Angel Reese over 16.5 points
She has cleared 16.5 in 48 of 117 games — 41.0%. That rate needs +143 to break even and books have been paying +109.
01
Distribution
117 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 1 game · 0.9% · under1
2.5–5 points · 1 game · 0.9% · under1
5–7.5 points · 6 games · 5.1% · under6
7.5–10 points · 7 games · 6.0% · under7
10–12.5 points · 28 games · 23.9% · under28
12.5–15 points · 14 games · 12.0% · under14
15–17.5 points · 22 games · 18.8% · under22
17.5–20 points · 11 games · 9.4% · over11
20–22.5 points · 14 games · 12.0% · over14
22.5–25 points · 7 games · 6.0% · over7
25–27.5 points · 3 games · 2.6% · over3
30–32.5 points · 3 games · 2.6% · over3
16.5
UNDER · 69OVER · 48 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 16.5 · hover a bar2026-07-17 · TOR · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · CHI · 8 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · DAL · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · SEA · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · LVA · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · PHO · 14 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · WAS · 7 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · TOR · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · CON · 8 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · IND · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · LVA · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · LAS · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · PHO · 31 points · +14.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · LAS · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · POR · 16 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · MIN · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · CON · 30 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · CHI · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · NYL · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · NYL · 6 points · −10.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · WAS · 13 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-30 · WAS · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-10-04 · NYL · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-10-07 · NYL · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-10-09 · NYL · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-10-17 · GSV · 14 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-10-19 · GSV · 30 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-10-21 · GSV · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-10-24 · GSV · 8 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-10-26 · GSV · 7 points · −9.5 vs line
16.5
2026-07-17— 5-game mean2026-10-26 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-09-27 · 13 points · UNDER
13
2026-09-30 · 15 points · UNDER
15
2026-10-04 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-10-07 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-10-09 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-10-17 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-10-19 · 30 points · OVER
30
2026-10-21 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-10-24 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-10-26 · 7 points · UNDER
7
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 43 postings16.5+109
best offered16.5+125
worst offered16.5-116
our break-even16.5+143
Median +109 across 43 postings over 14 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 117 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 16.5
2026-10-26PLAYOFF R3 G5GSVAWAY32.7MIN7POINTS15 · 5 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 5/10
- TS%
- 35.9
- USG%
- 18.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 27
2026-10-24PLAYOFF R3 G4GSVHOME34.1MIN8POINTS9 · 3 · 2-12UNDER
- FG
- 2-12
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/6
- TS%
- 27.3
- USG%
- 28.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 20
2026-10-21PLAYOFF R3 G3GSVHOME34.4MIN21POINTS12 · 3 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/10
- TS%
- 73.9
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 36
2026-10-19PLAYOFF R3 G2GSVAWAY33.8MIN30POINTS16 · 3 · 10-16OVER
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 4/12
- TS%
- 72.0
- USG%
- 29.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 49
2026-10-17PLAYOFF R3 G1GSVAWAY34.9MIN14POINTS12 · 0 · 5-11UNDER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-7
- OREB/DREB
- 5/7
- TS%
- 49.7
- USG%
- 24.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 26
2026-10-09PLAYOFF R2 G3NYLAWAY37.5MIN22POINTS9 · 3 · 7-18OVER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 53.3
- USG%
- 29.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 34
2026-10-07PLAYOFF R2 G2NYLHOME39.1MIN23POINTS7 · 2 · 8-16OVER
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 5/2
- TS%
- 61.7
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 32
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1NYLHOME33.8MIN17POINTS7 · 2 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 67.2
- USG%
- 20.9
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 26
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2WASAWAY27.9MIN15POINTS7 · 2 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 65.1
- USG%
- 21.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 24
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1WASHOME30.5MIN13POINTS12 · 1 · 4-15UNDER
- FG
- 4-15
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 3/9
- TS%
- 37.8
- USG%
- 25.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 26
2026-09-23NYLAWAY16.8MIN6POINTS6 · 3 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/2
- TS%
- 38.1
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 15
2026-09-21NYLAWAY33.7MIN18POINTS10 · 2 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 4-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 51.4
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 30
2026-09-19CHIHOME28.0MIN23POINTS10 · 4 · 9-13OVER
- FG
- 9-13
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 4-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/10
- TS%
- 67.8
- USG%
- 34.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 37
2026-09-17CONHOME25.0MIN30POINTS10 · 3 · 11-14OVER
- FG
- 11-14
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 7-9
- OREB/DREB
- 3/7
- TS%
- 83.5
- USG%
- 34.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +31
- PRA
- 43
2026-08-30MINHOME33.3MIN15POINTS11 · 2 · 5-9UNDER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-8
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 59.9
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-28PORHOME37.5MIN16POINTS16 · 6 · 5-14UNDER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 8/8
- TS%
- 45.7
- USG%
- 23.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 38
2026-08-24LASAWAY38.3MIN11POINTS26 · 3 · 4-14UNDER
- FG
- 4-14
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 8/18
- TS%
- 34.9
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 40
2026-08-22PHOAWAY35.1MIN31POINTS14 · 2 · 14-21OVER
- FG
- 14-21
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 4/10
- TS%
- 66.8
- USG%
- 31.6
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 47
2026-08-20LASAWAY30.5MIN20POINTS10 · 8 · 9-9OVER
- FG
- 9-9
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/6
- TS%
- 111.1
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +32
- PRA
- 38
2026-08-18LVAAWAY38.7MIN21POINTS10 · 4 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 3/7
- TS%
- 61.9
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-16INDHOME38.3MIN15POINTS14 · 6 · 5-16UNDER
- FG
- 5-16
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 5/9
- TS%
- 40.2
- USG%
- 24.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-13CONAWAY28.3MIN8POINTS15 · 1 · 3-13UNDER
- FG
- 3-13
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 5/10
- TS%
- 27.1
- USG%
- 25.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-10TORHOME29.4MIN20POINTS14 · 2 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 6/8
- TS%
- 60.1
- USG%
- 25.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 36
2026-08-07WASAWAY33.3MIN7POINTS16 · 2 · 1-12UNDER
- FG
- 1-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-8
- OREB/DREB
- 7/9
- TS%
- 22.6
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-05PHOHOME32.4MIN14POINTS10 · 4 · 7-14UNDER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 23.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 28
showing 25 of 117 — every rate above is computed over all 117