Jackie Young against the Indiana Fever
Averaged 17.3 points, 3.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists in 23 games against the Indiana Fever.
—
Tonight
THU · OCT 1IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 33 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
QuestionableStephanie TalbotLeft Leg
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 21.5over in 20 of 46 games (43%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +130 · best posted -102 · under -130 · best posted -114
Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.
GAMES SHE PLAYED 30+ MIN · 202637 games · 34.2 min · 20.4 points
Tonight's projection is 33 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Every stat, vs baseline
hover a row for the gap against its noiseSTAT
VS FEVER
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
17.3
17.4
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.6
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 21.5 · over in 5 of 23 meetings
rebounds
3.9
4.4
−0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 4.5 · over in 8 of 23 meetings
assists
5.1
5.4
−0.4
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 6.5 · over in 7 of 23 meetings
threes
1.6
2.1
−0.5
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 2.5 · over in 4 of 23 meetings
steals
0.7
1.4
−0.7
gap is 2.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
MEASURED
no line posted
blocks
0.1
0.2
−0.1
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
DIRECTIONAL
no line posted
turnovers
2.2
2.2
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
pts+reb+ast
26.3
27.3
−1.0
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.3
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 32.5 · over in 6 of 23 meetings
pts+reb
21.2
21.8
−0.6
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.9
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 25.5 · over in 6 of 23 meetings
pts+ast
22.4
22.9
−0.4
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.0
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 28.5 · over in 5 of 23 meetings
reb+ast
9.0
9.8
−0.9
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.7
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 10.5 · over in 8 of 23 meetings
steals+blocks
0.8
1.6
−0.8
gap is 3.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
MEASURED
no line posted
field goals made
6.2
6.2
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
field goal attempts
13.4
12.2
+1.2
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
DIRECTIONAL
no line posted
three-point attempts
5.0
5.3
−0.3
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
free throws made
3.4
3.0
+0.4
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
free throw attempts
3.8
3.3
+0.5
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
offensive rebounds
1.2
0.9
+0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
no line posted
defensive rebounds
2.7
3.5
−0.8
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
MEASURED
no line posted
fouls
2.8
2.2
+0.6
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
no line posted
usage 23.7 vs 22.9true shooting 57.1 vs 62.7minutes 32.8 vs 32.0
Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 213 other games since 2022-05-10. Lines are tonight's most-posted line on each stat; the meetings above are context, not a pick.
02
The 23 games
points · her form 17.4 · hover a bar2022-07-21 · IND · 16 points · −1.4 vs her form
2022-07-29 · IND · 15 points · −2.4 vs her form
2022-07-31 · IND · 13 points · −4.4 vs her form
2023-06-04 · IND · 19 points · +1.6 vs her form
2023-06-24 · IND · 10 points · −7.4 vs her form
2023-06-26 · IND · 16 points · −1.4 vs her form
2024-05-25 · IND · 22 points · +4.6 vs her form
2024-07-02 · IND · 15 points · −2.4 vs her form
2024-09-11 · IND · 6 points · −11.4 vs her form
2024-09-13 · IND · 12 points · −5.4 vs her form
2025-06-22 · IND · 19 points · +1.6 vs her form
2025-07-03 · IND · 6 points · −11.4 vs her form
2025-07-24 · IND · 19 points · +1.6 vs her form
2025-09-21 · IND · 19 points · +1.6 vs her form
2025-09-23 · IND · 13 points · −4.4 vs her form
2025-09-26 · IND · 25 points · +7.6 vs her form
2025-09-28 · IND · 18 points · +0.6 vs her form
2025-09-30 · IND · 32 points · +14.6 vs her form
2026-07-05 · IND · 15 points · −2.4 vs her form
2026-07-12 · IND · 15 points · −2.4 vs her form
2026-08-06 · IND · 22 points · +4.6 vs her form
2026-09-27 · IND · 21 points · +3.6 vs her form
2026-09-29 · IND · 31 points · +13.6 vs her form
17.4
2022-07-21— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03
Why — minutes or rate
On steals, the largest measured difference here:
+0.04 minutes−0.70 rate = −0.66 total
Production, not playing time: similar minutes, 0.02 fewer steals per minute.
