Georgia Amoore in blowouts

44 of 44 games carry a scoreline to bucket. A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

WHAT MARGIN AND TOTAL MEAN HERE

margin and total are the REALISED final scoreline, not the pre-tip market spread and total — this service holds no market lines. Mostly the same games; not the same number.

01

games decided by 10+

|final margin| >= 10
19 of these · baseline 25DIRECTIONAL

in blowouts (5.8 pts) against in closer games (7.9), -2.1, t = -1.38, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 3.0). A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board. (served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season)

STAT
BLOWOUTS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
5.8
7.9
−2.1
t −1.38 · resolves ±3.0
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
1.6
1.2
+0.3
t +0.88 · resolves ±0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
3.1
3.7
−0.6
t −0.92 · resolves ±1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
1.4
1.7
−0.3
t −0.70 · resolves ±0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.2
0.4
−0.2
t −1.18 · resolves ±0.3
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.2
0.1
+0.1
t +0.61 · resolves ±0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
1.4
2.5
−1.1
t −2.89 · resolves ±0.8
MEASURED
pts+reb+ast
10.5
12.8
−2.4
t −1.23 · resolves ±3.8
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
7.4
9.2
−1.8
t −1.07 · resolves ±3.3
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
8.9
11.6
−2.7
t −1.49 · resolves ±3.6
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
4.7
4.9
−0.2
t −0.33 · resolves ±1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.4
0.5
−0.1
t −0.56 · resolves ±0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
THE LEAGUE-LEVEL RESULT

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
THIS CUT, MEASURED

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Read that the way round it is written. The instinct is to fade an over in a blowout; the ledger says the opposite, and gating those picks out would have cost more than half the season's profit. Nothing on this page removes a pick.

02

high-scoring games

combined score >= 175 (this player's own top tercile)
15 of these · baseline 29DIRECTIONAL

high-scoring games (8.3 pts) against other games (6.3), +2.0, t = 1.32, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 3.0).

STAT
HIGH TOTAL
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
8.3
6.3
+2.0
t +1.32 · resolves ±3.0
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
1.9
1.1
+0.7
t +1.69 · resolves ±0.8
DIRECTIONAL
assists
3.5
3.4
+0.2
t +0.23 · resolves ±1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
1.9
1.4
+0.5
t +1.06 · resolves ±0.9
DIRECTIONAL
steals
0.3
0.3
0.0
t +0.14 · resolves ±0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.3
0.0
+0.2
t +1.48 · resolves ±0.3
DIRECTIONAL
turnovers
1.8
2.1
−0.3
t −0.76 · resolves ±0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
13.7
10.8
+2.9
t +1.55 · resolves ±3.7
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
10.2
7.4
+2.8
t +1.66 · resolves ±3.2
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
11.9
9.7
+2.2
t +1.22 · resolves ±3.5
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
5.4
4.5
+0.9
t +1.17 · resolves ±1.5
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
0.6
0.3
+0.3
t +1.24 · resolves ±0.4
DIRECTIONAL
03

low-scoring games

combined score <= 156 (this player's own bottom tercile)
15 of these · baseline 29NOT MEASURABLE

low-scoring games (6.7 pts) against other games (7.1), -0.4, t = -0.21, not_measurable (this sample resolves gaps above 3.7).

STAT
LOW TOTALS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
6.7
7.1
−0.4
t −0.21 · resolves ±3.7
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
1.4
1.4
0.0
t +0.06 · resolves ±0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
2.5
3.9
−1.5
t −2.58 · resolves ±1.1
MEASURED
threes
1.6
1.5
+0.1
t +0.16 · resolves ±1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.5
0.2
+0.2
t +1.08 · resolves ±0.4
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.1
0.1
−0.1
t −0.67 · resolves ±0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
2.3
1.8
+0.5
t +1.15 · resolves ±0.9
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb+ast
10.6
12.4
−1.8
t −0.81 · resolves ±4.5
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
8.1
8.5
−0.4
t −0.19 · resolves ±3.9
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
9.2
11.1
−1.9
t −0.85 · resolves ±4.3
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
3.9
5.3
−1.4
t −2.13 · resolves ±1.3
MEASURED
steals+blocks
0.5
0.4
+0.2
t +0.64 · resolves ±0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
04

