Alyssa Thomas over 12.5 points
She has cleared 12.5 in 138 of 234 games — 59.0%. That rate needs -144 to break even and books have been paying -120.
01
Distribution
234 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 1 game · 0.4% · under1
2.5–5 points · 8 games · 3.4% · under8
5–7.5 points · 26 games · 11.1% · under26
7.5–10 points · 16 games · 6.8% · under16
10–12.5 points · 45 games · 19.2% · under45
12.5–15 points · 29 games · 12.4% · over29
15–17.5 points · 47 games · 20.1% · over47
17.5–20 points · 25 games · 10.7% · over25
20–22.5 points · 18 games · 7.7% · over18
22.5–25 points · 10 games · 4.3% · over10
25–27.5 points · 6 games · 2.6% · over6
27.5–30 points · 2 games · 0.9% · over2
30–32.5 points · 1 game · 0.4% · over1
12.5
UNDER · 96OVER · 138 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 12.5 · hover a bar2026-06-11 · DAL · 6 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · LAS · 10 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · LVA · 10 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · SEA · 8 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · IND · 19 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · IND · 24 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · SEA · 9 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · CHI · 11 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · IND · 22 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · LVA · 7 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-13 · MIN · 19 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · CON · 17 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · CON · 7 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · LAS · 19 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · GSV · 25 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · NYL · 17 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · CHI · 19 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · ATL · 17 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · CON · 10 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · WAS · 10 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · LAS · 16 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · POR · 17 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · ATL · 11 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · WAS · 16 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · WAS · 4 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · TOR · 4 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · POR · 18 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · DAL · 19 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · DAL · 15 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · LVA · 6 points · −6.5 vs line
12.5
2026-06-11— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-08-11 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-08-16 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-22 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-25 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-08-27 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-29 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-17 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-09-19 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-09-21 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-09-24 · 6 points · UNDER
6
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 27 postings12.5-120
best offered12.5-105
worst offered12.5-125
our break-even12.5-144
Median -120 across 27 postings over 3 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 234 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 12.5
2026-09-24LVAHOME26.5MIN6POINTS7 · 9 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 17.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 22
2026-09-21DALHOME32.1MIN15POINTS11 · 12 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 23.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 38
2026-09-19DALAWAY30.4MIN19POINTS10 · 11 · 8-11OVER
- FG
- 8-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 72.0
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 40
2026-09-17PORAWAY30.6MIN18POINTS8 · 6 · 6-8OVER
- FG
- 6-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-10
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 72.6
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 32
2026-08-29TORHOME21.9MIN4POINTS6 · 12 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 14.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +38
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-27WASHOME31.5MIN4POINTS10 · 8 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 34.0
- USG%
- 11.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-25WASHOME31.5MIN16POINTS6 · 10 · 8-13OVER
- FG
- 8-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 32
2026-08-22ATLHOME33.1MIN11POINTS16 · 10 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 4/12
- TS%
- 45.1
- USG%
- 19.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 37
2026-08-16PORHOME33.9MIN17POINTS11 · 9 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/9
- TS%
- 71.5
- USG%
- 22.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 37
2026-08-11LASAWAY33.1MIN16POINTS7 · 9 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 72.2
- USG%
- 20.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 32
2026-08-09WASAWAY30.9MIN10POINTS10 · 6 · 5-15UNDER
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 26.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-07CONAWAY35.3MIN10POINTS8 · 5 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-10
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 37.3
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-05ATLAWAY37.6MIN17POINTS5 · 7 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-03CHIAWAY37.6MIN19POINTS15 · 12 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 9-9
- OREB/DREB
- 2/13
- TS%
- 73.3
- USG%
- 21.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 46
2026-08-01NYLHOME35.8MIN17POINTS6 · 7 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 23.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-29GSVHOME38.1MIN25POINTS9 · 8 · 10-14OVER
- FG
- 10-14
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-8
- OREB/DREB
- 3/6
- TS%
- 71.3
- USG%
- 27.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 42
2026-07-22LASAWAY35.6MIN19POINTS11 · 15 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 9-13
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 64.5
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 45
2026-07-19CONHOME34.2MIN7POINTS6 · 11 · 2-9UNDER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 30.1
- USG%
- 17.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-17CONHOME35.7MIN17POINTS8 · 6 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 21.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-13MINAWAY36.6MIN19POINTS8 · 12 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 60.3
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 39
2026-07-11LVAAWAY28.5MIN7POINTS6 · 1 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 39.4
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -36
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-09INDHOME32.9MIN22POINTS6 · 7 · 10-18OVER
- FG
- 10-18
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 58.3
- USG%
- 27.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 35
2026-07-07CHIHOME31.0MIN11POINTS7 · 5 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 54.6
- USG%
- 23.0
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-02SEAHOME33.3MIN9POINTS13 · 9 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 6/7
- TS%
- 43.1
- USG%
- 16.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 31
2026-06-24INDAWAY37.6MIN24POINTS4 · 8 · 12-17OVER
- FG
- 12-17
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 68.8
- USG%
- 27.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 36
showing 25 of 234 — every rate above is computed over all 234