Caitlin Clark over 18.5 points

She has cleared 18.5 in 58 of 95 games — 61.1%. That rate needs -157 to break even and books have been paying -101.

01

Distribution

95 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 37OVER · 58  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 18.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-11— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03

Recent form

80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-08-16 · 26 points · OVER
26
2026-08-18 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-20 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-08-22 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-08-23 · 37 points · OVER
37
2026-08-28 · 34 points · OVER
34
2026-09-18 · 28 points · OVER
28
2026-09-20 · 25 points · OVER
25
2026-09-22 · 27 points · OVER
27
2026-09-24 · 2 points · UNDER
2

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 12 postings18.5-101
best offered18.5+100
worst offered18.5-128
our break-even18.5-157

Median -101 across 12 postings over 7 games. That price clears what her rate needs.

05

Game log

25 of 95 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 18.5
2026-09-24
MIN
AWAY
18.0MIN
2POINTS
4 · 3 · 1-12
UNDER
FG
1-12
3PT
0-7
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
8.3
USG%
29.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-27
PRA
9
2026-09-22
MIN
HOME
32.6MIN
27POINTS
7 · 9 · 9-18
OVER
FG
9-18
3PT
3-7
FT
6-6
OREB/DREB
1/6
TS%
65.4
USG%
35.6
STL
4
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
3
+/−
+16
PRA
43
2026-09-20
WAS
HOME
33.8MIN
25POINTS
2 · 5 · 6-20
OVER
FG
6-20
3PT
3-10
FT
10-10
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
51.2
USG%
37.7
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
5
PF
1
+/−
-14
PRA
32
2026-09-18
TOR
AWAY
33.8MIN
28POINTS
6 · 14 · 7-15
OVER
FG
7-15
3PT
2-8
FT
12-12
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
69.0
USG%
38.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
6
PF
5
+/−
+10
PRA
48
2026-08-28
CON
HOME
33.8MIN
34POINTS
5 · 12 · 12-19
OVER
FG
12-19
3PT
6-12
FT
4-6
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
78.6
USG%
33.8
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
4
+/−
+32
PRA
51
2026-08-23
CHI
AWAY
32.2MIN
37POINTS
3 · 10 · 13-24
OVER
FG
13-24
3PT
8-12
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
71.8
USG%
41.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
0
+/−
+26
PRA
50
2026-08-22
NYL
AWAY
35.2MIN
21POINTS
4 · 7 · 9-18
OVER
FG
9-18
3PT
2-6
FT
1-4
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
53.1
USG%
28.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
+2
PRA
32
2026-08-20
DAL
AWAY
34.8MIN
10POINTS
4 · 9 · 4-15
UNDER
FG
4-15
3PT
2-8
FT
0-1
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
32.4
USG%
25.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-4
PRA
23
2026-08-18
TOR
AWAY
33.3MIN
24POINTS
3 · 7 · 7-16
OVER
FG
7-16
3PT
4-9
FT
6-7
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
62.9
USG%
33.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
7
PF
3
+/−
-2
PRA
34
2026-08-16
ATL
AWAY
40.8MIN
26POINTS
3 · 9 · 9-20
OVER
FG
9-20
3PT
3-10
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
57.4
USG%
30.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
4
+/−
+2
PRA
38
2026-08-14
DAL
HOME
34.1MIN
29POINTS
3 · 10 · 11-18
OVER
FG
11-18
3PT
2-8
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
70.3
USG%
28.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
5
+/−
+2
PRA
42
2026-08-11
NYL
HOME
34.8MIN
22POINTS
4 · 10 · 7-15
OVER
FG
7-15
3PT
4-8
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
65.6
USG%
27.0
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
+7
PRA
36
2026-08-08
CHI
AWAY
35.5MIN
26POINTS
4 · 11 · 7-15
OVER
FG
7-15
3PT
5-6
FT
7-10
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
67.0
USG%
32.5
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
6
PF
3
+/−
+5
PRA
41
2026-08-06
LVA
HOME
38.4MIN
20POINTS
3 · 8 · 7-20
OVER
FG
7-20
3PT
2-10
FT
4-6
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
44.2
USG%
37.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
8
PF
4
+/−
0
PRA
31
2026-08-02
MIN
AWAY
34.4MIN
19POINTS
1 · 10 · 8-18
OVER
FG
8-18
3PT
2-9
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
51.5
USG%
30.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
-7
PRA
30
2026-07-31
POR
AWAY
33.8MIN
26POINTS
10 · 10 · 5-9
OVER
FG
5-9
3PT
2-5
FT
14-17
OREB/DREB
0/10
TS%
78.9
USG%
25.3
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
+23
PRA
46
2026-07-28
SEA
AWAY
33.3MIN
32POINTS
4 · 7 · 9-14
OVER
FG
9-14
3PT
4-7
FT
10-10
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
87.0
USG%
31.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
+7
PRA
43
2026-07-22
CON
HOME
27.0MIN
27POINTS
2 · 11 · 8-13
OVER
FG
8-13
3PT
5-9
FT
6-6
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
86.3
USG%
32.7
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
6
PF
2
+/−
+26
PRA
40
2026-07-18
NYL
HOME
26.2MIN
17POINTS
2 · 7 · 5-14
UNDER
FG
5-14
3PT
2-8
FT
5-5
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
52.5
USG%
36.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
7
PF
2
+/−
+6
PRA
26
2026-07-17
SEA
HOME
29.5MIN
45POINTS
2 · 10 · 11-18
OVER
FG
11-18
3PT
6-10
FT
17-19
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
85.4
USG%
42.2
STL
4
BLK
2
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
+16
PRA
57
2026-07-15
GSV
HOME
25.5MIN
13POINTS
3 · 6 · 4-14
UNDER
FG
4-14
3PT
1-8
FT
4-5
OREB/DREB
2/1
TS%
40.1
USG%
35.5
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
22
2026-07-12
LVA
AWAY
24.4MIN
12POINTS
7 · 6 · 5-11
UNDER
FG
5-11
3PT
1-5
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/7
TS%
50.5
USG%
30.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
3
+/−
+6
PRA
25
2026-07-08
LAS
AWAY
15.7MIN
9POINTS
4 · 3 · 4-12
UNDER
FG
4-12
3PT
1-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
37.5
USG%
40.0
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
-16
PRA
16
2026-06-24
PHO
HOME
20.0MIN
19POINTS
0 · 8 · 5-9
OVER
FG
5-9
3PT
3-4
FT
6-6
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
81.6
USG%
34.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
-2
PRA
27
2026-06-22
PHO
HOME
28.8MIN
24POINTS
3 · 9 · 8-17
OVER
FG
8-17
3PT
3-10
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
61.1
USG%
34.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
5
+/−
+13
PRA
36
showing 25 of 95 — every rate above is computed over all 95