Game log

all 44 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 7.9
2026-09-24
CHI
HOME
23.1MIN
14POINTS
1 · 1 · 3-6
ABOVE
FG
3-6
3PT
3-6
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
81.0
USG%
21.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
1
+/−
+8
PRA
16
2026-09-22
CON
HOME
25.5MIN
8POINTS
0 · 3 · 3-8
ABOVE
FG
3-8
3PT
2-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
11
2026-09-20
IND
AWAY
22.7MIN
11POINTS
1 · 4 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
3-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
91.7
USG%
12.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
-2
PRA
16
2026-09-17
CHI
AWAY
23.2MIN
12POINTS
1 · 5 · 4-8
ABOVE
FG
4-8
3PT
4-7
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
75.0
USG%
14.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+26
PRA
18
2026-08-28
LAS
AWAY
24.6MIN
9POINTS
1 · 5 · 3-8
ABOVE
FG
3-8
3PT
3-8
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
56.3
USG%
20.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
15
2026-08-27
PHO
AWAY
30.2MIN
25POINTS
2 · 4 · 9-16
ABOVE
FG
9-16
3PT
6-11
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
76.0
USG%
30.2
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
+7
PRA
31
2026-08-25
PHO
AWAY
26.7MIN
7POINTS
3 · 3 · 3-9
BELOW
FG
3-9
3PT
1-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
38.9
USG%
16.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+6
PRA
13
2026-08-23
POR
AWAY
23.7MIN
13POINTS
3 · 1 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
3-4
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
94.5
USG%
16.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+10
PRA
17
2026-08-21
MIN
HOME
28.6MIN
10POINTS
5 · 5 · 3-8
ABOVE
FG
3-8
3PT
3-6
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
56.3
USG%
14.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
20
2026-08-19
TOR
HOME
23.9MIN
9POINTS
4 · 3 · 3-6
ABOVE
FG
3-6
3PT
3-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
75.0
USG%
14.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+10
PRA
16
2026-08-15
LAS
HOME
11.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
16.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-7
PRA
1
2026-08-13
LVA
AWAY
25.6MIN
3POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-7
BELOW
FG
1-7
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
21.4
USG%
16.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
5
2026-08-11
LVA
AWAY
20.1MIN
0POINTS
0 · 4 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
4
2026-08-09
PHO
HOME
20.6MIN
0POINTS
1 · 6 · 0-4
BELOW
FG
0-4
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
5
+/−
+28
PRA
7
2026-08-07
ATL
HOME
14.2MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
9.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+3
PRA
1
2026-08-05
DAL
HOME
28.5MIN
12POINTS
0 · 5 · 4-7
ABOVE
FG
4-7
3PT
4-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
85.7
USG%
14.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-7
PRA
17
2026-07-31
DAL
HOME
17.7MIN
2POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-5
BELOW
FG
1-5
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
20.0
USG%
14.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-5
PRA
5
2026-07-28
CON
HOME
25.2MIN
8POINTS
3 · 5 · 3-6
ABOVE
FG
3-6
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
66.7
USG%
15.0
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
+16
PRA
16
2026-07-22
LVA
HOME
22.7MIN
10POINTS
2 · 1 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
83.3
USG%
14.4
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-1
PRA
13
2026-07-20
GSV
AWAY
27.2MIN
9POINTS
0 · 8 · 3-5
ABOVE
FG
3-5
3PT
3-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
90.0
USG%
15.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
+1
PRA
17
2026-07-18
GSV
AWAY
25.4MIN
8POINTS
3 · 4 · 3-11
ABOVE
FG
3-11
3PT
2-9
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
3/0
TS%
36.4
USG%
28.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
+3
PRA
15
2026-07-16
POR
HOME
15.7MIN
3POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
38.7
USG%
21.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
3
+/−
-19
PRA
6
2026-07-14
TOR
AWAY
21.8MIN
7POINTS
1 · 2 · 3-8
BELOW
FG
3-8
3PT
1-4
FT
0-1
