Bridget Carleton over 14.5 points
She has cleared 14.5 in 28 of 219 games — 12.8%. That rate needs +682 to break even and books have been paying -114.
01
Distribution
219 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 26 games · 11.9% · under26
2–4 points · 44 games · 20.1% · under44
4–6 points · 24 games · 11.0% · under24
6–8 points · 32 games · 14.6% · under32
8–10 points · 17 games · 7.8% · under17
10–12 points · 15 games · 6.8% · under15
12–14 points · 21 games · 9.6% · under21
14–16 points · 15 games · 6.8% · under15
16–18 points · 11 games · 5.0% · over11
18–20 points · 5 games · 2.3% · over5
20–22 points · 2 games · 0.9% · over2
22–24 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
24–26 points · 3 games · 1.4% · over3
26–28 points · 3 games · 1.4% · over3
14.5
UNDER · 191OVER · 28 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 14.5 · hover a bar2026-06-05 · PHO · 6 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · LAS · 7 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · LVA · 13 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · DAL · 20 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · MIN · 3 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · SEA · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · CHI · 7 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · CHI · 20 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · WAS · 16 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · SEA · 14 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · LVA · 9 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · ATL · 12 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · CON · 12 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-16 · WAS · 6 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · MIN · 22 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · DAL · 18 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · LVA · 13 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · IND · 26 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · LAS · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · TOR · 10 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · SEA · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · MIN · 16 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · SEA · 14 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · PHO · 9 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · TOR · 18 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · WAS · 18 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · DAL · 14 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · ATL · 4 points · −10.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · GSV · 11 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · GSV · 26 points · +11.5 vs line
14.5
2026-06-05— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-08 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-12 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-08-14 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-08-16 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-21 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-08-23 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-08-25 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-08-28 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-30 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-09-22 · 26 points · OVER
26
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 37 postings14.5-114
best offered14.5-101
worst offered14.5-128
our break-even14.5+682
Median -114 across 37 postings over 9 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 219 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 14.5
2026-09-22GSVHOME40.1MIN26POINTS3 · 1 · 9-21OVER
- FG
- 9-21
- 3PT
- 5-14
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 26.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 30
2026-08-30GSVHOME30.4MIN11POINTS5 · 0 · 3-11UNDER
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 44.6
- USG%
- 22.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-28ATLAWAY33.0MIN4POINTS6 · 3 · 1-6UNDER
- FG
- 1-6
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 29.1
- USG%
- 10.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-25DALAWAY30.1MIN14POINTS2 · 4 · 5-13UNDER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 48.9
- USG%
- 22.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-23WASHOME36.1MIN18POINTS4 · 5 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 5
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-21TORAWAY32.6MIN18POINTS4 · 2 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 5-10
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 61.0
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-16PHOAWAY31.7MIN9POINTS5 · 0 · 3-15UNDER
- FG
- 3-15
- 3PT
- 0-8
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 27.6
- USG%
- 25.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-14SEAAWAY28.5MIN14POINTS9 · 2 · 5-13UNDER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 4-10
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 53.8
- USG%
- 19.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-12MINHOME32.6MIN16POINTS5 · 2 · 6-14OVER
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-08SEAHOME28.8MIN24POINTS6 · 4 · 9-19OVER
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 60.4
- USG%
- 34.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-06TORHOME29.6MIN10POINTS11 · 0 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 14.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-02LASHOME30.4MIN24POINTS11 · 1 · 8-15OVER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 7-13
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 75.6
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 36
2026-07-31INDHOME33.5MIN26POINTS3 · 2 · 9-14OVER
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 7-11
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 87.4
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-28LVAAWAY27.5MIN13POINTS4 · 4 · 4-15UNDER
- FG
- 4-15
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 40.9
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-22DALHOME31.2MIN18POINTS5 · 2 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 53.3
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-18MINAWAY32.4MIN22POINTS8 · 4 · 8-16OVER
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 6-9
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/8
- TS%
- 68.8
- USG%
- 22.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-16WASAWAY26.0MIN6POINTS3 · 3 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 11.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-14CONAWAY31.7MIN12POINTS3 · 3 · 5-11UNDER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 54.5
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-11ATLAWAY34.3MIN12POINTS3 · 4 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-09LVAHOME27.8MIN9POINTS6 · 3 · 3-10UNDER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-04SEAAWAY30.8MIN14POINTS7 · 2 · 4-14UNDER
- FG
- 4-14
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 42.1
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 23
2026-06-28WASAWAY50.7MIN16POINTS3 · 2 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 55.9
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 21
2026-06-26CHIAWAY28.8MIN20POINTS4 · 1 · 5-14OVER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 25
2026-06-24CHIAWAY28.8MIN7POINTS5 · 2 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 45.1
- USG%
- 15.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 14
2026-06-17SEAHOME28.7MIN24POINTS4 · 1 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 7-13
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 81.3
- USG%
- 24.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 29
showing 25 of 219 — every rate above is computed over all 219