Jessica Shepard over 12.5 points
She has cleared 12.5 in 46 of 149 games — 30.9%. That rate needs +223 to break even and books have been paying -125.
01
Distribution
149 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 9 games · 6.0% · under9
2–4 points · 14 games · 9.4% · under14
4–6 points · 18 games · 12.1% · under18
6–8 points · 16 games · 10.7% · under16
8–10 points · 23 games · 15.4% · under23
10–12 points · 14 games · 9.4% · under14
12–14 points · 18 games · 12.1% · under18
14–16 points · 13 games · 8.7% · over13
16–18 points · 8 games · 5.4% · over8
18–20 points · 4 games · 2.7% · over4
20–22 points · 4 games · 2.7% · over4
22–24 points · 7 games · 4.7% · over7
26–28 points · 1 game · 0.7% · over1
12.5
UNDER · 103OVER · 46 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 12.5 · hover a bar2026-06-20 · CHI · 21 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · SEA · 14 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LVA · 22 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · MIN · 8 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · CON · 14 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · TOR · 14 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · NYL · 22 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · TOR · 20 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · CHI · 19 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · LAS · 11 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · NYL · 13 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · POR · 18 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · ATL · 16 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · WAS · 8 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · CON · 15 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · WAS · 22 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · GSV · 6 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · MIN · 0 points · −12.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · GSV · 4 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · IND · 26 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · SEA · 11 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · POR · 21 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · CON · 17 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · LAS · 13 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · PHO · 10 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · PHO · 17 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · SEA · 20 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · GSV · 0 points · −12.5 vs line
2026-09-30 · GSV · 4 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-10-02 · GSV · 12 points · −0.5 vs line
12.5
2026-06-20— 5-game mean2026-10-02 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-23 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-25 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-08-30 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-09-17 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-09-19 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-09-21 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-09-23 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-09-27 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-30 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-10-02 · 12 points · UNDER
12
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 65 postings12.5-125
best offered12.5+120
worst offered12.5-130
our break-even12.5+223
Median -125 across 65 postings over 9 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 149 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 12.5
2026-10-02PLAYOFF R1 G3GSVAWAY39.8MIN12POINTS12 · 2 · 6-11UNDER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/10
- TS%
- 52.4
- USG%
- 16.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 26
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2GSVHOME40.8MIN4POINTS8 · 6 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 9.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 18
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1GSVAWAY23.9MIN0POINTS3 · 3 · 0-7UNDER
- FG
- 0-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 21.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -30
- PRA
- 6
2026-09-23SEAAWAY32.6MIN20POINTS11 · 12 · 9-12OVER
- FG
- 9-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 43
2026-09-21PHOAWAY36.2MIN17POINTS19 · 6 · 5-15OVER
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 7-12
- OREB/DREB
- 5/14
- TS%
- 41.9
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 42
2026-09-19PHOHOME26.9MIN10POINTS6 · 5 · 3-10UNDER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 39.6
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 21
2026-09-17LASHOME27.8MIN13POINTS11 · 12 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/9
- TS%
- 54.7
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 36
2026-08-30CONHOME25.4MIN17POINTS10 · 4 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 78.4
- USG%
- 29.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 31
2026-08-25PORHOME34.1MIN21POINTS9 · 6 · 10-15OVER
- FG
- 10-15
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 36
2026-08-23SEAHOME26.8MIN11POINTS11 · 4 · 5-11UNDER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 48.1
- USG%
- 21.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-20INDHOME35.5MIN26POINTS8 · 1 · 11-16OVER
- FG
- 11-16
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 3-8
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 66.6
- USG%
- 26.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-17GSVAWAY25.7MIN4POINTS7 · 2 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 13.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-09MINAWAY4.8MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 1
2026-08-07GSVHOME25.8MIN6POINTS11 · 1 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/9
- TS%
- 34.2
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-05WASAWAY36.5MIN22POINTS11 · 7 · 11-13OVER
- FG
- 11-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 81.8
- USG%
- 18.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 40
2026-08-02CONHOME22.7MIN15POINTS9 · 2 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 60.3
- USG%
- 28.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 26
2026-07-31WASAWAY33.0MIN8POINTS6 · 8 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 13.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 22
2026-07-29ATLHOME40.0MIN16POINTS14 · 5 · 8-18OVER
- FG
- 8-18
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/10
- TS%
- 42.4
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 35
2026-07-22PORAWAY34.6MIN18POINTS15 · 10 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 6/9
- TS%
- 70.5
- USG%
- 19.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 43
2026-07-20NYLHOME38.1MIN13POINTS16 · 6 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 4/12
- TS%
- 67.4
- USG%
- 15.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 35
2026-07-19LASHOME38.5MIN11POINTS14 · 6 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/12
- TS%
- 51.1
- USG%
- 16.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-12CHIHOME34.3MIN19POINTS10 · 5 · 9-13OVER
- FG
- 9-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/6
- TS%
- 68.4
- USG%
- 19.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-10TORAWAY40.0MIN20POINTS17 · 3 · 7-9OVER
- FG
- 7-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 6/11
- TS%
- 79.9
- USG%
- 18.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 40
2026-07-07NYLAWAY36.8MIN22POINTS12 · 11 · 11-16OVER
- FG
- 11-16
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/9
- TS%
- 68.8
- USG%
- 24.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 45
2026-07-05TORAWAY32.1MIN14POINTS15 · 3 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 6/9
- TS%
- 54.9
- USG%
- 21.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 32
showing 25 of 149 — every rate above is computed over all 149