Bridget Carleton over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 136 of 219 games — 62.1%. That rate needs -164 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
01
Distribution
219 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 26 games · 11.9% · under26
2–4 points · 44 games · 20.1% · under44
4–6 points · 24 games · 11.0% · under24
6–8 points · 32 games · 14.6% · over32
8–10 points · 17 games · 7.8% · over17
10–12 points · 15 games · 6.8% · over15
12–14 points · 21 games · 9.6% · over21
14–16 points · 15 games · 6.8% · over15
16–18 points · 11 games · 5.0% · over11
18–20 points · 5 games · 2.3% · over5
20–22 points · 2 games · 0.9% · over2
22–24 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
24–26 points · 3 games · 1.4% · over3
26–28 points · 3 games · 1.4% · over3
4.5
UNDER · 83OVER · 136 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-06-05 · PHO · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · LAS · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · LVA · 13 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · DAL · 20 points · +15.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · MIN · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · SEA · 24 points · +19.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · CHI · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · CHI · 20 points · +15.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · WAS · 16 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · SEA · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · LVA · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · ATL · 12 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · CON · 12 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-16 · WAS · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · MIN · 22 points · +17.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · DAL · 18 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · LVA · 13 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · IND · 26 points · +21.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · LAS · 24 points · +19.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · TOR · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · SEA · 24 points · +19.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · MIN · 16 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · SEA · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · PHO · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · TOR · 18 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · WAS · 18 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · DAL · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · ATL · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · GSV · 11 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · GSV · 26 points · +21.5 vs line
4.5
2026-06-05— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
90.0%9/10 · last 10
2026-08-08 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-12 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-08-14 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-16 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-08-21 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-08-23 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-08-25 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-28 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-30 · 11 points · OVER
11
2026-09-22 · 26 points · OVER
26
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 219 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-09-22GSVHOME40.1MIN26POINTS3 · 1 · 9-21OVER
- FG
- 9-21
- 3PT
- 5-14
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 26.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 30
2026-08-30GSVHOME30.4MIN11POINTS5 · 0 · 3-11OVER
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 44.6
- USG%
- 22.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-28ATLAWAY33.0MIN4POINTS6 · 3 · 1-6UNDER
- FG
- 1-6
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 29.1
- USG%
- 10.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-25DALAWAY30.1MIN14POINTS2 · 4 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 48.9
- USG%
- 22.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-23WASHOME36.1MIN18POINTS4 · 5 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 5
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-21TORAWAY32.6MIN18POINTS4 · 2 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 5-10
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 61.0
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-16PHOAWAY31.7MIN9POINTS5 · 0 · 3-15OVER
- FG
- 3-15
- 3PT
- 0-8
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 27.6
- USG%
- 25.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-14SEAAWAY28.5MIN14POINTS9 · 2 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 4-10
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 53.8
- USG%
- 19.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-12MINHOME32.6MIN16POINTS5 · 2 · 6-14OVER
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-08SEAHOME28.8MIN24POINTS6 · 4 · 9-19OVER
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 60.4
- USG%
- 34.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-06TORHOME29.6MIN10POINTS11 · 0 · 3-9OVER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 14.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-02LASHOME30.4MIN24POINTS11 · 1 · 8-15OVER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 7-13
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 75.6
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 36
2026-07-31INDHOME33.5MIN26POINTS3 · 2 · 9-14OVER
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 7-11
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 87.4
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-28LVAAWAY27.5MIN13POINTS4 · 4 · 4-15OVER
- FG
- 4-15
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 40.9
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-22DALHOME31.2MIN18POINTS5 · 2 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 53.3
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-18MINAWAY32.4MIN22POINTS8 · 4 · 8-16OVER
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 6-9
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/8
- TS%
- 68.8
- USG%
- 22.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-16WASAWAY26.0MIN6POINTS3 · 3 · 2-6OVER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 11.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-14CONAWAY31.7MIN12POINTS3 · 3 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 54.5
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-11ATLAWAY34.3MIN12POINTS3 · 4 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-09LVAHOME27.8MIN9POINTS6 · 3 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-04SEAAWAY30.8MIN14POINTS7 · 2 · 4-14OVER
- FG
- 4-14
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 42.1
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 23
2026-06-28WASAWAY50.7MIN16POINTS3 · 2 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 55.9
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 21
2026-06-26CHIAWAY28.8MIN20POINTS4 · 1 · 5-14OVER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 25
2026-06-24CHIAWAY28.8MIN7POINTS5 · 2 · 2-6OVER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 45.1
- USG%
- 15.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 14
2026-06-17SEAHOME28.7MIN24POINTS4 · 1 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 7-13
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 81.3
- USG%
- 24.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 29
showing 25 of 219 — every rate above is computed over all 219