Courtney Williams over 11.5 points
She has cleared 11.5 in 124 of 233 games — 53.2%. That rate needs -114 to break even and books have been paying -116.
01
Distribution
233 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 8 games · 3.4% · under8
2.5–5 points · 14 games · 6.0% · under14
5–7.5 points · 33 games · 14.2% · under33
7.5–10 points · 22 games · 9.4% · under22
10–12.5 points · 57 games · 24.5% · under57
12.5–15 points · 25 games · 10.7% · over25
15–17.5 points · 36 games · 15.5% · over36
17.5–20 points · 9 games · 3.9% · over9
20–22.5 points · 13 games · 5.6% · over13
22.5–25 points · 7 games · 3.0% · over7
25–27.5 points · 7 games · 3.0% · over7
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.4% · over1
30–32.5 points · 1 game · 0.4% · over1
11.5
UNDER · 109OVER · 124 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 11.5 · hover a bar2026-06-15 · POR · 16 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · LAS · 13 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · GSV · 21 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · WAS · 13 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · WAS · 5 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · DAL · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · NYL · 16 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · CON · 23 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · CON · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · NYL · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-13 · PHO · 8 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · LAS · 19 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · POR · 15 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · SEA · 21 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · SEA · 0 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · TOR · 5 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · TOR · 16 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · IND · 27 points · +15.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · LAS · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · LVA · 13 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · DAL · 3 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · POR · 10 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · LVA · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · GSV · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · WAS · 13 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · ATL · 11 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · NYL · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · CON · 11 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · IND · 2 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · IND · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
11.5
2026-06-15— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-08-09 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-12 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-08-15 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-19 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-21 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-08-30 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-09-18 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-09-20 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-09-22 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-24 · 9 points · UNDER
9
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 13 postings11.5-116
best offered11.5+260
worst offered11.5-123
our break-even11.5-114
Median -116 across 13 postings over 4 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 233 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 11.5
2026-09-24INDHOME21.6MIN9POINTS7 · 10 · 4-7UNDER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 22.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +30
- PRA
- 26
2026-09-22INDAWAY8.9MIN2POINTS0 · 3 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 28.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 5
2026-09-20CONAWAY30.3MIN11POINTS1 · 3 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 46.3
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 15
2026-09-18NYLHOME28.8MIN12POINTS5 · 2 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 19.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-30ATLAWAY30.5MIN11POINTS3 · 4 · 5-12UNDER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 45.8
- USG%
- 22.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-21WASAWAY31.3MIN13POINTS6 · 8 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 54.7
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-19GSVAWAY28.6MIN9POINTS3 · 7 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 18.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-15LVAAWAY28.5MIN12POINTS2 · 1 · 5-14OVER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 40.3
- USG%
- 30.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-12PORAWAY29.5MIN10POINTS1 · 4 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-09DALHOME31.3MIN3POINTS3 · 7 · 1-8UNDER
- FG
- 1-8
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 16.9
- USG%
- 13.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-08LVAHOME33.1MIN13POINTS7 · 7 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 59.1
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-06LASHOME34.5MIN12POINTS8 · 0 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 48.2
- USG%
- 17.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-02INDHOME34.0MIN27POINTS4 · 5 · 12-20OVER
- FG
- 12-20
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 64.7
- USG%
- 27.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 36
2026-07-30TORAWAY25.0MIN16POINTS3 · 5 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 62.7
- USG%
- 20.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +25
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-28TORHOME25.8MIN5POINTS4 · 4 · 2-11UNDER
- FG
- 2-11
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 22.7
- USG%
- 20.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 13
2026-07-22SEAAWAY19.7MIN0POINTS5 · 6 · 0-5UNDER
- FG
- 0-5
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 14.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 11
2026-07-20SEAAWAY33.4MIN21POINTS4 · 3 · 8-13OVER
- FG
- 8-13
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 71.1
- USG%
- 21.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-18PORHOME32.3MIN15POINTS2 · 7 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 20.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-15LASHOME34.7MIN19POINTS2 · 4 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-13PHOHOME35.4MIN8POINTS7 · 3 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 10.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-11NYLHOME36.2MIN12POINTS12 · 1 · 5-17OVER
- FG
- 5-17
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 5/7
- TS%
- 35.3
- USG%
- 24.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-08CONAWAY30.5MIN12POINTS4 · 7 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 46.2
- USG%
- 27.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-06CONHOME36.1MIN23POINTS9 · 6 · 10-21OVER
- FG
- 10-21
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 54.8
- USG%
- 27.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 38
2026-07-03NYLAWAY24.5MIN16POINTS5 · 3 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 25.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 24
2026-06-28DALAWAY36.1MIN12POINTS5 · 4 · 5-16OVER
- FG
- 5-16
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 35.5
- USG%
- 23.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 21
showing 25 of 233 — every rate above is computed over all 233