Caitlin Clark against the Las Vegas Aces
Averaged 16.6 points, 4.7 rebounds and 8.6 assists in 10 games against the Las Vegas Aces.
01
Every stat, vs baseline
hover a row for the gap against its noiseSTAT
VS ACES
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
16.6
21.7
−5.1
gap is 3.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.4
MEASURED
rebounds
4.7
4.8
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
8.6
8.4
+0.2
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
2.1
3.3
−1.2
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
MEASURED
steals
0.8
1.2
−0.4
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.4
0.5
−0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
6.0
4.7
+1.3
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb+ast
29.9
34.9
−5.0
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 5.5
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
21.3
26.6
−5.3
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.9
MEASURED
pts+ast
25.2
30.1
−4.9
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.9
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
13.3
13.2
+0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.1
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
1.2
1.8
−0.6
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
5.9
7.0
−1.1
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
16.4
15.8
+0.6
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.5
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
8.8
8.8
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
2.7
4.5
−1.8
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
MEASURED
free throw attempts
3.3
5.2
−1.9
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
MEASURED
offensive rebounds
0.3
0.2
+0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
4.4
4.6
−0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
4.0
2.8
+1.2
gap is 2.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
MEASURED
usage 30.9 vs 30.8true shooting 46.8 vs 58.6minutes 34.0 vs 32.9
Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 85 other games since 2024-05-20.
02
The 10 games
points · her form 21.7 · hover a bar2024-05-25 · LVA · 8 points · −13.7 vs her form
2024-07-02 · LVA · 13 points · −8.7 vs her form
2024-09-11 · LVA · 16 points · −5.7 vs her form
2024-09-13 · LVA · 18 points · −3.7 vs her form
2025-06-22 · LVA · 19 points · −2.7 vs her form
2026-07-12 · LVA · 12 points · −9.7 vs her form
2026-08-06 · LVA · 20 points · −1.7 vs her form
2026-09-27 · LVA · 15 points · −6.7 vs her form
2026-09-29 · LVA · 27 points · +5.3 vs her form
2026-10-01 · LVA · 18 points · −3.7 vs her form
21.7
2024-05-25— 5-game mean2026-10-01 · newest
03
Why — minutes or rate
+0.74 minutes−5.89 rate = −5.15 total
Production, not playing time: similar minutes, 0.17 fewer points per minute.
True shooting 46.8% vs 58.6% (-11.8)
04
The matchup
concedes −20suppresses +2
The opponent is league-average at scoring (+0.27 SD), so the matchup does not account for this.
05
Game log
all 10 · 3 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 21.7
2026-10-01PLAYOFF R1 G3LVAAWAY36.7MIN18POINTS2 · 4 · 6-18BELOW
- FG
- 6-18
- 3PT
- 3-12
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 29.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 24
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2LVAHOME33.3MIN27POINTS7 · 15 · 9-18ABOVE
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 5-11
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 68.3
- USG%
- 32.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 49
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1LVAAWAY34.4MIN15POINTS3 · 10 · 6-17BELOW
- FG
- 6-17
- 3PT
- 3-10
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 44.1
- USG%
- 30.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-06LVAHOME38.4MIN20POINTS3 · 8 · 7-20BELOW
- FG
- 7-20
- 3PT
- 2-10
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 44.2
- USG%
- 37.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 8
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-12LVAAWAY24.4MIN12POINTS7 · 6 · 5-11BELOW
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 50.5
- USG%
- 30.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 25
2025-06-22LVAAWAY34.6MIN19POINTS3 · 10 · 7-20BELOW
- FG
- 7-20
- 3PT
- 1-10
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 43.7
- USG%
- 38.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 8
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 32
2024-09-13LVAHOME34.0MIN18POINTS8 · 9 · 7-18BELOW
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 35.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 35
2024-09-11LVAHOME37.9MIN16POINTS3 · 6 · 6-22BELOW
- FG
- 6-22
- 3PT
- 1-10
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 34.3
- USG%
- 31.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 25
2024-07-02LVAAWAY37.8MIN13POINTS6 · 11 · 4-12BELOW
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 47.2
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 30
2024-05-25LVAAWAY28.5MIN8POINTS5 · 7 · 2-8BELOW
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 20
every game on file — nothing hidden