True shooting 57.1% vs 62.7% (-5.5)
04
The matchup
No defensive context: steals are recorded by a defense rather than allowed by one, so there is no suppression figure to compare against.
05
Game log
all 23 · 7 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 17.4
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2INDAWAY36.3MIN31POINTS4 · 5 · 7-19ABOVE
- FG
- 7-19
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 13-13
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 62.7
- USG%
- 33.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 40
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1INDHOME33.8MIN21POINTS2 · 10 · 8-14ABOVE
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 70.6
- USG%
- 27.8
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 33
2026-08-06INDAWAY35.0MIN22POINTS4 · 9 · 8-21ABOVE
- FG
- 8-21
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 47.4
- USG%
- 31.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 35
2026-07-12INDHOME31.9MIN15POINTS1 · 3 · 4-8BELOW
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 70.5
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-05INDHOME32.6MIN15POINTS2 · 4 · 6-13BELOW
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 54.0
- USG%
- 29.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 21
2025-09-30PLAYOFF R2 G5INDHOME43.6MIN32POINTS4 · 10 · 10-20ABOVE
- FG
- 10-20
- 3PT
- 4-11
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 68.0
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 46
2025-09-28PLAYOFF R2 G4INDAWAY38.2MIN18POINTS5 · 9 · 6-10ABOVE
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 76.5
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 32
2025-09-26PLAYOFF R2 G3INDAWAY34.0MIN25POINTS5 · 4 · 9-14ABOVE
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 75.1
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 34
2025-09-23PLAYOFF R2 G2INDHOME32.4MIN13POINTS5 · 5 · 5-11BELOW
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 56.8
- USG%
- 20.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 23
2025-09-21PLAYOFF R2 G1INDHOME34.6MIN19POINTS7 · 2 · 9-16ABOVE
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 57.8
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 28
2025-07-24INDAWAY31.5MIN19POINTS3 · 3 · 8-14ABOVE
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 63.8
- USG%
- 22.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 25
2025-07-03INDAWAY25.1MIN6POINTS1 · 1 · 2-9BELOW
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 30.4
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 8
2025-06-22INDHOME27.0MIN19POINTS7 · 7 · 6-15ABOVE
- FG
- 6-15
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 52.5
- USG%
- 33.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 33
2024-09-13INDAWAY33.0MIN12POINTS2 · 6 · 5-13BELOW
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 44.6
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 20
2024-09-11INDAWAY30.5MIN6POINTS3 · 4 · 3-8BELOW
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 15.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 13
2024-07-02INDHOME38.2MIN15POINTS4 · 10 · 5-16BELOW
- FG
- 5-16
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 43.3
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 29
2024-05-25INDHOME31.5MIN22POINTS1 · 6 · 7-16ABOVE
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 59.0
- USG%
- 29.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 29
2023-06-26INDHOME35.2MIN16POINTS2 · 0 · 5-11BELOW
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 62.7
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 18
2023-06-24INDHOME34.1MIN10POINTS4 · 8 · 4-11BELOW
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 22
2023-06-04INDAWAY34.7MIN19POINTS4 · 4 · 8-15ABOVE
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 56.7
- USG%
- 23.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 27
2022-07-31INDAWAY26.6MIN13POINTS7 · 1 · 5-15BELOW
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 40.9
- USG%
- 27.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 21
2022-07-29INDAWAY26.2MIN15POINTS7 · 5 · 6-10BELOW
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 63.8
- USG%
- 18.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 27
2022-07-21INDHOME28.5MIN16POINTS5 · 1 · 6-9BELOW
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 74.3
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 22
every game on file — nothing hidden