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Alysha Clark over 4.5 points

She has cleared 4.5 in 111 of 199 games — 55.8%. That rate needs -127 to break even and books have been paying -108.

—

Tonight

FRI · OCT 2
DAL @ GSV9:00 PM ETbench · 26 projected minutes
OutAlanna SmithLeft Leg
ProbableAwak KuierRight Wrist
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 7 of 32 games (22%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +357 · best posted +102 · under -357 · best posted -115

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 23+ MIN · 20262 games · 28.1 min · 12.5 points

Tonight's projection is 26 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT SMITH9 games · 13.3 min · 4.9 points · 3/9 over 4.5with her (23 games): 11.9 min · 2.6 points · 22%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

199 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 88OVER · 111  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 4.5 · hover a bar
2026-05-14— 5-game mean2026-09-30 · newest
03

Recent form

40.0%4/10 · last 10
2026-08-17 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-20 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-08-23 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-25 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-30 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-17 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-09-19 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-21 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-27 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-30 · 21 points · OVER
21

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 2 postings4.5-108
best offered4.5-108
worst offered4.5-108
our break-even4.5-127

Median -108 across 2 postings over 1 games. That price clears what her rate needs.

05

Game log

25 of 199 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2
GSV
HOME
30.9MIN
21POINTS
3 · 2 · 6-7
OVER
FG
6-7
3PT
3-4
FT
6-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
108.9
USG%
15.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+15
PRA
26
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
GSV
AWAY
19.2MIN
4POINTS
4 · 1 · 2-3
UNDER
FG
2-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
66.7
USG%
10.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
9
2026-09-21
PHO
AWAY
3.4MIN
4POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
UNDER
FG
1-1
3PT
1-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
106.4
USG%
23.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+4
PRA
4
2026-09-19
PHO
HOME
19.2MIN
0POINTS
4 · 1 · 0-5
UNDER
FG
0-5
3PT
0-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.5
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-7
PRA
5
2026-09-17
LAS
HOME
10.3MIN
9POINTS
2 · 1 · 3-3
OVER
FG
3-3
3PT
1-1
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
104.2
USG%
17.0
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+16
PRA
12
2026-08-30
CON
HOME
18.9MIN
8POINTS
5 · 1 · 3-3
OVER
FG
3-3
3PT
2-2
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
103.1
USG%
9.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+18
PRA
14
2026-08-25
POR
HOME
8.7MIN
3POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
15.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-7
PRA
5
2026-08-23
SEA
HOME
22.6MIN
0POINTS
3 · 2 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
5
2026-08-20
IND
HOME
15.5MIN
5POINTS
4 · 2 · 1-2
OVER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
66.5
USG%
10.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+1
PRA
11
2026-08-17
GSV
AWAY
20.8MIN
3POINTS
4 · 2 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
75.0
USG%
11.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-7
PRA
9
2026-08-14
IND
AWAY
25.3MIN
4POINTS
2 · 1 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
51.5
USG%
6.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
-15
PRA
7
2026-08-12
TOR
HOME
16.4MIN
6POINTS
0 · 0 · 2-3
OVER
FG
2-3
3PT
1-1
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
87.2
USG%
9.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-7
PRA
6
2026-08-02
CON
HOME
16.9MIN
1POINTS
3 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
26.6
USG%
7.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+8
PRA
5
2026-07-31
WAS
AWAY
7.0MIN
0POINTS
4 · 0 · 0-0
UNDER
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
4
2026-07-20
NYL
HOME
3.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
12.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-07-19
LAS
HOME
7.3MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
17.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+3
PRA
3
2026-07-12
CHI
HOME
5.6MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-1
PRA
2
2026-07-10
TOR
AWAY
17.5MIN
10POINTS
0 · 2 · 4-4
OVER
FG
4-4
3PT
2-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
125.0
USG%
10.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+16
PRA
12
2026-07-05
TOR
AWAY
5.6MIN
3POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
75.0
USG%
23.3
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-9
PRA
4
2026-06-25
LVA
AWAY
7.5MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
1
2026-06-15
LVA
HOME
4.7MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
19.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+6
PRA
1
2026-06-13
POR
AWAY
15.9MIN
1POINTS
1 · 2 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
26.6
USG%
7.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-13
PRA
4
2026-06-11
PHO
HOME
5.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
1
2026-06-09
MIN
AWAY
13.7MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-5
UNDER
FG
0-5
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
18.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
1
2026-06-05
LAS
AWAY
2.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
UNDER
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-2
PRA
0
showing 25 of 199 — every rate above is computed over all 199