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
41.5
USG%
18.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+16
PRA
10
2026-07-12
SEA
HOME
21.8MIN
4POINTS
3 · 4 · 2-7
BELOW
FG
2-7
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
28.6
USG%
18.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
+6
PRA
11
2026-07-06
GSV
HOME
21.8MIN
3POINTS
3 · 0 · 1-7
BELOW
FG
1-7
3PT
1-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
21.4
USG%
18.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
4
+/−
-12
PRA
6
2026-07-02
ATL
HOME
13.1MIN
11POINTS
1 · 0 · 3-4
ABOVE
FG
3-4
3PT
1-1
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
95.5
USG%
22.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-11
PRA
12
2026-06-28
POR
HOME
11.5MIN
2POINTS
0 · 3 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
25.8
USG%
19.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-1
PRA
5
2026-06-26
CON
AWAY
32.9MIN
14POINTS
2 · 5 · 5-10
ABOVE
FG
5-10
3PT
4-9
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
70.0
USG%
19.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
-16
PRA
21
2026-06-24
MIN
HOME
26.3MIN
6POINTS
1 · 3 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
1-3
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
56.4
USG%
15.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
-3
PRA
10
2026-06-21
MIN
AWAY
32.1MIN
8POINTS
2 · 7 · 3-7
ABOVE
FG
3-7
3PT
0-3
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
48.1
USG%
17.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
+8
PRA
17
2026-06-19
NYL
AWAY
27.7MIN
10POINTS
0 · 8 · 3-9
ABOVE
FG
3-9
3PT
1-6
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
48.4
USG%
22.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
+4
PRA
18
2026-06-17
CON
AWAY
19.3MIN
10POINTS
0 · 2 · 3-5
ABOVE
FG
3-5
3PT
2-4
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
85.0
USG%
20.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
+4
PRA
12
2026-06-14
NYL
AWAY
15.6MIN
0POINTS
2 · 2 · 0-5
BELOW
FG
0-5
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
13.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-5
PRA
4
2026-06-12
TOR
HOME
25.9MIN
1POINTS
0 · 7 · 0-4
BELOW
FG
0-4
3PT
0-4
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
10.2
USG%
9.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-15
PRA
8
2026-06-08
IND
HOME
29.3MIN
12POINTS
1 · 4 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
4-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
13.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
17
2026-06-06
ATL
AWAY
22.5MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
4.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
3
2026-06-02
CHI
HOME
20.5MIN
3POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
5.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+21
PRA
6
2026-05-29
LAS
HOME
23.5MIN
1POINTS
1 · 3 · 0-7
BELOW
FG
0-7
3PT
0-6
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
6.3
USG%
20.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-12
PRA
5
2026-05-27
SEA
AWAY
26.8MIN
7POINTS
0 · 2 · 2-3
BELOW
FG
2-3
3PT
1-1
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
90.2
USG%
10.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+7
PRA
9
2026-05-24
SEA
AWAY
25.8MIN
13POINTS
2 · 6 · 2-9
ABOVE
FG
2-9
3PT
1-7
FT
8-8
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
51.9
USG%
29.1
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
4
PF
6
+/−
-13
PRA
21
2026-05-18
DAL
AWAY
24.4MIN
3POINTS
1 · 3 · 1-6
BELOW
FG
1-6
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
17.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-18
PRA
7
2026-05-15
IND
AWAY
23.6MIN
7POINTS
0 · 4 · 2-3
BELOW
FG
2-3
3PT
1-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
90.2
USG%
11.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+13
PRA
11
2026-05-10
NYL
HOME
21.4MIN
7POINTS
1 · 7 · 3-8
BELOW
FG
3-8
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
43.8
USG%
17.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-4
PRA
15
2026-05-08
TOR
AWAY
20.4MIN
6POINTS
3 · 3 · 2-9
BELOW
FG
2-9
3PT
2-7
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
33.3
USG%
29.9
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
1
+/−
+16
PRA
12
every game on file — nothing hidden