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
66.7
USG%
10.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
9
2026-09-21
PHO
AWAY
3.4MIN
4POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
OVER
FG
1-1
3PT
1-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
106.4
USG%
23.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+4
PRA
4
2026-09-19
PHO
HOME
19.2MIN
0POINTS
4 · 1 · 0-5
UNDER
FG
0-5
3PT
0-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.5
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-7
PRA
5
2026-09-17
LAS
HOME
10.3MIN
9POINTS
2 · 1 · 3-3
OVER
FG
3-3
3PT
1-1
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
104.2
USG%
17.0
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+16
PRA
12
2026-08-30
CON
HOME
18.9MIN
8POINTS
5 · 1 · 3-3
OVER
FG
3-3
3PT
2-2
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
103.1
USG%
9.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+18
PRA
14
2026-08-25
POR
HOME
8.7MIN
3POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
15.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-7
PRA
5
2026-08-23
SEA
HOME
22.6MIN
0POINTS
3 · 2 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
5
2026-08-20
IND
HOME
15.5MIN
5POINTS
4 · 2 · 1-2
OVER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
66.5
USG%
10.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+1
PRA
11
2026-08-17
GSV
AWAY
20.8MIN
3POINTS
4 · 2 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
75.0
USG%
11.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-7
PRA
9
2026-08-14
IND
AWAY
25.3MIN
4POINTS
2 · 1 · 1-3
OVER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
51.5
USG%
6.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
-15
PRA
7
2026-08-12
TOR
HOME
16.4MIN
6POINTS
0 · 0 · 2-3
OVER
FG
2-3
3PT
1-1
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
87.2
USG%
9.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-7
PRA
6
2026-08-02
CON
HOME
16.9MIN
1POINTS
3 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
26.6
USG%
7.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+8
PRA
5
2026-07-31
WAS
AWAY
7.0MIN
0POINTS
4 · 0 · 0-0
UNDER
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
4
2026-07-20
NYL
HOME
3.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
12.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-07-19
LAS
HOME
7.3MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
17.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+3
PRA
3
2026-07-12
CHI
HOME
5.6MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-1
PRA
2
2026-07-10
TOR
AWAY
17.5MIN
10POINTS
0 · 2 · 4-4
OVER
FG
4-4
3PT
2-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
125.0
USG%
10.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+16
PRA
12
2026-07-05
TOR
AWAY
5.6MIN
3POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
75.0
USG%
23.3
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-9
PRA
4
2026-06-25
LVA
AWAY
7.5MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
1
2026-06-15
LVA
HOME
4.7MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
19.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+6
PRA
1
2026-06-13
POR
AWAY
15.9MIN
1POINTS
1 · 2 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
26.6
USG%
7.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-13
PRA
4
2026-06-11
PHO
HOME
5.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
1
2026-06-09
MIN
AWAY
13.7MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-5
UNDER
FG
0-5
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
18.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
1
2026-06-05
LAS
AWAY
2.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
UNDER
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-2
PRA
0
showing 25 of 199 — every rate above is computed over all 199