Jacy Sheldon over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 73 of 113 games — 64.6%. That rate needs -183 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24CHI @ WAS7:30 PM ETbench · 21 projected minutes
OutAicha CoulibalyRight Knee
OutAzura StevensRight Knee
OutDiJonai CarringtonLeft Foot
OutNatasha CloudLeft Knee
OutSkylar DigginsRight Knee
AT 18+ MINUTES · 202628 games · 23.7 min · 7.6 points · 23/28 over 4.5 (82%)
Tonight's projection is 21 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT COULIBALY13 games · 20.4 min · 6.5 points · 10/13 over 4.5with her (n=30): 20.8 min · 6.5 points · 67%with her →
WITHOUT STEVENS11 games · 24.4 min · 8.9 points · 9/11 over 4.5with her (n=32): 19.4 min · 5.6 points · 66%with her →
WITHOUT CARRINGTON32 games · 21.1 min · 6.6 points · 22/32 over 4.5with her (n=11): 19.5 min · 6.2 points · 73%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
113 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 14 games · 12.4% · under14
2–4 points · 16 games · 14.2% · under16
4–6 points · 22 games · 19.5% · under22
6–8 points · 18 games · 15.9% · over18
8–10 points · 14 games · 12.4% · over14
10–12 points · 15 games · 13.3% · over15
12–14 points · 6 games · 5.3% · over6
14–16 points · 5 games · 4.4% · over5
16–18 points · 3 games · 2.7% · over3
4.5
UNDER · 40OVER · 73 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-06-17 · NYL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · DAL · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · CON · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · POR · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · POR · 11 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · LVA · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · LVA · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · PHO · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · LAS · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · DAL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · SEA · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · LAS · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · ATL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · NYL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · CON · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · LVA · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · PHO · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · LAS · 15 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · IND · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · SEA · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · GSV · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · SEA · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · NYL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · GSV · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · IND · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · CON · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · NYL · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · WAS · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · ATL · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · TOR · 12 points · +7.5 vs line
4.5
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-08-12 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-16 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-18 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-21 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-23 · 6 points · OVER
6
2026-08-25 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-08-29 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-09-17 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-19 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-09-22 · 12 points · OVER
12
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 113 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-09-22TORHOME17.7MIN12POINTS2 · 4 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 52.4
- USG%
- 33.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 18
2026-09-19ATLAWAY24.2MIN9POINTS1 · 4 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 16.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 14
2026-09-17WASHOME19.7MIN2POINTS4 · 2 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 10.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 8
2026-08-29NYLAWAY18.5MIN5POINTS1 · 3 · 1-4OVER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 43.4
- USG%
- 17.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-25CONAWAY17.3MIN5POINTS2 · 1 · 2-8OVER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 31.3
- USG%
- 20.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 8
2026-08-23INDHOME14.9MIN6POINTS2 · 1 · 3-3OVER
- FG
- 3-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-21GSVHOME16.2MIN3POINTS0 · 2 · 1-7UNDER
- FG
- 1-7
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 21.4
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-18NYLHOME12.6MIN0POINTS2 · 1 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-16SEAAWAY19.4MIN3POINTS1 · 1 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 30.0
- USG%
- 13.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-12GSVAWAY25.5MIN8POINTS2 · 0 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-10SEAAWAY18.9MIN5POINTS1 · 2 · 2-5OVER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 12.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 8
2026-08-08INDHOME23.6MIN9POINTS1 · 2 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 76.5
- USG%
- 13.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-05LASHOME28.8MIN15POINTS0 · 3 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 68.9
- USG%
- 17.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-03PHOHOME23.3MIN6POINTS1 · 1 · 1-5OVER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 44.4
- USG%
- 12.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 8
2026-08-01LVAHOME15.7MIN4POINTS0 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 7.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 5
2026-07-30CONHOME14.5MIN7POINTS2 · 0 · 2-5OVER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-22NYLAWAY16.8MIN2POINTS1 · 1 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 13.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-19ATLAWAY19.5MIN2POINTS2 · 2 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 11.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-17LASHOME27.7MIN14POINTS3 · 2 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/0
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-15SEAHOME17.0MIN2POINTS1 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 7.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-12DALAWAY14.4MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 3.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -21
- PRA
- 1
2026-07-10LASAWAY21.3MIN10POINTS0 · 2 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 71.4
- USG%
- 15.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-07PHOAWAY17.4MIN3POINTS1 · 2 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 38.7
- USG%
- 10.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-03LVAAWAY19.5MIN5POINTS2 · 1 · 1-3OVER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 64.4
- USG%
- 9.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 8
2026-06-28LVAHOME10.6MIN5POINTS1 · 2 · 2-6OVER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 41.7
- USG%
- 22.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 8
showing 25 of 113 — every rate above is computed over all 113