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Jacy Sheldon over 6.5 points

She has cleared 6.5 in 48 of 113 games — 42.5%. That rate needs +135 to break even and books have been paying -110.

—

Tonight

THU · SEP 24
CHI @ WAS7:30 PM ETbench · 21 projected minutes
OutAicha CoulibalyRight Knee
OutAzura StevensRight Knee
OutDiJonai CarringtonLeft Foot
OutNatasha CloudLeft Knee
OutSkylar DigginsRight Knee
AT 18+ MINUTES · 202628 games · 23.7 min · 7.6 points · 14/28 over 6.5 (50%)

Tonight's projection is 21 minutes. This is her season at that workload.

WITHOUT COULIBALY13 games · 20.4 min · 6.5 points · 5/13 over 6.5with her (n=30): 20.8 min · 6.5 points · 40%with her →
WITHOUT STEVENS11 games · 24.4 min · 8.9 points · 8/11 over 6.5with her (n=32): 19.4 min · 5.6 points · 28%with her →
WITHOUT CARRINGTON32 games · 21.1 min · 6.6 points · 13/32 over 6.5with her (n=11): 19.5 min · 6.2 points · 36%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

113 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 65OVER · 48  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 6.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03

Recent form

30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-08-12 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-16 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-18 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-21 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-23 · 6 points · UNDER
6
2026-08-25 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-08-29 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-09-17 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-19 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-09-22 · 12 points · OVER
12

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 6 postings6.5-110
best offered6.5-105
worst offered6.5-115
our break-even6.5+135

Median -110 across 6 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.

05

Game log

25 of 113 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 6.5
2026-09-22
TOR
HOME
17.7MIN
12POINTS
2 · 4 · 5-11
OVER
FG
5-11
3PT
1-6
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
52.4
USG%
33.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-2
PRA
18
2026-09-19
ATL
AWAY
24.2MIN
9POINTS
1 · 4 · 4-8
OVER
FG
4-8
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
56.3
USG%
16.2
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-5
PRA
14
2026-09-17
WAS
HOME
19.7MIN
2POINTS
4 · 2 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
34.7
USG%
10.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-11
PRA
8
2026-08-29
NYL
AWAY
18.5MIN
5POINTS
1 · 3 · 1-4
UNDER
FG
1-4
3PT
0-2
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
43.4
USG%
17.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-12
PRA
9
2026-08-25
CON
AWAY
17.3MIN
5POINTS
2 · 1 · 2-8
UNDER
FG
2-8
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
31.3
USG%
20.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
8
2026-08-23
IND
HOME
14.9MIN
6POINTS
2 · 1 · 3-3
UNDER
FG
3-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
17.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-5
PRA
9
2026-08-21
GSV
HOME
16.2MIN
3POINTS
0 · 2 · 1-7
UNDER
FG
1-7
3PT
1-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
21.4
USG%
24.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-16
PRA
5
2026-08-18
NYL
HOME
12.6MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-3
UNDER
FG
0-3
3PT
0-3
FT
0-1
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
17.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
3
2026-08-16
SEA
AWAY
19.4MIN
3POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-5
UNDER
FG
1-5
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
30.0
USG%
13.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
+13
PRA
5
2026-08-12
GSV
AWAY
25.5MIN
8POINTS
2 · 0 · 3-6
OVER
FG
3-6
3PT
2-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
66.7
USG%
14.5
STL
4
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-9
PRA
10
2026-08-10
SEA
AWAY
18.9MIN
5POINTS
1 · 2 · 2-5
UNDER
FG
2-5
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
12.8
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+2
PRA
8
2026-08-08
IND
HOME
23.6MIN
9POINTS
1 · 2 · 3-5
OVER
FG
3-5
3PT
2-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
76.5
USG%
13.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
5
+/−
0
PRA
12
2026-08-05
LAS
HOME
28.8MIN
15POINTS
0 · 3 · 5-10
OVER
FG
5-10
3PT
3-5
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
68.9
USG%
17.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-1
PRA
18
2026-08-03
PHO
HOME
23.3MIN
6POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-5
UNDER
FG
1-5
3PT
0-3
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
44.4
USG%
12.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-1
PRA
8
2026-08-01
LVA
HOME
15.7MIN
4POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
69.4
USG%
7.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-2
PRA
5
2026-07-30
CON
HOME
14.5MIN
7POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-5
OVER
FG
2-5
3PT
1-4
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
59.5
USG%
23.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
0
PRA
9
2026-07-22
NYL
AWAY
16.8MIN
2POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-4
UNDER
FG
1-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
13.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
4
2026-07-19
ATL
AWAY
19.5MIN
2POINTS
2 · 2 · 1-4
UNDER
FG
1-4
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
11.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+1
PRA
6
2026-07-17
LAS
HOME
27.7MIN
14POINTS
3 · 2 · 6-12
OVER
FG
6-12
3PT
1-5
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
3/0
TS%
56.3
USG%
18.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+20
PRA
19
2026-07-15
SEA
HOME
17.0MIN
2POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
7.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+15
PRA
4
2026-07-12
DAL
AWAY
14.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
3.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-21
PRA
1
2026-07-10
LAS
AWAY
21.3MIN
10POINTS
0 · 2 · 4-7
OVER
FG
4-7
3PT
2-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
71.4
USG%
15.7
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
12
2026-07-07
PHO
AWAY
17.4MIN
3POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
38.7
USG%
10.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+7
PRA
6
2026-07-03
LVA
AWAY
19.5MIN
5POINTS
2 · 1 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
64.4
USG%
9.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+1
PRA
8
2026-06-28
LVA
HOME
10.6MIN
5POINTS
1 · 2 · 2-6
UNDER
FG
2-6
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
41.7
USG%
22.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+9
PRA
8
showing 25 of 113 — every rate above is computed over all 113