Courtney Vandersloot over 7.5 points
She has cleared 7.5 in 103 of 164 games — 62.8%. That rate needs -169 to break even and books have been paying -128.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24CHI @ WAS7:30 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutAicha CoulibalyRight Knee
OutAzura StevensRight Knee
OutDiJonai CarringtonLeft Foot
OutNatasha CloudLeft Knee
OutSkylar DigginsRight Knee
AT 22+ MINUTES · 202614 games · 25.7 min · 9.9 points · 11/14 over 7.5 (79%)
Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT COULIBALY5 games · 21.3 min · 9.0 points · 5/5 over 7.5with her (n=21): 22.4 min · 9.4 points · 62%with her →
WITHOUT STEVENS6 games · 24.6 min · 9.7 points · 4/6 over 7.5with her (n=20): 21.5 min · 9.2 points · 70%with her →
WITHOUT CARRINGTON15 games · 20.5 min · 9.6 points · 12/15 over 7.5with her (n=11): 24.6 min · 8.9 points · 55%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
164 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 14 games · 8.5% · under14
2.5–5 points · 14 games · 8.5% · under14
5–7.5 points · 33 games · 20.1% · under33
7.5–10 points · 29 games · 17.7% · over29
10–12.5 points · 33 games · 20.1% · over33
12.5–15 points · 11 games · 6.7% · over11
15–17.5 points · 16 games · 9.8% · over16
17.5–20 points · 7 games · 4.3% · over7
20–22.5 points · 3 games · 1.8% · over3
22.5–25 points · 2 games · 1.2% · over2
25–27.5 points · 1 game · 0.6% · over1
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.6% · over1
7.5
UNDER · 61OVER · 103 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 7.5 · hover a bar2025-05-27 · PHO · 15 points · +7.5 vs line
2025-05-29 · DAL · 13 points · +5.5 vs line
2025-05-31 · DAL · 15 points · +7.5 vs line
2025-06-07 · IND · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · POR · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · LVA · 5 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · LVA · 11 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · PHO · 7 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · LAS · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · DAL · 9 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · SEA · 8 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · LAS · 9 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · ATL · 11 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · NYL · 14 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · CON · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · LVA · 7 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · PHO · 16 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · LAS · 9 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · IND · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · SEA · 13 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · GSV · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · SEA · 15 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · NYL · 8 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · GSV · 12 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · IND · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · CON · 8 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · NYL · 8 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · WAS · 14 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · ATL · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · TOR · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
7.5
2025-05-27— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-08-12 · 6 points · UNDER
6
2026-08-16 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-08-18 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-21 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-23 · 6 points · UNDER
6
2026-08-25 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-29 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-17 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-19 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-09-22 · 10 points · OVER
10
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 27 postings7.5-128
best offered7.5-120
worst offered7.5-130
our break-even7.5-169
Median -128 across 27 postings over 4 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 164 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 7.5
2026-09-22TORHOME26.0MIN10POINTS2 · 9 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 55.6
- USG%
- 20.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +25
- PRA
- 21
2026-09-19ATLAWAY23.9MIN10POINTS5 · 6 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 27.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 21
2026-09-17WASHOME22.6MIN14POINTS3 · 5 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-29NYLAWAY23.3MIN8POINTS5 · 6 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 20.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-25CONAWAY25.1MIN8POINTS4 · 9 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-23INDHOME24.9MIN6POINTS0 · 7 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 42.9
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-21GSVHOME28.7MIN12POINTS1 · 5 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 55.1
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-18NYLHOME26.9MIN8POINTS3 · 6 · 3-9OVER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 40.5
- USG%
- 14.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-16SEAAWAY30.2MIN15POINTS5 · 5 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 58.8
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-12GSVAWAY15.3MIN6POINTS3 · 4 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 42.9
- USG%
- 27.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-10SEAAWAY26.0MIN13POINTS0 · 3 · 2-7OVER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 59.3
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-08INDHOME24.9MIN4POINTS3 · 6 · 1-6UNDER
- FG
- 1-6
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 27.3
- USG%
- 16.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-05LASHOME27.5MIN9POINTS4 · 5 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-03PHOHOME26.8MIN16POINTS5 · 10 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 31
2026-08-01LVAHOME20.3MIN7POINTS8 · 5 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 44.4
- USG%
- 19.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-30CONHOME23.1MIN6POINTS5 · 6 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 38.1
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-22NYLAWAY21.6MIN14POINTS1 · 4 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-19ATLAWAY21.3MIN11POINTS1 · 6 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 66.1
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-17LASHOME15.3MIN9POINTS0 · 1 · 3-9OVER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 29.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-15SEAHOME20.0MIN8POINTS1 · 6 · 2-5OVER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 59.2
- USG%
- 16.3
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 15
2026-07-12DALAWAY19.9MIN9POINTS1 · 3 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.7
- USG%
- 20.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 13
2026-07-10LASAWAY18.7MIN6POINTS3 · 4 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 51.0
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 13
2026-07-07PHOAWAY17.8MIN7POINTS3 · 1 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 45.1
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 11
2026-07-03LVAAWAY18.5MIN11POINTS2 · 3 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 70.9
- USG%
- 24.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 16
2026-06-28LVAHOME15.6MIN5POINTS4 · 8 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 37.7
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 17
showing 25 of 164 — every rate above is computed over all 164